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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg

Result • DFB Pokal·Fortuna Düsseldorf·SC Freiburg

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Aug 23, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
Fortuna Düsseldorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Home
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.75
X4.50
21.44
Stadium
Merkur Spiel-Arena
high Confidence
WINNER
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Away
Odds
15.75
X4.50
21.44
Stadium
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Win Probabilities
18%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21%
Draw
61%
SC Freiburg
Home5.7518%
Draw4.5021%
Away1.4461%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, riding a four-match winning streak with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Fortuna Düsseldorf's two-match losing streak and scoring struggles make an away win the most likely outcome, though home advantage could narrow the margin.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between Fortuna Düsseldorf and SC Freiburg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fortuna Düsseldorf a 18% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and SC Freiburg a 61% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Assist: P. Osterhage
    Goal: L. HolerAssist: P. Osterhage
  2. 23'
    Yellow Card: Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: Y. Suzuki
  3. Substitution: S. van der SlootOut: S. Risch
    60'
    Substitution: S. van der SlootFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: S. Risch
  4. Substitution: J. PaulinaOut: E. Hottmann
    60'
    Substitution: J. PaulinaFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: E. Hottmann
  5. 69'
    Substitution: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Out: Y. Suzuki
    Substitution: I. MatanovicOut: Y. Suzuki
  6. 69'
    Substitution: D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Out: V. Grifo
    Substitution: D. ScherhantOut: V. Grifo
  7. Yellow Card: M. Zimmermann
    71'
    Yellow Card: M. ZimmermannFortuna Düsseldorf
  8. 71'
    Goal: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Assist: D. Scherhant
    Goal: I. MatanovicAssist: D. Scherhant
  9. Substitution: M. GoncalvesOut: Y. Bouchama
    72'
    Substitution: M. GoncalvesFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: Y. Bouchama
  10. Substitution: P. ForsterOut: M. Benger
    72'
    Substitution: P. ForsterFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: M. Benger
  11. 74'
    Goal: L. KublerSC Freiburg
    Goal: L. Kubler
  12. Goal: F. SchleusenerAssist: M. Zimmermann
    76'
    Goal: F. SchleusenerFortuna Düsseldorf · Assist: M. Zimmermann
  13. 80'
    Goal: J. MakengoSC Freiburg · Assist: I. Matanovic
    Goal: J. MakengoAssist: I. Matanovic
  14. 81'
    Substitution: C. GunterSC Freiburg · Out: J. Makengo
    Substitution: C. GunterOut: J. Makengo
  15. 81'
    Substitution: C. IrieSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
    Substitution: C. IrieOut: J. Beste
  16. Substitution: A. SlimaniOut: A. Muller
    82'
    Substitution: A. SlimaniFortuna Düsseldorf · Out: A. Muller
  17. 87'
    Substitution: K. GotoSC Freiburg · Out: L. Holer
    Substitution: K. GotoOut: L. Holer
  18. 90+4'
    Goal: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg · Assist: C. Irie
    Goal: I. MatanovicAssist: C. Irie
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Fortuna Düsseldorf

  • Home advantage at Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Decent overall statistical rating (52%)
  • Current two-match losing streak
  • Low scoring output (1.0 goals per game)

SC Freiburg

  • Four-match winning streak
  • High scoring average (2.2 goals per game)
  • Slightly lower overall statistical rating (48%)
  • Potential complacency after strong run

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
61%
API-Football
33%
47%
SC Freiburg262747

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (47%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

SC Freiburg enter this DFB Pokal clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable run of form and a superior attacking output. The market strongly favours the away side, and while the statistical model suggests a more balanced contest, the weight of evidence points towards a Freiburg victory.

Form Analysis: SC Freiburg are on a four-match winning streak, averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. In contrast, Fortuna Düsseldorf have lost their last two matches, scoring an average of only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.4. Freiburg's momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Freiburg's attacking efficiency (2.2 goals per game) versus Düsseldorf's recent scoring struggles (failed to score in two of their last five). Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets in five) against a Düsseldorf side that has conceded in three of their last five. The head-to-head record also favours Freiburg, who have won four of the last five meetings.

