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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg

MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg

Result • DFB Pokal·MSV Duisburg·SV Elversberg

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Aug 22, 2026
13:30
high Confidence
MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg

Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.92
X3.84
21.81
Stadium
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
high Confidence
WINNER
SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

Away
Odds
13.92
X3.84
21.81
Stadium
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Win Probabilities
20%
MSV Duisburg
29%
Draw
51%
SV Elversberg
Home3.9220%
Draw3.8429%
Away1.8151%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

SV Elversberg are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a strong head-to-head record. The main risk is Duisburg's defensive resilience and home advantage, which could force a tight contest.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between MSV Duisburg and SV Elversberg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns MSV Duisburg a 20% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and SV Elversberg a 51% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: C. Coskun
    23'
    Yellow Card: C. CoskunMSV Duisburg
  2. 38'
    Goal: L. SchnellbacherSV Elversberg · Assist: F. Keidel
    Goal: L. SchnellbacherAssist: F. Keidel
  3. Goal: L. Lobinger
    54'
    Goal: L. LobingerMSV Duisburg
  4. Substitution: J. SymallaOut: C. Noss
    69'
    Substitution: J. SymallaMSV Duisburg · Out: C. Noss
  5. Substitution: F. KrugerOut: L. Lobinger
    69'
    Substitution: F. KrugerMSV Duisburg · Out: L. Lobinger
  6. Substitution: R. SafiOut: P. Sussek
    69'
    Substitution: R. SafiMSV Duisburg · Out: P. Sussek
  7. 69'
    Substitution: F. OnyekaSV Elversberg · Out: N. Darvich
    Substitution: F. OnyekaOut: N. Darvich
  8. 69'
    Substitution: D. Mokwa NtusuSV Elversberg · Out: L. Schnellbacher
    Substitution: D. Mokwa NtusuOut: L. Schnellbacher
  9. 71'
    Yellow Card: F. KeidelSV Elversberg
    Yellow Card: F. Keidel
  10. 81'
    Substitution: N. MickelsonSV Elversberg · Out: L. Gunther
    Substitution: N. MickelsonOut: L. Gunther
  11. 82'
    Substitution: L. SirchSV Elversberg · Out: J. Gyamerah
    Substitution: L. SirchOut: J. Gyamerah
  12. 88'
    Goal: F. OnyekaSV Elversberg
    Goal: F. Onyeka
  13. 90+1'
    Goal: F. KeidelSV Elversberg
    Goal: F. Keidel
  14. 90+2'
    Substitution: A. CondeSV Elversberg · Out: F. Keidel
    Substitution: A. CondeOut: F. Keidel
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Lex-Tyger Lobinger vs Maximilian Rohr: Duisburg's main attacking threat will test Elversberg's centre-back, who must contain his pace and movement.
2Noah Darvich vs Martin Ens: The creative midfielder will look to find pockets of space between the lines, while Ens must track his runs to prevent goal-scoring opportunities.
3Cole Campbell vs Joshua Bitter: Campbell's dribbling and directness on the wing will challenge Bitter's defensive discipline, a key duel in determining Elversberg's attacking output.
Strengths · Weaknesses

MSV Duisburg

  • Solid defensive record with two clean sheets in last five
  • Compact 5-4-1 formation designed to frustrate opponents
  • Recent loss and lack of momentum
  • Lower scoring output compared to opponents

SV Elversberg

  • Excellent recent form with five unbeaten matches
  • High scoring average of 2.8 goals per game
  • Only one clean sheet in last five, suggesting defensive vulnerability
  • May be complacent as clear favourites

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
45%
48%
SV Elversberg153748

Moderate agreement on away win (48%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

SV Elversberg enter this DFB Pokal clash as clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is formidable, with five consecutive unbeaten matches and an average of 2.8 goals scored per game, while MSV Duisburg have lost their last outing and average just 1.8 goals. The head-to-head record also favours the visitors, who have won two of the last five meetings.

Form Analysis: SV Elversberg are in red-hot form, having won four and drawn one of their last five, scoring freely and conceding just once per game on average. MSV Duisburg, by contrast, are on a one-match losing streak and have been less prolific in front of goal. The visitors' attacking momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: First, SV Elversberg's superior attacking output (2.8 goals per game) compared to Duisburg's 1.8. Second, the visitors' five-match unbeaten run versus Duisburg's recent defeat. Third, the head-to-head edge, with Elversberg winning two of the last five encounters.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. SV Elversberg's form, attacking threat, and historical superiority make them the clear favourites to progress in the DFB Pokal.

Statistical ContextSV Elversberg

Double chance : draw or SV Elversberg

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
40%Strength59%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
36%H2H Strength64%
45%Goals H2H55%
40%Wins the Game59%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MSV DuisburgInjuries · SV ElversbergLive scores →

Statistical Context

MSV Duisburg

WLW
  • WSep 15, 26H · Havelse2-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Fortuna Düsseldorf2-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · SSV Jahn Regensburg1-2

SV Elversberg

LWWWL
  • LSep 13, 26H · Bayern München1-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Borussia Mönchengladbach3-4
  • WAug 29, 26H · Bayer Leverkusen3-2
  • WMay 17, 26H · Preußen Münster3-0
  • LMay 10, 26A · Fortuna Düsseldorf3-1

Head to Head

1
MSV Duisburg
1
Draws
2
SV Elversberg
  • Apr 25, 23MSV Duisburg – SV Elversberg2-2
  • Oct 8, 22SV Elversberg – MSV Duisburg3-0
  • Mar 26, 14MSV Duisburg – SV Elversberg3-0
  • Oct 5, 13SV Elversberg – MSV Duisburg1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
Played—3
Goals Scored—8
Goals Conceded—7
Avg Scored—2.7
Avg Conceded—2.3
Clean Sheets—0

MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg — Match Analysis

SV Elversberg are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a strong head-to-head record. The main risk is Duisburg's defensive resilience and home advantage, which could force a tight contest.

SV Elversberg enter this DFB Pokal clash as clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is formidable, with five consecutive unbeaten matches and an average of 2.8 goals scored per game, while MSV Duisburg have lost their last outing and average just 1.8 goals. The head-to-head record also favours the visitors, who have won two of the last five meetings.

Form Analysis: SV Elversberg are in red-hot form, having won four and drawn one of their last five, scoring freely and conceding just once per game on average. MSV Duisburg, by contrast, are on a one-match losing streak and have been less prolific in front of goal. The visitors' attacking momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: First, SV Elversberg's superior attacking output (2.8 goals per game) compared to Duisburg's 1.8. Second, the visitors' five-match unbeaten run versus Duisburg's recent defeat. Third, the head-to-head edge, with Elversberg winning two of the last five encounters.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. SV Elversberg's form, attacking threat, and historical superiority make them the clear favourites to progress in the DFB Pokal.

Win Probabilities: MSV Duisburg: 20% · Draw: 29% · SV Elversberg: 51%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 63% · Under 2.5: 37% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: MSV Duisburg wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · SV Elversberg wins: 2

Form (latest first): MSV Duisburg: WLW · SV Elversberg: LWWWL

  • Lex-Tyger Lobinger vs Maximilian Rohr: Duisburg's main attacking threat will test Elversberg's centre-back, who must contain his pace and movement.
  • Noah Darvich vs Martin Ens: The creative midfielder will look to find pockets of space between the lines, while Ens must track his runs to prevent goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Cole Campbell vs Joshua Bitter: Campbell's dribbling and directness on the wing will challenge Bitter's defensive discipline, a key duel in determining Elversberg's attacking output.

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