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  1. Home
  2. NB I
  3. Paks vs MTK Budapest

Paks vs MTK Budapest

Result • NB I·Paks·MTK Budapest

NB I
NB I
Oct 10, 2026
17:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paks

Paks

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.91
X4.00
23.10
Stadium
Fehérvári úti stadion
medium Confidence
MTK Budapest

MTK Budapest

Away
Odds
11.91
X4.00
23.10
Stadium
Fehérvári úti stadion
Win Probabilities
50%
Paks
22%
Draw
28%
MTK Budapest
Home1.9150%
Draw4.0022%
Away3.1028%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Paks are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this NB I fixture between Paks and MTK Budapest using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paks a 50% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and MTK Budapest a 28% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 74%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 74%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Yellow Card: Vilius ArmalasMTK Budapest
    Yellow Card: Vilius Armalas
  2. Yellow Card: Balázs Balogh
    19'
    Yellow Card: Balázs BaloghPaks
  3. Goal: Ákos KinyikAssist: János Szabó
    19'
    Goal: Ákos KinyikPaks · Assist: János Szabó
  4. Yellow Card: János Szabó
    25'
    Yellow Card: János SzabóPaks
  5. 59'
    Substitution: István BognárMTK Budapest · Out: Kristof Hinora
    Substitution: István BognárOut: Kristof Hinora
  6. 59'
    Substitution: Soma SzuhodovszkiMTK Budapest · Out: Gyorgy Komaromi
    Substitution: Soma SzuhodovszkiOut: Gyorgy Komaromi
  7. Substitution: Kevin HorvathOut: Balázs Balogh
    67'
    Substitution: Kevin HorvathPaks · Out: Balázs Balogh
  8. 69'
    Substitution: Benedek VarjuMTK Budapest · Out: Vilius Armalas
    Substitution: Benedek VarjuOut: Vilius Armalas
  9. Substitution: Barna TóthOut: Jozsef Szalai
    71'
    Substitution: Barna TóthPaks · Out: Jozsef Szalai
  10. Substitution: Milan PetőOut: Zsolt Haraszti
    71'
    Substitution: Milan PetőPaks · Out: Zsolt Haraszti
  11. Goal: Kevin HorvathAssist: Barna Tóth
    74'
    Goal: Kevin HorvathPaks · Assist: Barna Tóth
  12. Yellow Card: Barna Tóth
    75'
    Yellow Card: Barna TóthPaks
  13. 78'
    Substitution: Sámuel Barnabás BakóMTK Budapest · Out: Adrian Zeljkovic
    Substitution: Sámuel Barnabás BakóOut: Adrian Zeljkovic
  14. 78'
    Substitution: Milán Gábo KlauszMTK Budapest · Out: Mark Kerezsi Zalan
    Substitution: Milán Gábo KlauszOut: Mark Kerezsi Zalan
  15. 87'
    Red Card: Soma SzuhodovszkiMTK Budapest
    Red Card: Soma Szuhodovszki
  16. Substitution: Gergo GyurkitsOut: József Windecker
    89'
    Substitution: Gergo GyurkitsPaks · Out: József Windecker
  17. Goal: Milan PetőAssist: Barna Tóth
    90+1'
    Goal: Milan PetőPaks · Assist: Barna Tóth
  18. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: Benedek VarjuMTK Budapest
    Yellow Card: Benedek Varju
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headPaks – MTK BudapestInjuriesPaksInjuriesMTK BudapestLive scores

Statistical Context

Paks

WLWLD
  • WOct 25, 26A · Vasas0-2
  • LOct 17, 26H · Gyori ETO FC1-2
  • WSep 19, 26A · Kisvarda FC0-1
  • LSep 5, 26H · Debreceni VSC2-4
  • DJul 30, 26A · Panathinaikos2-2

MTK Budapest

LWLL
  • LOct 25, 26A · Ferencvarosi TC5-0
  • WOct 16, 26H · Vasas1-0
  • LSep 20, 26H · Gyori ETO FC1-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Kisvarda FC1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Ferencvarosi TC10+817WDDDD
4Paks11+317WLWWL
5Debreceni VSC11+216WWDLW
6Vasas11+315LLDWW
7Ujpest11+215LLDWD
8Kisvarda FC11-112DDDLW
9MTK Budapest11-612LWLLL
10Nyiregyhaza11-911WLLDL

Paks vs MTK Budapest — Match Analysis

Paks are favoured at 49%; our projected score is 2-1.

Paks host MTK Budapest in the NB I on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Paks the favourite at 49%, with the draw at 22% and MTK Budapest at 29%.

Form and league position

Paks sit 6th of 12 with 11 points from 8 games (16 scored, 17 conceded), recent form D-L-W. MTK Budapest sit 7th of 12 with 9 points from 8 games (15 scored, 14 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 2.1–1.8, about 3.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 74%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Paks at 2.02, the draw at 4.10 and MTK Budapest at 3.00; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Paks to win (49%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Paks: 50% · Draw: 22% · MTK Budapest: 28%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 74% · Under 2.5: 26% · BTTS: 74%

Form (latest first): Paks: WLWLD · MTK Budapest: LWLL

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NB I

NB I

Hungary15 · Upcoming Fixtures
NB IHungary
Budapest Honved
Oct 3114:45
Kisvarda FC
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
NB IHungary
Zalaegerszegi TE
Oct 3116:45
MTK Budapest
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
NB IHungary
Gyori ETO FC
Oct 3118:45
Vasas
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
NB IHungary
Puskas Academy
Nov 112:30
Debreceni VSC
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
NB IHungary
Ferencvarosi TC
Nov 115:00
Paks
11.5266%
X5.8817%
25.8817%
NB IHungary
Ujpest
Nov 117:15
Nyiregyhaza
11.8953%
X4.3523%
24.1724%
NB IHungary
Paks
Nov 712:30
Zalaegerszegi TE
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
NB IHungary
MTK Budapest
Nov 715:45
Budapest Honved
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
NB IHungary
Kisvarda FC
Nov 717:45
Puskas Academy
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
NB IHungary
Nyiregyhaza
Nov 812:15
Gyori ETO FC
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
NB IHungary
Debreceni VSC
Nov 814:30
Ujpest
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
NB IHungary
Vasas
Nov 818:00
Ferencvarosi TC
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
NB IHungary
Puskas Academy
Nov 2112:30
MTK Budapest
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
NB IHungary
Ujpest
Nov 2115:00
Kisvarda FC
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
NB IHungary
Ferencvarosi TC
Nov 2117:30
Gyori ETO FC
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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