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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. Panathinaikos vs PAOK

Panathinaikos vs PAOK

Result • Super League 1·Panathinaikos·PAOK

Super League 1
Super League 1
Sep 6, 2026
18:30
low Confidence
WINNER
Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.03
X3.34
23.56
Stadium
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
low Confidence
PAOK

PAOK

Away
Odds
12.03
X3.34
23.56
Stadium
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Win Probabilities
38%
Panathinaikos
31%
Draw
31%
PAOK
Home2.0338%
Draw3.3431%
Away3.5631%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with a slight edge for the home side, given their unbeaten run and solid defense. The main risk is PAOK's superior attacking form and historical dominance in this fixture.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between Panathinaikos and PAOK using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Panathinaikos a 38% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and PAOK a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 15'
    Red Card: Aritz ElustondoPAOK
    Red Card: Aritz Elustondo
  2. 18'
    Substitution: Dimitris BataoulasPAOK · Out: Dimitrios Pelkas
    Substitution: Dimitris BataoulasOut: Dimitrios Pelkas
  3. Goal: Vicente TabordaAssist: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
    29'
    Goal: Vicente TabordaPanathinaikos · Assist: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
  4. Goal: Andrews Tetteh
    38'
    Goal: Andrews TettehPanathinaikos
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Dimitrios ChatsidisPAOK · Out: Andrija Živković
    Substitution: Dimitrios ChatsidisOut: Andrija Živković
  6. 45+1'
    Yellow Card: Dimitris BataoulasPAOK
    Yellow Card: Dimitris Bataoulas
  7. Missed penalty: Vicente TabordaMissed penalty
    45+2'
    Missed penalty: Vicente TabordaPanathinaikos · Missed penalty
  8. Yellow Card: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
    48'
    Yellow Card: Giorgos KyriakopoulosPanathinaikos
  9. Goal: Andrews TettehAssist: Kings Kangwa
    52'
    Goal: Andrews TettehPanathinaikos · Assist: Kings Kangwa
  10. Yellow Card: Andrews Tetteh
    54'
    Yellow Card: Andrews TettehPanathinaikos
  11. 58'
    Substitution: Mady CamaraPAOK · Out: Baptiste Santamaria
    Substitution: Mady CamaraOut: Baptiste Santamaria
  12. Substitution: Cyriel DessersOut: Vicente Taborda
    61'
    Substitution: Cyriel DessersPanathinaikos · Out: Vicente Taborda
  13. Substitution: Imrân LouzaOut: Kings Kangwa
    62'
    Substitution: Imrân LouzaPanathinaikos · Out: Kings Kangwa
  14. Substitution: Azzedine OunahiOut: Andrews Tetteh
    67'
    Substitution: Azzedine OunahiPanathinaikos · Out: Andrews Tetteh
  15. VAR: VAR · Card upgrade confirmedCyriel Dessers
    69'
    VAR: VAR · Card upgrade confirmedPanathinaikos · Cyriel Dessers
  16. Red Card: Cyriel Dessers
    69'
    Red Card: Cyriel DessersPanathinaikos
  17. 75'
    Substitution: Taison Barcellos FredaPAOK · Out: Taha Ali
    Substitution: Taison Barcellos FredaOut: Taha Ali
  18. 75'
    Substitution: Ognjen ugresicPAOK · Out: Christos Zafeiris
    Substitution: Ognjen ugresicOut: Christos Zafeiris
  19. Yellow Card: Etiene Camara
    88'
    Yellow Card: Etiene CamaraPanathinaikos
  20. Substitution: Elmin RastoderOut: Levi García
    90'
    Substitution: Elmin RastoderPanathinaikos · Out: Levi García
  21. Substitution: Panagiotis BiniarisOut: Etiene Camara
    90'
    Substitution: Panagiotis BiniarisPanathinaikos · Out: Etiene Camara
  22. 90+2'
    Goal: Ognjen ugresicPAOK · Assist: Jonjoe Kenny
    Goal: Ognjen ugresicAssist: Jonjoe Kenny
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 2stats picks landed in this match
Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team—Predicted 5.3 – 3.9Real 5 – 2——
Total corners—Predicted 9.1Real 7chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.4Real 4Over 3.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 5.0 – 3.2Real 11 – 2Panathinaikos more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 12.8 – 9.8Real 25 – 5chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Panathinaikos

  • Solid defensive record with two clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Unbeaten in five games, showing resilience and consistency
  • Only two goals scored in the last five matches, indicating a lack of firepower
  • Recent form includes three draws, suggesting difficulty in converting dominance into wins

PAOK

  • Perfect start to the season with two wins from two matches
  • Prolific attack, scoring six goals in their last two games
  • Conceded at least one goal in each of their last two matches, showing defensive vulnerability
  • Limited recent match data (only two games) makes form assessment less reliable

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
45%
38%
PAOK243838

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (24%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Super League 1 clash at the Olympic Stadium of Athens pits Panathinaikos against PAOK in a match that looks finely balanced. The bookmaker odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, but the statistical model and team comparison data lean towards the visitors, making this a genuinely competitive fixture.

