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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 3
  3. Fleury 91 vs Caen

Fleury 91 vs Caen

Result • Ligue 3·Fleury 91·Caen

Ligue 3
Ligue 3
Oct 3, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
WINNER
Fleury 91

Fleury 91

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.50
X3.10
22.45
Stadium
Stade Robert Bobin
low Confidence
Caen

Caen

Away
Odds
12.50
X3.10
22.45
Stadium
Stade Robert Bobin
Win Probabilities
33%
Fleury 91
27%
Draw
40%
Caen
Home2.5033%
Draw3.1027%
Away2.4540%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Caen are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 3 fixture between Fleury 91 and Caen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fleury 91 a 33% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Caen a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 59%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 59%

Match Events

  1. 30'
    Goal: A. GnanduilletCaen · Assist: I. Botella
    Goal: A. GnanduilletAssist: I. Botella
  2. Goal: K. FaradeAssist: V. Lavigne
    39'
    Goal: K. FaradeFleury 91 · Assist: V. Lavigne
  3. Substitution: C. KhetirOut: V. Lavigne
    46'
    Substitution: C. KhetirFleury 91 · Out: V. Lavigne
  4. Goal: Y. VerdierAssist: K. Farade
    60'
    Goal: Y. VerdierFleury 91 · Assist: K. Farade
  5. 64'
    Goal: Y. DiabyCaen · Assist: I. Botella
    Goal: Y. DiabyAssist: I. Botella
  6. Substitution: G. LefebvreOut: Y. Le Mehaute
    69'
    Substitution: G. LefebvreFleury 91 · Out: Y. Le Mehaute
  7. 70'
    Substitution: S. DiakiteCaen · Out: A. Gnanduillet
    Substitution: S. DiakiteOut: A. Gnanduillet
  8. Substitution: T. PlissonOut: M. Jean-Pierre
    72'
    Substitution: T. PlissonFleury 91 · Out: M. Jean-Pierre
  9. Goal: Y. Verdier
    74'
    Goal: Y. VerdierFleury 91
  10. 79'
    Substitution: S. MbakaCaen · Out: D. Bolumbu
    Substitution: S. MbakaOut: D. Bolumbu
  11. 79'
    Substitution: H. SaivetCaen · Out: L. Milliner
    Substitution: H. SaivetOut: L. Milliner
  12. Substitution: M. BelliardOut: Y. Verdier
    82'
    Substitution: M. BelliardFleury 91 · Out: Y. Verdier
  13. Substitution: J. RivasOut: R. Leleve
    82'
    Substitution: J. RivasFleury 91 · Out: R. Leleve
  14. 86'
    Substitution: F. BomoCaen · Out: Z. Bagbema
    Substitution: F. BomoOut: Z. Bagbema
  15. Yellow Card: Yellow Card
    88'
    Yellow Card: Yellow CardFleury 91
  16. Yellow Card: T. Plisson
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: T. PlissonFleury 91
  17. 90+6'
    Red Card: Y. DiabyCaen
    Red Card: Y. Diaby
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Fleury 91Injuries · CaenLive scores →

Statistical Context

Fleury 91

WWDWW
  • WOct 17, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-1
  • WSep 26, 26A · Aubagne1-2
  • DSep 19, 26H · Thionville Lusitanos1-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Valenciennes1-2
  • WSep 5, 26H · Villefranche6-1

Caen

WWLWW
  • WOct 15, 26H · La Roche VF2-1
  • WSep 24, 26H · Rouen3-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Concarneau2-0
  • WSep 12, 26H · Gobelins2-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Bourg-en-bresse 010-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Versailles10+219WWWDW
4Caen10+618WLWLW
5Concarneau10+417DWDWW
6Le Puy Foot10+316WWLWL
7Amiens10+916DWDWD
8Cannes10+615LWDDD
9Fleury 9110+415WWLDW
10Gobelins10015WLWDL

Fleury 91 vs Caen — Match Analysis

Caen are favoured at 39%; our projected score is 1-2.

Fleury 91 host Caen in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Our model makes Caen the favourite at 39%, with the draw at 27% and Fleury 91 at 34%.

Form and league position

Fleury 91 sit 14th of 18 with 9 points from 8 games (12 scored, 10 conceded), recent form W-W-D-W. Caen sit 3rd of 18 with 15 points from 8 games (15 scored, 9 conceded), recent form L-W-W-L-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.5, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Fleury 91 at 2.55, the draw at 3.30 and Caen at 2.55; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Caen to win (39%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Fleury 91: 33% · Draw: 27% · Caen: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 59%

Form (latest first): Fleury 91: WWDWW · Caen: WWLWW

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Ligue 3

Ligue 3

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 3France
Amiens
Oct 2919:45
Thionville Lusitanos
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
Ligue 3France
Orleans
Oct 3113:45
Villefranche
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
Bastia
Oct 3113:45
Quevilly
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Le Puy Foot
Oct 3113:45
Caen
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
Ligue 3France
Versailles
Oct 3113:45
Aubagne
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 3France
Fleury 91
Oct 3113:45
Gobelins
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Oct 3113:45
Concarneau
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Ligue 3France
La Roche VF
Oct 3113:45
Bourg-en-bresse 01
11.2580%
X7.6913%
214.297%
Ligue 3France
Cannes
Oct 3113:45
Valenciennes
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 3France
Valenciennes
Nov 519:45
Orleans
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Ligue 3France
Caen
Nov 713:45
Versailles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 3France
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Nov 713:45
Le Puy Foot
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 3France
Concarneau
Nov 713:45
Fleury 91
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Ligue 3France
Villefranche
Nov 713:45
Quevilly
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
Ligue 3France
Rouen
Nov 713:45
Bastia
11.3574%
X7.1414%
28.3312%

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