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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München

Result • DFB Pokal·Bayer Leverkusen·Bayern München

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Apr 22, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
14.75
X4.75
21.57
Stadium
BayArena
high Confidence
WINNER
Bayern München

Bayern München

Away
Odds
14.75
X4.75
21.57
Stadium
BayArena
Win Probabilities
24%
Bayer Leverkusen
24%
Draw
52%
Bayern München
Home4.7524%
Draw4.7524%
Away1.5752%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bayern München's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern München using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bayer Leverkusen a 24% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Bayern München a 52% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 22'
    Goal: H. KaneBayern München · Assist: J. Musiala
    Goal: H. KaneAssist: J. Musiala
  2. Yellow Card: E. Tapsoba
    38'
    Yellow Card: E. TapsobaBayer Leverkusen
  3. Substitution: E. PokuOut: Lucas
    39'
    Substitution: E. PokuBayer Leverkusen · Out: Lucas
  4. 43'
    Yellow Card: A. PavlovicBayern München
    Yellow Card: A. Pavlovic
  5. 73'
    Substitution: L. GoretzkaBayern München · Out: A. Pavlovic
    Substitution: L. GoretzkaOut: A. Pavlovic
  6. 74'
    Substitution: A. DaviesBayern München · Out: K. Laimer
    Substitution: A. DaviesOut: K. Laimer
  7. Yellow Card: A. Grimaldo
    76'
    Yellow Card: A. GrimaldoBayer Leverkusen
  8. Substitution: M. CulbreathOut: N. Tella
    77'
    Substitution: M. CulbreathBayer Leverkusen · Out: N. Tella
  9. 84'
    Substitution: Kim Min-JaeBayern München · Out: J. Musiala
    Substitution: Kim Min-JaeOut: J. Musiala
  10. Substitution: M. TillmanOut: R. Andrich
    84'
    Substitution: M. TillmanBayer Leverkusen · Out: R. Andrich
  11. 90+3'
    Goal: L. DiazBayern München · Assist: L. Goretzka
    Goal: L. DiazAssist: L. Goretzka
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Schick vs Bayern defense: Schick's goal-scoring ability (5 goals) will test Bayern's defensive organization.
2H. Kane vs Leverkusen defense: Kane's high rating (8.03) and 14 goals pose a major threat to Leverkusen's backline.
3Midfield battle: Leverkusen's setup in 3-4-2-1 vs Bayern's 4-2-3-1 will be crucial for controlling the game's tempo.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Strong defensive rating (71%)
  • Home advantage with 0.55 rating
  • Two doubtful players (J. Quansah, P. Schick)
  • Mixed recent form (LWWDD)

Bayern München

  • 5-game winning streak
  • High offensive output (3.6 avg goals scored)
  • Lower defensive rating (29%)
  • Away from home

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
35%
41%
Bayern München303041

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Bayern München is predicted to win, but the match is expected to be competitive with a significant chance of a draw.

Form Analysis: Bayern München has a 5-game winning streak (WWWWD) with an average of 3.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, indicating strong offensive form. Bayer Leverkusen's form is mixed (LWWDD) with 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities but recent draws suggest resilience.

Key Factors: 1. Bayern's momentum from a 5-game winning streak provides a psychological edge. 2. Bayer Leverkusen has two doubtful players (J. Quansah and P. Schick), potentially weakening their squad. 3. Head-to-head history is balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), indicating no clear dominance.

Conclusion: The odds favor Bayern München, supported by their strong form and fewer injuries, but Bayer Leverkusen's home advantage and defensive strength (71% defense rating) could lead to a draw, making this a tight contest.

