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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Aubagne vs Concarneau

Aubagne vs Concarneau

Result • Ligue 3·Aubagne·Concarneau

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Sep 12, 2026
12:45
medium Confidence
Aubagne

Aubagne

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.28
X3.02
22.11
Stadium
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
medium Confidence
WINNER
Concarneau

Concarneau

Away
Odds
13.28
X3.02
22.11
Stadium
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Win Probabilities
28%
Aubagne
29%
Draw
43%
Concarneau
Home3.2828%
Draw3.0229%
Away2.1143%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Concarneau are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Aubagne and Concarneau using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Aubagne a 28% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Concarneau a 43% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 33%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 33%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Y. ZemouraAssist: K. Cisse
    58'
    Goal: Y. ZemouraAubagne · Assist: K. Cisse
  2. 63'
    Substitution: F. Da SilvaConcarneau · Out: D. Seba
    Substitution: F. Da SilvaOut: D. Seba
  3. 63'
    Substitution: L. RosierConcarneau · Out: B. Macon
    Substitution: L. RosierOut: B. Macon
  4. 63'
    Substitution: A. SidibeConcarneau · Out: J. Varvat
    Substitution: A. SidibeOut: J. Varvat
  5. Yellow Card: Yellow Card
    66'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardAubagne
  6. Substitution: S. HattabOut: Y. Zemoura
    71'
    Substitution: S. HattabAubagne · Out: Y. Zemoura
  7. Substitution: B. DoukansyOut: A. Tafni
    71'
    Substitution: B. DoukansyAubagne · Out: A. Tafni
  8. Substitution: R. ValmeOut: R. Doucoure
    79'
    Substitution: R. ValmeAubagne · Out: R. Doucoure
  9. Substitution: M. AhamadiOut: Y. Aradj
    79'
    Substitution: M. AhamadiAubagne · Out: Y. Aradj
  10. 81'
    Substitution: K. BenabdelouahedConcarneau · Out: L. Goujon
    Substitution: K. BenabdelouahedOut: L. Goujon
  11. Substitution: A. BellebrahimOut: K. Cisse
    83'
    Substitution: A. BellebrahimAubagne · Out: K. Cisse
  12. 87'
    Goal: L. RosierConcarneau · Assist: S. Janno
    Goal: L. RosierAssist: S. Janno
  13. 90+3'
    Goal: C. DivialleConcarneau
    Goal: C. Divialle
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · AubagneInjuries · ConcarneauLive scores →

Statistical Context

Aubagne

LLLLD
  • LOct 17, 26H · Le Puy Foot0-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · La Roche VF3-1
  • LSep 26, 26H · Fleury 911-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Rouen1-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · Gobelins0-0

Concarneau

DWDWD
  • DOct 17, 26H · Bastia1-1
  • WOct 3, 26H · Gobelins2-1
  • DSep 26, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 011-1
  • WSep 19, 26H · Caen2-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Thionville Lusitanos2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Caen10+618WLWLW
5Concarneau10+417DWDWW
6Le Puy Foot10+316WWLWL
15Orleans10-59LDDLL
16Aubagne10-77LLWLL
17Villefranche10-147WLLLD

Aubagne vs Concarneau — Match Analysis

Concarneau are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 0-1.

Aubagne host Concarneau in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Concarneau the favourite at 47%, with the draw at 27% and Aubagne at 26%.

Form and league position

Aubagne sit 16th of 18 with 4 points from 5 games (2 scored, 5 conceded). Concarneau sit 10th of 18 with 6 points from 5 games (5 scored, 5 conceded), recent form W-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.8–0.9, about 1.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 33%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Aubagne at 3.53, the draw at 3.18 and Concarneau at 1.99; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Concarneau to win (47%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Aubagne: 28% · Draw: 29% · Concarneau: 43%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (15.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 24% · Under 2.5: 76% · BTTS: 33%

Form (latest first): Aubagne: LLLLD · Concarneau: DWDWD

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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