Drogheda United host Derry City in the Premier Division on Friday, 16 October 2026. Our model makes Derry City the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Drogheda United at 32%.
Form and league position
Drogheda United sit 9th of 10 with 34 points from 33 games (39 scored, 54 conceded), recent form L-W-W-L-L. Derry City sit 5th of 10 with 41 points from 32 games (45 scored, 42 conceded), recent form L-D-W-D-W.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Drogheda United won 1, Derry City won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.4, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Drogheda United at 3.10, the draw at 3.50 and Derry City at 2.14; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Derry City to win (41%), most likely score 1-2.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
