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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel

TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel

Result • DFB Pokal·TSV 1860 München·Holstein Kiel

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Aug 22, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
TSV 1860 München

TSV 1860 München

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
16.50
X4.45
21.40
Stadium
Stad. a. d. Grünwalder Str.
high Confidence
WINNER
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Away
Odds
16.50
X4.45
21.40
Stadium
Stad. a. d. Grünwalder Str.
Win Probabilities
16%
TSV 1860 München
20%
Draw
64%
Holstein Kiel
Home6.5016%
Draw4.4520%
Away1.4064%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Holstein Kiel are favored at 64% to win away at TSV 1860 München. The draw is rated 20% and the home win 16%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between TSV 1860 München and Holstein Kiel using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns TSV 1860 München a 16% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Holstein Kiel a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 66%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 66%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: D. Dressel
    19'
    Yellow Card: D. DresselTSV 1860 München
  2. 20'
    Yellow Card: J. TherkelsenHolstein Kiel
    Yellow Card: J. Therkelsen
  3. 34'
    Goal: P. HarresHolstein Kiel · Assist: A. Kapralik
    Goal: P. HarresAssist: A. Kapralik
  4. 55'
    Substitution: K. DavidsenHolstein Kiel · Out: J. Therkelsen
    Substitution: K. DavidsenOut: J. Therkelsen
  5. 55'
    Substitution: G. de RegtHolstein Kiel · Out: F. Alidou
    Substitution: G. de RegtOut: F. Alidou
  6. 57'
    Yellow Card: J. TolkinHolstein Kiel
    Yellow Card: J. Tolkin
  7. Substitution: M. GevorgyanOut: F. Niederlechner
    65'
    Substitution: M. GevorgyanTSV 1860 München · Out: F. Niederlechner
  8. Substitution: R. WachOut: T. Deniz
    65'
    Substitution: R. WachTSV 1860 München · Out: T. Deniz
  9. 74'
    Yellow Card: H. SekineHolstein Kiel
    Yellow Card: H. Sekine
  10. Substitution: A. CalderonOut: J. Bell
    77'
    Substitution: A. CalderonTSV 1860 München · Out: J. Bell
  11. 82'
    Substitution: L. ParduziHolstein Kiel · Out: J. Tolkin
    Substitution: L. ParduziOut: J. Tolkin
  12. 82'
    Substitution: M. ReimersHolstein Kiel · Out: A. Kapralik
    Substitution: M. ReimersOut: A. Kapralik
  13. 87'
    Yellow Card: K. DavidsenHolstein Kiel
    Yellow Card: K. Davidsen
  14. Substitution: M. SeiffertOut: F. Wagner
    88'
    Substitution: M. SeiffertTSV 1860 München · Out: F. Wagner
  15. Substitution: C. LeoneOut: E. Erdogan
    88'
    Substitution: C. LeoneTSV 1860 München · Out: E. Erdogan
  16. 90+5'
    Goal: G. BalziHolstein Kiel · Assist: M. Reimers
    Goal: G. BalziAssist: M. Reimers
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Eberwein vs J. Meffert: The home side's attacking midfielder will look to create chances, but Meffert's defensive screening could be crucial in nullifying his influence.
2J. Steinkötter vs I. Nekić: Steinkötter's movement and finishing will test Nekić's defensive positioning and composure.
3Matthew Collins vs K. Davidsen: Collins' energy in midfield will be matched by Davidsen's work rate, with the battle in the middle of the park likely to decide the flow of the game.
Strengths · Weaknesses

TSV 1860 München

  • Decent attacking output, averaging 2.0 goals per game
  • Solid defensive record with 1 clean sheet in last 5
  • Current losing streak indicates lack of momentum
  • Conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game

Holstein Kiel

  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches, showing resilience
  • Strong overall team rating (53.5%)
  • Conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game
  • Win rate of 0% in last 5 matches (though unbeaten)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
33%
49%
Holstein Kiel252749

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (49%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Holstein Kiel enter this DFB Pokal tie as clear favourites, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's superior overall rating (53.5% vs 46.5%) and their unbeaten run of three matches underline their current momentum, while TSV 1860 München arrive on the back of a defeat and with a weaker overall profile.

