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  1. Home
  2. 2. Bundesliga
  3. Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg

Result • 2. Bundesliga·Fortuna Düsseldorf·SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga
May 10, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.25
X3.60
22.05
Stadium
Merkur Spiel-Arena
high Confidence
SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

Away
Odds
13.25
X3.60
22.05
Stadium
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Win Probabilities
24%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
31%
Draw
45%
SV Elversberg
Home3.2524%
Draw3.6031%
Away2.0545%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a rising tide in Saarland, sweeping away the faltering hosts. Fortuna's fortress crumbles under the weight of Elversberg's relentless attack.

Our AI model analyzes this 2. Bundesliga fixture between Fortuna Düsseldorf and SV Elversberg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fortuna Düsseldorf a 24% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and SV Elversberg a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Own goal: F. Le Joncour (Own goal)
    25'
    Own goal: F. Le Joncour (Own goal)Fortuna Düsseldorf
  2. Yellow Card: M. Zimmermann
    30'
    Yellow Card: M. ZimmermannFortuna Düsseldorf
  3. Goal: C. IttenAssist: S. Appelkamp
    43'
    Goal: C. IttenFortuna Düsseldorf · Assist: S. Appelkamp
  4. Goal: C. IttenAssist: T. Breithaupt
    52'
    Goal: C. IttenFortuna Düsseldorf · Assist: T. Breithaupt
  5. Substitution: V. LunddalOut: M. Zimmermann
    56'
    Substitution: V. LunddalFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: M. Zimmermann
  6. Substitution: S. SusoOut: C. Lenz
    56'
    Substitution: S. SusoFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: C. Lenz
  7. Yellow Card: C. Itten
    64'
    Yellow Card: C. IttenFortuna Düsseldorf
  8. 66'
    Substitution: L. PinckertSV Elversberg · Out: L. Poreba
    Substitution: L. PinckertOut: L. Poreba
  9. 66'
    Substitution: R. AdamSV Elversberg · Out: M. Rohr
    Substitution: R. AdamOut: M. Rohr
  10. 66'
    Substitution: B. ConteSV Elversberg · Out: L. Petkov
    Substitution: B. ConteOut: L. Petkov
  11. Substitution: L. RaimundOut: M. Ljubicic
    70'
    Substitution: L. RaimundFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: M. Ljubicic
  12. Substitution: M. HeyerOut: T. Breithaupt
    70'
    Substitution: M. HeyerFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: T. Breithaupt
  13. 81'
    Substitution: N. MickelsonSV Elversberg · Out: J. Gyamerah
    Substitution: N. MickelsonOut: J. Gyamerah
  14. Substitution: J. DalandOut: S. Appelkamp
    83'
    Substitution: J. DalandFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: S. Appelkamp
  15. 88'
    Substitution: L. SchnellbacherSV Elversberg · Out: T. Zimmerschied
    Substitution: L. SchnellbacherOut: T. Zimmerschied
  16. 90'
    Own goal: T. Oberdorf (Own goal)SV Elversberg
    Own goal: T. Oberdorf (Own goal)
  17. Yellow Card: L. Raimund
    90+8'
    Yellow Card: L. RaimundFortuna Düsseldorf
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 1stats picks landed in this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 SV Elversberg
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team—Predicted 4.0 – 5.1Real 2 – 5——
Total corners—Predicted 9.1Real 7chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.0Real 3Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target—Predicted 4.6 – 4.5Real 2 – 2——
Total shots—Predicted 12.9 – 12.4Real 9 – 15chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1C. Itten vs L. Petkov: Both are top scorers with 13 goals each, but Petkov has more assists (6 vs 3). Itten's hold-up play vs Petkov's movement will be crucial.
2S. Appelkamp vs B. Conté: Appelkamp (avg rating 8.25) is Fortuna's creative hub, while Conté (avg rating 7.27) provides defensive cover and distribution from midfield.
3Fortuna defense vs Elversberg attack: Fortuna's leaky defense (1.8 conceded) faces Elversberg's potent attack (2.6 scored). This mismatch is decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Fortuna Düsseldorf

  • Set pieces
  • Individual brilliance from Itten
  • Defensive fragility (conceded 1.8 avg)
  • Poor recent form (4 losses in 5)

SV Elversberg

  • High-scoring attack (2.6 avg)
  • Strong away form
  • Occasional defensive lapses
  • Inconsistent clean sheets

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
SV Elversberg173845

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

The predicted outcome is an away win for SV Elversberg, based on strong alignment between bookmaker odds and the API-Football model.