Statistical ContextBayer Leverkusen

Combo Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Bayer LeverkusenBayern München
39%Strength60%
50%Attacking Potential50%
71%Defensive Potential29%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
10%Goals H2H90%
39%Wins the Game60%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Bayer LeverkusenInjuries · Bayern MünchenLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL
  • WSep 20, 26H · RB Leipzig2-0
  • WSep 16, 26H · Celje2-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · FC Augsburg2-2
  • WSep 5, 26H · Union Berlin4-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · SV Elversberg3-2

Bayern München

WWWDW
  • WSep 18, 26H · Union Berlin7-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · SV Elversberg1-2
  • WSep 10, 26H · Bodo/Glimt5-0
  • DSep 5, 26A · FC Schalke 040-0
  • WSep 2, 26A · VfL Osnabrück1-4

Head to Head

3
Bayer Leverkusen
4
Draws
3
Bayern München
  • Mar 14, 26Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München1-1
  • Nov 1, 25Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen3-0
  • Mar 11, 25Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München0-2
  • Mar 5, 25Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen3-0
  • Feb 15, 25Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Bayer LeverkusenBayern München
Played44
Goals Scored1014
Goals Conceded52
Avg Scored2.53.5
Avg Conceded1.30.5
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Bayer LeverkusenBayern München
Over 2.5 Goals5/1010/10
Both Teams Scored3/107/10
Clean Sheets5/103/10

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bayern München's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Bayern München is predicted to win, but the match is expected to be competitive with a significant chance of a draw.

Form Analysis: Bayern München has a 5-game winning streak (WWWWD) with an average of 3.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, indicating strong offensive form. Bayer Leverkusen's form is mixed (LWWDD) with 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities but recent draws suggest resilience.

Key Factors: 1. Bayern's momentum from a 5-game winning streak provides a psychological edge. 2. Bayer Leverkusen has two doubtful players (J. Quansah and P. Schick), potentially weakening their squad. 3. Head-to-head history is balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), indicating no clear dominance.

Conclusion: The odds favor Bayern München, supported by their strong form and fewer injuries, but Bayer Leverkusen's home advantage and defensive strength (71% defense rating) could lead to a draw, making this a tight contest.

Win Probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen: 24% · Draw: 24% · Bayern München: 52%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Bayer Leverkusen wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Bayern München wins: 3

Form (latest first): Bayer Leverkusen: WWDWL · Bayern München: WWWDW

  • P. Schick vs Bayern defense: Schick's goal-scoring ability (5 goals) will test Bayern's defensive organization.
  • H. Kane vs Leverkusen defense: Kane's high rating (8.03) and 14 goals pose a major threat to Leverkusen's backline.
  • Midfield battle: Leverkusen's setup in 3-4-2-1 vs Bayern's 4-2-3-1 will be crucial for controlling the game's tempo.

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DFB Pokal

DFB Pokal

Germany15 · Upcoming Fixtures
DFB PokalGermany
Bayern München
Oct 2719:00
1. FC Magdeburg
11.6162%
X5.0020%
25.5618%
DFB PokalGermany
SC Freiburg
Oct 2719:00
VfL Wolfsburg
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
DFB PokalGermany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Oct 2719:00
Karlsruher SC
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
DFB PokalGermany
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2719:00
Werder Bremen
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
DFB PokalGermany
Hannover 96
Oct 2719:00
1. FC Kaiserslautern
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
DFB PokalGermany
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2719:00
1. FC Nürnberg
11.8255%
X4.0025%
25.0020%
DFB PokalGermany
Hamburger SV
Oct 2719:00
Eintracht Frankfurt
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
DFB PokalGermany
VfL Bochum
Oct 2719:00
FSV Mainz 05
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
Dynamo Dresden
Oct 2719:00
FC Schalke 04
13.3330%
X3.3330%
22.5040%
DFB PokalGermany
SC Paderborn 07
Oct 2719:00
VfB Stuttgart
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
Holstein Kiel
Oct 2719:00
1899 Hoffenheim
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
1. FC Köln
Oct 2719:00
Union Berlin
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
DFB PokalGermany
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Oct 2719:00
FC Augsburg
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
DFB PokalGermany
Rot-Weiß Essen
Oct 2719:00
RB Leipzig
14.1724%
X3.8526%
22.0050%
DFB PokalGermany
SSV Jeddeloh
Oct 2719:00
Hertha BSC
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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