Conclusion: All indicators point to an SC Freiburg win. Their superior form, attacking threat, and defensive stability give them a clear edge. While Düsseldorf have home advantage and a decent overall statistical rating, the evidence strongly supports an away victory.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
52%Strength48%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
54%Goals H2H46%
52%Wins the Game48%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Fortuna DüsseldorfInjuries · SC FreiburgLive scores →

Statistical Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

WWDLW
  • WSep 15, 26A · SSV Jahn Regensburg1-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · MSV Duisburg2-1
  • DSep 6, 26A · Fortuna Köln0-0
  • LMay 17, 26A · SpVgg Greuther Fürth3-0
  • WMay 10, 26H · SV Elversberg3-1

SC Freiburg

WWWWW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1
  • WAug 20, 26A · Motherwell1-3

Head to Head

3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
Draws
4
SC Freiburg
  • Oct 29, 25Fortuna Düsseldorf – SC Freiburg1-3
  • Feb 22, 20SC Freiburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf0-2
  • Sep 29, 19Fortuna Dusseldorf – SC Freiburg1-2
  • May 5, 19SC Freiburg – Fortuna Dusseldorf1-1
  • Dec 15, 18Fortuna Dusseldorf – SC Freiburg2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
Played—2
Goals Scored—5
Goals Conceded—1
Avg Scored—2.5
Avg Conceded—0.5
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted line-ups: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg

Predicted XI

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4-3-3Formation· Coach: D. Thioune

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: C. Streich

  1. 1M. Backhaus
  1. 29P. Treu
  2. 28M. Ginter
  3. 37M. Rosenfelder
  4. 33J. Makengo
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 16Y. Engelhardt
  1. 19J. Beste
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 31I. Matanovic
  1. 11L. Eixler
  2. 9E. Hottmann
  3. 27J. Paulina
  1. 40H. Anhari
  2. 38E. Arden
  3. 16M. Benger
  1. 39K. Amaniampong
  2. 44E. Egouli
  3. 4N. Egouli
  4. 39Ben Eze
  1. 22L. Lord

Bench

  • 1L. Rieß
  • 3D. Heintz
  • 20Felix Meiser
  • 0L. Mentzel
  • 15T. Oberdorf
  • 28S. Risch
  • 25M. Zimmermann

Bench

  • 21F. Muller
  • 24J. Huth
  • 17L. Kubler
  • 43B. Ogbus
  • 30C. Gunter
  • 5A. Jung
  • 3P. Lienhart

Out

  • F. Muslija · Knee Injury
  • P. Osterhage · Muscle Injury
  • R. Yamamoto · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Freiburg — Match Analysis

SC Freiburg are clear favourites, riding a four-match winning streak with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Fortuna Düsseldorf's two-match losing streak and scoring struggles make an away win the most likely outcome, though home advantage could narrow the margin.

SC Freiburg enter this DFB Pokal clash as clear favourites, backed by a formidable run of form and a superior attacking output. The market strongly favours the away side, and while the statistical model suggests a more balanced contest, the weight of evidence points towards a Freiburg victory.

Form Analysis: SC Freiburg are on a four-match winning streak, averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. In contrast, Fortuna Düsseldorf have lost their last two matches, scoring an average of only 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.4. Freiburg's momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Freiburg's attacking efficiency (2.2 goals per game) versus Düsseldorf's recent scoring struggles (failed to score in two of their last five). Freiburg's defensive solidity (two clean sheets in five) against a Düsseldorf side that has conceded in three of their last five. The head-to-head record also favours Freiburg, who have won four of the last five meetings.

Conclusion: All indicators point to an SC Freiburg win. Their superior form, attacking threat, and defensive stability give them a clear edge. While Düsseldorf have home advantage and a decent overall statistical rating, the evidence strongly supports an away victory.

Win Probabilities: Fortuna Düsseldorf: 18% · Draw: 21% · SC Freiburg: 61%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Fortuna Düsseldorf wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · SC Freiburg wins: 4

Form (latest first): Fortuna Düsseldorf: WWDLW · SC Freiburg: WWWWW

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