Form Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf are in poor form with 4 losses in their last 5 matches (LWLLL), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with no clean sheets. In contrast, SV Elversberg are unbeaten in 3 matches (WDWLD), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with 1 clean sheet. The momentum clearly favors the visitors.

Key Factors: (1) League standings: Fortuna sit 16th (relegation zone) with 34 points and -19 GD, while Elversberg are 2nd (promotion) with 59 points and +24 GD. (2) Head-to-head: Elversberg have won 2 of the last 5 meetings, with Fortuna winning only 1. (3) Team comparison: API-Football gives Elversberg a 62.7% overall advantage, with superior form (73%), attack (76%), and defense (56%).

Conclusion: All data points to an SV Elversberg victory. Fortuna's relegation battle and poor form are no match for Elversberg's promotion push and strong attacking output.

Statistical ContextSV Elversberg

Winner : SV Elversberg

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Elversberg
37%Strength62%
24%Attacking Potential76%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
58%Goals H2H42%
37%Wins the Game62%

More information

2. Bundesliga predicted line-ups: Gameweek 129/9Head-to-headFortuna Düsseldorf – SV ElversbergInjuriesFortuna DüsseldorfInjuriesSV ElversbergLive scores

Statistical Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

LDDLW
  • LNov 7, 26A · FC Ingolstadt 043-2
  • DOct 30, 26H · SV Meppen0-0
  • DOct 24, 26A · Hansa Rostock1-1
  • LOct 17, 26H · FC Saarbrücken1-3
  • WOct 14, 26A · Preußen Münster1-2

SV Elversberg

LWLLW
  • LNov 7, 26A · Borussia Dortmund2-1
  • WOct 30, 26H · FSV Mainz 054-1
  • LOct 27, 26H · SV Darmstadt 980-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · RB Leipzig4-0
  • WOct 17, 26H · FC Augsburg4-3

Head to Head

1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
Draws
2
SV Elversberg
  • Dec 14, 25SV Elversberg – Fortuna Düsseldorf1-0
  • Apr 19, 25SV Elversberg – Fortuna Düsseldorf1-1
  • Nov 23, 24Fortuna Düsseldorf – SV Elversberg0-2
  • Feb 10, 24Fortuna Dusseldorf – SV Elversberg1-1
  • Aug 26, 23SV Elversberg – Fortuna Dusseldorf0-5

Season Statistics — 2026

Fortuna DüsseldorfSV Elversberg
Played—9
Goals Scored—17
Goals Conceded—18
Avg Scored—1.9
Avg Conceded—2.0
Clean Sheets—1

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a rising tide in Saarland, sweeping away the faltering hosts. Fortuna's fortress crumbles under the weight of Elversberg's relentless attack.

The predicted outcome is an away win for SV Elversberg, based on strong alignment between bookmaker odds and the API-Football model.

Form Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf are in poor form with 4 losses in their last 5 matches (LWLLL), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with no clean sheets. In contrast, SV Elversberg are unbeaten in 3 matches (WDWLD), averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with 1 clean sheet. The momentum clearly favors the visitors.

Key Factors: (1) League standings: Fortuna sit 16th (relegation zone) with 34 points and -19 GD, while Elversberg are 2nd (promotion) with 59 points and +24 GD. (2) Head-to-head: Elversberg have won 2 of the last 5 meetings, with Fortuna winning only 1. (3) Team comparison: API-Football gives Elversberg a 62.7% overall advantage, with superior form (73%), attack (76%), and defense (56%).

Conclusion: All data points to an SV Elversberg victory. Fortuna's relegation battle and poor form are no match for Elversberg's promotion push and strong attacking output.

Win Probabilities: Fortuna Düsseldorf: 24% · Draw: 31% · SV Elversberg: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Fortuna Düsseldorf wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · SV Elversberg wins: 2

Form (latest first): Fortuna Düsseldorf: LDDLW · SV Elversberg: LWLLW

  • C. Itten vs L. Petkov: Both are top scorers with 13 goals each, but Petkov has more assists (6 vs 3). Itten's hold-up play vs Petkov's movement will be crucial.
  • S. Appelkamp vs B. Conté: Appelkamp (avg rating 8.25) is Fortuna's creative hub, while Conté (avg rating 7.27) provides defensive cover and distribution from midfield.
  • Fortuna defense vs Elversberg attack: Fortuna's leaky defense (1.8 conceded) faces Elversberg's potent attack (2.6 scored). This mismatch is decisive.

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2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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Early projection
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22.4441%
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Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
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Nov 2819:30
Hannover 96
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

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