Derry City host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Monday, 19 October 2026. Our model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Derry City at 31%.
Form and league position
Derry City sit 6th of 10 with 41 points from 33 games (45 scored, 44 conceded), recent form D-W-D-W-L. St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd of 10 with 59 points from 33 games (53 scored, 27 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-L.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Derry City won 0, St Patrick's Athl. won 0 and 4 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.3, about 2.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Derry City at 3.05, the draw at 3.25 and St Patrick's Athl. at 2.25; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
St Patrick's Athl. to win (42%), most likely score 0-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.