Form Analysis: Holstein Kiel have lost only once in their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game, and have kept a clean sheet in one of those matches. TSV 1860 München, by contrast, are on a one-match losing streak and have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, though they have scored an average of 2.0 goals themselves. The away side's consistency and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the away team's superior overall strength, their unbeaten streak, and the fact that they are the clear odds favourites. Additionally, the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced (one win each), but the current form and market confidence strongly favour Holstein Kiel. The home side's lack of a home record (0 games) offers no additional advantage.

Conclusion: All available data points to a Holstein Kiel victory. The away side's form, overall quality, and market backing make them the rightful favourites, and they should progress to the next round with a controlled performance.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
TSV 1860 MünchenHolstein Kiel
46%Strength53%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
43%Goals H2H57%
46%Wins the Game53%
Head-to-head →Injuries · TSV 1860 MünchenInjuries · Holstein KielLive scores →

Statistical Context

Holstein Kiel

LDLDD
  • LSep 13, 26A · 1. FC Heidenheim1-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · 1. FC Nürnberg2-2
  • LAug 30, 26A · 1. FC Magdeburg2-0
  • DAug 14, 26H · FC St. Pauli2-2
  • DAug 8, 26A · SV Darmstadt 982-2

Head to Head

1
TSV 1860 München
0
Draws
1
Holstein Kiel
  • Aug 19, 18TSV 1860 Munich – Holstein Kiel1-3
  • Aug 17, 14Holstein Kiel – TSV 1860 Munich1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

TSV 1860 MünchenHolstein Kiel
Played—5
Goals Scored—6
Goals Conceded—9
Avg Scored—1.2
Avg Conceded—1.8
Clean Sheets—0

TSV 1860 München vs Holstein Kiel — Match Analysis

Holstein Kiel are favored at 64% to win away at TSV 1860 München. The draw is rated 20% and the home win 16%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Holstein Kiel enter this DFB Pokal tie as clear favourites, with the market and the statistical model both pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's superior overall rating (53.5% vs 46.5%) and their unbeaten run of three matches underline their current momentum, while TSV 1860 München arrive on the back of a defeat and with a weaker overall profile.

Form Analysis: Holstein Kiel have lost only once in their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game, and have kept a clean sheet in one of those matches. TSV 1860 München, by contrast, are on a one-match losing streak and have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, though they have scored an average of 2.0 goals themselves. The away side's consistency and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.

Key Factors: The most decisive factors are the away team's superior overall strength, their unbeaten streak, and the fact that they are the clear odds favourites. Additionally, the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced (one win each), but the current form and market confidence strongly favour Holstein Kiel. The home side's lack of a home record (0 games) offers no additional advantage.

Conclusion: All available data points to a Holstein Kiel victory. The away side's form, overall quality, and market backing make them the rightful favourites, and they should progress to the next round with a controlled performance.

Win Probabilities: TSV 1860 München: 16% · Draw: 20% · Holstein Kiel: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 66%

H2H: TSV 1860 München wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · Holstein Kiel wins: 1

Form (latest first): TSV 1860 München: LWWDD · Holstein Kiel: LDLDD

  • M. Eberwein vs J. Meffert: The home side's attacking midfielder will look to create chances, but Meffert's defensive screening could be crucial in nullifying his influence.
  • J. Steinkötter vs I. Nekić: Steinkötter's movement and finishing will test Nekić's defensive positioning and composure.
  • Matthew Collins vs K. Davidsen: Collins' energy in midfield will be matched by Davidsen's work rate, with the battle in the middle of the park likely to decide the flow of the game.

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