Aris Thessalonikis are favored to win against OFI based on bookmaker odds and home advantage.
Form Analysis: Aris are on a 3-match unbeaten streak (WWDLD) while OFI have lost their last match (LWDWL). Aris average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while OFI average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.
Key Factors: Home advantage for Aris (rating 0.55), OFI's slightly better league position (6th vs 8th) but negative goal difference, and head-to-head history shows OFI have won 5 of the last 5 meetings, which is a notable counter-trend.
Conclusion: Despite OFI's strong H2H record, Aris' current form and home support give them the edge. The odds and model agree on a home win, so the prediction is a narrow victory for Aris Thessalonikis.
