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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. Panetolikos vs Larisa

Panetolikos vs Larisa

Result • Super League 1·Panetolikos·Larisa

Super League 1
Super League 1
May 12, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Panetolikos

Panetolikos

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.35
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Panetolikos Stadium
high Confidence
DRAW
Larisa

Larisa

Away
Odds
12.35
X3.10
23.20
Stadium
Panetolikos Stadium
Win Probabilities
42%
Panetolikos
34%
Draw
24%
Larisa
Home2.3542%
Draw3.1034%
Away3.2024%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Panetolikos's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Larisa, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between Panetolikos and Larisa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Panetolikos a 42% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Larisa a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 46'
    Substitution: D. OlafssonLarisa · Out: F. Perez
    Substitution: D. OlafssonOut: F. Perez
  2. Yellow Card: Y. Badji
    52'
    Yellow Card: Y. BadjiPanetolikos
  3. 58'
    Goal: L. TuptaLarisa · Assist: A. Sagal
    Goal: L. TuptaAssist: A. Sagal
  4. 63'
    Substitution: L. GarateLarisa · Out: G. Pasas
    Substitution: L. GarateOut: G. Pasas
  5. Substitution: L. SmyrlisOut: Lenny Lobato
    68'
    Substitution: L. SmyrlisPanetolikos · Out: Lenny Lobato
  6. Substitution: G. SatsiasOut: C. Mavrias
    68'
    Substitution: G. SatsiasPanetolikos · Out: C. Mavrias
  7. Substitution: J. GarciaOut: Y. Badji
    68'
    Substitution: J. GarciaPanetolikos · Out: Y. Badji
  8. Substitution: K. AleksicOut: Farley Rosa
    77'
    Substitution: K. AleksicPanetolikos · Out: Farley Rosa
  9. Substitution: J. AguirreOut: Esteban Diego
    77'
    Substitution: J. AguirrePanetolikos · Out: Esteban Diego
  10. 78'
    Substitution: E. FerigraLarisa · Out: Y. Macon
    Substitution: E. FerigraOut: Y. Macon
  11. 78'
    Substitution: Z. ChatzistravosLarisa · Out: A. Sagal
    Substitution: Z. ChatzistravosOut: A. Sagal
  12. 90+4'
    Substitution: T. IliadisLarisa · Out: L. Tupta
    Substitution: T. IliadisOut: L. Tupta
  13. Goal: J. GarciaAssist: G. Satsias
    90+4'
    Goal: J. GarciaPanetolikos · Assist: G. Satsias
  14. Yellow Card: A. Bouchalakis
    90+6'
    Yellow Card: A. BouchalakisPanetolikos
  15. 90+6'
    Yellow Card: J. AtanasovLarisa
    Yellow Card: J. Atanasov
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Panetolikos defense vs Á. Sagal: Sagal is Larisa's top scorer with 6 goals, and Panetolikos must contain him to keep a clean sheet.
2Panetolikos midfield vs J. Atanasov: Atanasov's high rating (7.08) and creativity could unlock Panetolikos' defense.
3Larisa defense vs Panetolikos attack: Both teams have low scoring averages, so defensive organization will be crucial.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Panetolikos

  • Strong head-to-head record against Larisa
  • Slight home advantage
  • Inconsistent form (WLDLL)
  • Low scoring average (0.8 goals per game)

Larisa

  • Resilient defense (conceding 1.0 goals per game)
  • Recent draws show ability to avoid defeat
  • Winless in last 5 matches (DDLDL)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 games

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
44%
Panetolikos444017

Moderate agreement on home win (44%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Panetolikos is the predicted winner based on odds-implied probabilities (40% home win) and API model (45% home win, advice: double chance home or draw). The match is expected to be low-scoring with both teams averaging 0.8 goals scored per game.

Form Analysis: Panetolikos has a mixed form (WLDLL) with 1 clean sheet in last 5, while Larisa is winless in 5 (DDLDL) with 0 clean sheets. Both teams have identical average goals scored (0.8) and conceded (1.0). Panetolikos failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Panetolikos (5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in last 10). Home advantage is moderate (rating 0.55). No significant injuries reported. Weather is neutral (sunny, 14°C).