Form Analysis: Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last five matches, with a record of WDWDD, and have kept two clean sheets in that run. PAOK, meanwhile, have won both of their opening league games, scoring six goals and conceding just one, which gives them a perfect start and a superior goal difference.

Key Factors: The most striking factor is the head-to-head record, where PAOK have won four of the last ten meetings, but Panathinaikos have also claimed three victories, indicating a closely fought rivalry. Defensively, the home side have been solid, but PAOK's attacking output has been more prolific. The absence of any significant injuries means both teams can field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: Given the balance of data, this match is likely to be tight, with both teams capable of scoring. The home advantage and solid defensive record of Panathinaikos give them a narrow edge, but PAOK's form and attacking threat mean they cannot be discounted. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but the slight lean is towards the home side.

Statistical ContextPAOK

Double chance : draw or PAOK

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PanathinaikosPAOK
23%Strength76%
25%Attacking Potential75%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
22%Goals H2H78%
23%Wins the Game76%

More information

Super League 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 107/7Head-to-headPanathinaikos – PAOKInjuriesPanathinaikosInjuriesPAOKLive scores

Statistical Context

Panathinaikos

WWWWW
  • WNov 1, 26H · AEK Athens FC2-0
  • WOct 25, 26A · Volos NFC0-1
  • WOct 22, 26A · Kairat Almaty1-5
  • WOct 18, 26H · Asteras Tripolis5-1
  • WOct 15, 26H · Borac Banja Luka2-1

PAOK

WLWLW
  • WNov 1, 26H · Asteras Tripolis2-1
  • LOct 25, 26A · OFI2-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · Iraklis 19082-1
  • LOct 12, 26H · Kalamata1-3
  • WSep 20, 26A · Panetolikos1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122WWWWW
2Panathinaikos8+1421WWLWW
3PAOK9+618WLWLW
4AEK Athens FC7+1817WWWDW

Head to Head

3
Panathinaikos
3
Draws
4
PAOK
  • May 17, 26Panathinaikos – PAOK2-2
  • Apr 5, 26PAOK – Panathinaikos0-0
  • Feb 11, 26PAOK – Panathinaikos2-0
  • Feb 4, 26Panathinaikos – PAOK0-1
  • Dec 21, 25PAOK – Panathinaikos2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

PanathinaikosPAOK
Played88
Goals Scored1816
Goals Conceded411
Avg Scored2.32.0
Avg Conceded0.51.4
Clean Sheets42

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PanathinaikosPAOK
Over 2.5 Goals6/108/10
Both Teams Scored5/106/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

Panathinaikos vs PAOK — Match Analysis

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with a slight edge for the home side, given their unbeaten run and solid defense. The main risk is PAOK's superior attacking form and historical dominance in this fixture.

This Super League 1 clash at the Olympic Stadium of Athens pits Panathinaikos against PAOK in a match that looks finely balanced. The bookmaker odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, but the statistical model and team comparison data lean towards the visitors, making this a genuinely competitive fixture.

Form Analysis: Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last five matches, with a record of WDWDD, and have kept two clean sheets in that run. PAOK, meanwhile, have won both of their opening league games, scoring six goals and conceding just one, which gives them a perfect start and a superior goal difference.

Key Factors: The most striking factor is the head-to-head record, where PAOK have won four of the last ten meetings, but Panathinaikos have also claimed three victories, indicating a closely fought rivalry. Defensively, the home side have been solid, but PAOK's attacking output has been more prolific. The absence of any significant injuries means both teams can field their strongest available line-ups.

Conclusion: Given the balance of data, this match is likely to be tight, with both teams capable of scoring. The home advantage and solid defensive record of Panathinaikos give them a narrow edge, but PAOK's form and attacking threat mean they cannot be discounted. A draw is a very plausible outcome, but the slight lean is towards the home side.

Win Probabilities: Panathinaikos: 38% · Draw: 31% · PAOK: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 49% · Under 2.5: 51% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Panathinaikos wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · PAOK wins: 4

Form (latest first): Panathinaikos: WWWWW · PAOK: WLWLW

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Nov 216:00
Volos NFC
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Nov 217:30
Iraklis 1908
12.4441%
X2.8635%
24.1724%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Nov 715:00
Kifisia
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 717:30
Panetolikos
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Nov 815:00
Levadiakos
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 815:00
Kalamata
12.8635%
X3.1332%
23.0333%
Super League 1Greece
Iraklis 1908
Nov 815:30
Panathinaikos
19.0911%
X4.0025%
21.5664%
Super League 1Greece
OFI
Nov 817:00
Atromitos
Early projection
11.2580%
X7.6913%
214.297%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Nov 819:00
PAOK
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Nov 2117:30
AEK Athens FC
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Nov 2214:00
Atromitos
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Nov 2215:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
Panathinaikos
Nov 2215:30
OFI
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Nov 2217:00
Iraklis 1908
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Nov 2217:30
Kifisia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%

Betting Tips

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