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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Gobelins vs Bastia

Gobelins vs Bastia

Result • Ligue 3·Gobelins·Bastia

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Sep 26, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Gobelins

Gobelins

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.40
X2.90
22.70
Stadium
Stade Pele
low Confidence
Bastia

Bastia

Away
Odds
12.40
X2.90
22.70
Stadium
Stade Pele
Win Probabilities
40%
Gobelins
28%
Draw
32%
Bastia
Home2.4040%
Draw2.9028%
Away2.7032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Gobelins are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Gobelins and Bastia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Gobelins a 40% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Bastia a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Missed penalty: E. DodeMissed penalty
    37'
    Missed penalty: E. DodeGobelins · Missed penalty
  2. Goal: M. GuendezAssist: N. Donat
    37'
    Goal: M. GuendezGobelins · Assist: N. Donat
  3. Yellow Card: N. Donat
    41'
    Yellow Card: N. DonatGobelins
  4. 43'
    Yellow Card: N. DouceBastia
    Yellow Card: N. Douce
  5. Yellow Card: J. Poha
    49'
    Yellow Card: J. PohaGobelins
  6. Yellow Card: F. Camara
    53'
    Yellow Card: F. CamaraGobelins
  7. 53'
    Yellow Card: D. DjedjeBastia
    Yellow Card: D. Djedje
  8. 62'
    Substitution: D. DiarraBastia · Out: L. Belal
    Substitution: D. DiarraOut: L. Belal
  9. Substitution: A. SidibeOut: I. Kone
    62'
    Substitution: A. SidibeGobelins · Out: I. Kone
  10. 62'
    Substitution: R. BeliandjouBastia · Out: M. Boumaaoui
    Substitution: R. BeliandjouOut: M. Boumaaoui
  11. 63'
    Yellow Card: R. BeliandjouBastia
    Yellow Card: R. Beliandjou
  12. Substitution: E. MichutOut: F. Camara
    70'
    Substitution: E. MichutGobelins · Out: F. Camara
  13. Substitution: A. AmaraOut: M. Guendez
    71'
    Substitution: A. AmaraGobelins · Out: M. Guendez
  14. 83'
    Substitution: N. AlebateBastia · Out: D. Djedje
    Substitution: N. AlebateOut: D. Djedje
  15. Substitution: O. BezzekhamiOut: N. Donat
    84'
    Substitution: O. BezzekhamiGobelins · Out: N. Donat
  16. Yellow Card: J. Ayessa
    84'
    Yellow Card: J. AyessaGobelins
  17. 90'
    Substitution: G. PasqualiniBastia · Out: H. Makalou
    Substitution: G. PasqualiniOut: H. Makalou
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · GobelinsInjuries · BastiaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Gobelins

WLDLD
  • WOct 17, 26H · Rouen3-1
  • LOct 3, 26A · Concarneau2-1
  • DSep 19, 26H · Bourg-en-bresse 011-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Caen2-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Aubagne0-0

Bastia

DDDWL
  • DOct 17, 26A · Concarneau1-1
  • DOct 1, 26H · Orleans1-1
  • DSep 17, 26H · Cannes1-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Amiens0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Fleury 9110+415WWLDW
10Gobelins10015WLWDL
11Quevilly10-313WLDDW
12Thionville Lusitanos10-112LLLDL
13Bastia10-412DDLDW
14Valenciennes10-59DLWLL

Season Statistics — 2025

GobelinsBastia
Played—32
Goals Scored—23
Goals Conceded—37
Avg Scored—0.7
Avg Conceded—1.2
Clean Sheets—11

Gobelins vs Bastia — Match Analysis

Gobelins are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-0.

Gobelins host Bastia in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes Gobelins the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 28% and Bastia at 32%.

Form and league position

Gobelins sit 11th of 18 with 9 points from 7 games (5 scored, 7 conceded), recent form D-L-D. Bastia sit 10th of 18 with 10 points from 7 games (6 scored, 9 conceded), recent form D-W-L-W-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–0.9, about 1.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 40%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Gobelins at 2.52, the draw at 3.05 and Bastia at 2.72; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Gobelins to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Gobelins: 40% · Draw: 28% · Bastia: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.9% chance)

Over 2.5: 31% · Under 2.5: 69% · BTTS: 40%

Form (latest first): Gobelins: WLDLD · Bastia: DDDWL

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.8255%
X4.1724%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.0449%
X3.7027%
24.1724%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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