Conclusion: Panetolikos has the edge due to superior H2H record and slight home advantage, but both teams' poor form suggests a low-scoring affair. A draw is a strong possibility given the balanced odds and recent draws for Larisa.

Statistical ContextPanetolikos

Double chance : Panetolikos or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PanetolikosLarisa
57%Strength42%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
71%Goals H2H29%
57%Wins the Game42%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PanetolikosInjuries · Larisa

Statistical Context

Panetolikos

LWWWL
  • LSep 13, 26A · Panathinaikos3-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Levadiakos0-2
  • WAug 29, 26H · Kalamata2-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Asteras Tripolis3-1
  • LMay 21, 26H · Asteras Tripolis1-2

Larisa

WDLWD
  • WSep 12, 26H · Zakynthos1-0
  • DSep 6, 26H · Anagennisi Karditsas1-1
  • LMay 21, 26A · Kifisia3-2
  • WMay 16, 26H · Atromitos2-1
  • DMay 9, 26H · Asteras Tripolis1-1

Head to Head

1
Panetolikos
4
Draws
5
Larisa
  • Apr 8, 26Larisa – Panetolikos1-2
  • Feb 7, 26Larisa – Panetolikos1-4
  • Nov 8, 25Panetolikos – Larisa3-0
  • Apr 3, 21Larisa – Panetolikos1-1
  • Feb 28, 21Larisa – Panetolikos1-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

PanetolikosLarisa
Played335
Goals Scored732
Goals Conceded153
Avg Scored2.30.9
Avg Conceded0.31.5
Clean Sheets26

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PanetolikosLarisa
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets2/10—

Panetolikos vs Larisa — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Panetolikos's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Larisa, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Panetolikos is the predicted winner based on odds-implied probabilities (40% home win) and API model (45% home win, advice: double chance home or draw). The match is expected to be low-scoring with both teams averaging 0.8 goals scored per game.

Form Analysis: Panetolikos has a mixed form (WLDLL) with 1 clean sheet in last 5, while Larisa is winless in 5 (DDLDL) with 0 clean sheets. Both teams have identical average goals scored (0.8) and conceded (1.0). Panetolikos failed to score in 2 of last 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors Panetolikos (5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in last 10). Home advantage is moderate (rating 0.55). No significant injuries reported. Weather is neutral (sunny, 14°C).

Conclusion: Panetolikos has the edge due to superior H2H record and slight home advantage, but both teams' poor form suggests a low-scoring affair. A draw is a strong possibility given the balanced odds and recent draws for Larisa.

Win Probabilities: Panetolikos: 42% · Draw: 34% · Larisa: 24%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Panetolikos wins: 1 · Draws: 4 · Larisa wins: 5

Form (latest first): Panetolikos: LWWWL · Larisa: WDLWD

  • Panetolikos defense vs Á. Sagal: Sagal is Larisa's top scorer with 6 goals, and Panetolikos must contain him to keep a clean sheet.
  • Panetolikos midfield vs J. Atanasov: Atanasov's high rating (7.08) and creativity could unlock Panetolikos' defense.
  • Larisa defense vs Panetolikos attack: Both teams have low scoring averages, so defensive organization will be crucial.

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece13 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Sep 1916:00
Kifisia
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Sep 1916:30
Iraklis 1908
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Sep 2014:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
110.0010%
X4.1724%
21.5266%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Sep 2015:00
AEK Athens FC
111.119%
X4.7621%
21.4370%
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Sep 2016:30
Panathinaikos
15.2619%
X4.1724%
21.7557%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Sep 2018:00
PAOK
17.6913%
X3.8526%
21.6461%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Oct 1015:00
Panathinaikos
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Oct 1015:00
OFI
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Oct 1015:00
Kalamata
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 1015:00
Atromitos
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 1015:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Oct 1015:00
Panetolikos
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Super League 1Greece
Iraklis 1908
Oct 1015:00
Levadiakos
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%

Betting Tips

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