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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05

Prediction • DFB Pokal·VfL Bochum·FSV Mainz 05

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Oct 27, 2026
19:00
VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
PREDICTED WINNER
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

Away
Stadium
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Win Probabilities
28%
VfL Bochum
30%
Draw
42%
FSV Mainz 05
Home3.5728%
Draw3.3330%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear edge, backed by a dominant recent head-to-head record and three clean sheets in their last five matches. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could allow a resilient Bochum side to force a tight contest.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0VfL Bochum
/10
6.0FSV Mainz 05
VfL Bochum
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
FSV Mainz 05
FormLatest first
WLWDW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageFSV Mainz 05+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

VfL Bochum
Home

VfL Bochum

Form
WLWDL
Latest first
18
Pos
25
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 6 matches)

Clean Sheets117%
Goal Diff-1
  • Home advantage at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Recent head-to-head record includes two wins in the last five meetings
  • No reported injuries or suspensions in the squad
FSV Mainz 05
Away

FSV Mainz 05

Form
DWLW
Latest first
6
Pos
52
Pts
+9
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 1 matches)

Clean Sheets1100%
Goal Diff+9
  • Three clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Strong recent head-to-head record with six wins in the last five meetings
  • Statistical comparison rates their attack, defense and overall strength far higher
E. Martel
Knee Injury
Injured
Silas
Fracture
Injured
B. Hollerbach
Lacking Match Fitness
Injured
P. Nebel
Muscle Injury
Injured
S. Widmer
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Zentner
Hand Injury
Injured
D. Kohr
Foot Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
2Wins
2
Draws
FSV Mainz 05
6Wins
FSV Mainz 05
20%20%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May102025
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
1-4
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Jan112025
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-0
Loss
VfL BochumVfL Bochum
Mar162024
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-0
Loss
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
Oct272023
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
2-2
Draw
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Jan282023
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
5-2
Loss
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
Aug62022
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
1-2
Win
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Jan182022
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
3-1
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Jan152022
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
1-0
Loss
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
Aug212021
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
2-0
Loss
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Dec232020
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
2-2
Draw
Vfl BochumVfl Bochum
VfL Bochum4-2-3-1vs3-5-2FSV Mainz 05Predicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Number 10 can exploit space between lines. Wing-backs crucial.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

FSV Mainz 05

7Out

7 key players

FSV Mainz 05

Team

FSV Mainz 05

Players Out

7(7 key)
E. Martel

E. Martel

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Silas

Silas

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Hollerbach

B. Hollerbach

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Nebel

P. Nebel

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. Widmer

S. Widmer

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Zentner

R. Zentner

MODERATE
Injury:Hand Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Kohr

D. Kohr

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

FSV Mainz 05

Confidence

Win Probabilities

28%VfL Bochum
30%Draw
42%FSV Mainz 05

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffTue, Oct 27 · 19:00
StadiumVonovia Ruhrstadion
League StatsDFB Pokal
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · VfL BochumInjuries · FSV Mainz 05Live scores →

Statistical Context

VfL Bochum

LDWLW
  • LSep 20, 26A · Hannover 962-1
  • DSep 12, 26H · SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Dynamo Dresden1-2
  • LAug 28, 26H · VfL Osnabrück0-1
  • WAug 23, 26A · SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-2

FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW
  • WSep 19, 26A · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-4
  • LSep 12, 26H · Eintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • WSep 6, 26A · Hamburger SV0-5
  • DAug 29, 26H · SC Paderborn 070-0
  • WAug 23, 26A · Krieschow0-9

Head to Head

2
VfL Bochum
2
Draws
6
FSV Mainz 05
  • May 10, 25VfL Bochum – FSV Mainz 051-4
  • Jan 11, 25FSV Mainz 05 – VfL Bochum2-0
  • Mar 16, 24FSV Mainz 05 – Vfl Bochum2-0
  • Oct 27, 23Vfl Bochum – FSV Mainz 052-2
  • Jan 28, 23FSV Mainz 05 – Vfl Bochum5-2

Season Statistics — 2026

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Played61
Goals Scored59
Goals Conceded60
Avg Scored0.89.0
Avg Conceded1.00.0
Clean Sheets11

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 Goals—3/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Predicted line-ups: VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05

Predicted XI

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: D. Hecking

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2Formation· Coach: U. Fischer

  1. 40M. Kinzig
  1. 16S. Bell
  2. 3F. Gruber
  3. 4S. Posch
  1. 19A. Caci
  2. 15L. Maloney
  3. 2P. Mwene
  4. 10N. Amiri
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 23S. Becker
  2. 11R. Königsdörffer
  1. 37Alessandro Crimaldi
  1. 23K. Miyoshi
  2. 28C. Patino
  3. 10B. Taz
  1. 39L. Isbruch
  2. 34T. Meyer
  1. 4Y. Karademir
  2. 2S. Klaiber
  3. 5K. Mets
  4. 42L. Sawas
  1. 1T. Horn

Bench

  • 38Hugo Johannes Walter Rölleke
  • 15M. Steinwender
  • 32M. Wittek
  • 17G. Holtmann
  • 7C. Rasmussen
  • 19D. Hanslik
  • 33P. Hofmann

Bench

  • 1A. Schwolow
  • 48K. Potulski
  • 21D. da Costa
  • 20O. Ruoppi
  • 6K. Sano
  • 9P. Tietz
  • 35Louis Babatz

Out

  • E. Martel · Knee Injury
  • Silas · Broken shinbone
  • B. Hollerbach · Lacking Match Fitness
  • P. Nebel · Muscle Injury
  • S. Widmer · Knee Injury
  • R. Zentner · Hand Injury
  • D. Kohr · Foot Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 hold a clear edge, backed by a dominant recent head-to-head record and three clean sheets in their last five matches. The main risk is their lengthy injury list, which could allow a resilient Bochum side to force a tight contest.

FSV Mainz 05 enter this DFB Pokal tie as the stronger side on the available evidence, holding a clear edge in the statistical comparison and a commanding recent head-to-head record, though the margin is not overwhelming.…

Win Probabilities: VfL Bochum: 28% · Draw: 30% · FSV Mainz 05: 42%

H2H: VfL Bochum wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · FSV Mainz 05 wins: 6

Form (latest first): VfL Bochum: LDWLW · FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

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