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Today's Tips
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.

Result • Premier Division·Derry City·St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division
Premier Division
Oct 19, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Derry City

Derry City

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.58
X3.38
22.15
Stadium
Brandywell Stadium
medium Confidence
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

Away
Odds
13.58
X3.38
22.15
Stadium
Brandywell Stadium
Win Probabilities
27%
Derry City
27%
Draw
46%
St Patrick's Athl.
Home3.5827%
Draw3.3827%
Away2.1546%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

St Patrick's Athl. are favoured at 42%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Derry City a 27% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and St Patrick's Athl. a 46% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Darragh Burns
    21'
    Yellow Card: Darragh BurnsDerry City
  2. Substitution: Conor BarryOut: Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
    45'
    Substitution: Conor BarryDerry City · Out: Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
  3. 53'
    Yellow Card: Anthony OlusanyaSt Patrick's Athl.
    Yellow Card: Anthony Olusanya
  4. 57'
    Substitution: Jason McClellandSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Anto Breslin
    Substitution: Jason McClellandOut: Anto Breslin
  5. 57'
    Substitution: Ryan EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Aidan Keena
    Substitution: Ryan EdmondsonOut: Aidan Keena
  6. Goal: Kévin SantosAssist: Darragh Burns
    62'
    Goal: Kévin SantosDerry City · Assist: Darragh Burns
  7. 63'
    Substitution: Christopher ForresterSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Kian Leavy
    Substitution: Christopher ForresterOut: Kian Leavy
  8. 64'
    Substitution: Ryan SheridanSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Barry Baggley
    Substitution: Ryan SheridanOut: Barry Baggley
  9. Yellow Card: James Clarke
    70'
    Yellow Card: James ClarkeDerry City
  10. Substitution: Darragh MarkeyOut: Kévin Santos
    72'
    Substitution: Darragh MarkeyDerry City · Out: Kévin Santos
  11. 75'
    Substitution: Romal PalmerSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Luke·Turner
    Substitution: Romal PalmerOut: Luke·Turner
  12. Substitution: Cameron DummiganOut: nick twisk
    80'
    Substitution: Cameron DummiganDerry City · Out: nick twisk
  13. 80'
    Yellow Card: Christopher ForresterSt Patrick's Athl.
    Yellow Card: Christopher Forrester
  14. Substitution: Terence DohertyOut: Tyler·Smith
    85'
    Substitution: Terence DohertyDerry City · Out: Tyler·Smith
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Premier Division predicted line-ups: Gameweek 365/5Head-to-headDerry City – St Patrick's Athl.InjuriesDerry CityInjuriesSt Patrick's Athl.Live scores

Statistical Context

Derry City

DWLWD
  • DOct 30, 26A · Sligo Rovers2-2
  • WOct 23, 26H · Dundalk2-1
  • LOct 16, 26A · Drogheda United2-0
  • WSep 18, 26H · Galway United1-0
  • DSep 14, 26A · Waterford2-2

St Patrick's Athl.

LDLWW
  • LOct 30, 26H · Bohemians2-3
  • DOct 23, 26A · Galway United0-0
  • LOct 16, 26H · Shelbourne1-2
  • WSep 19, 26A · Sligo Rovers0-1
  • WSep 14, 26A · Dundalk0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Bohemians36+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.36+2460LDLLW
4Shelbourne36+249LWWWD
5Derry City36+348DWWLW
6Dundalk36-445WLDLL

Head to Head

0
Derry City
4
Draws
0
St Patrick's Athl.
  • Aug 2, 26St Patrick's Athl. – Derry City1-1
  • May 22, 26Derry City – St Patrick's Athl.0-0
  • Mar 16, 26St Patrick's Athl. – Derry City0-0
  • Aug 29, 25Derry City – St Patrick's Athl.2-2

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. — Match Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. are favoured at 42%; our projected score is 0-1.

Derry City host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Monday, 19 October 2026. Our model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Derry City at 31%.

Form and league position

Derry City sit 6th of 10 with 41 points from 33 games (45 scored, 44 conceded), recent form D-W-D-W-L. St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd of 10 with 59 points from 33 games (53 scored, 27 conceded), recent form L-W-W-W-L.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Derry City won 0, St Patrick's Athl. won 0 and 4 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.3, about 2.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Derry City at 3.05, the draw at 3.25 and St Patrick's Athl. at 2.25; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

St Patrick's Athl. to win (42%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Derry City: 27% · Draw: 27% · St Patrick's Athl.: 46%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (9.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 53%

H2H: Derry City wins: 0 · Draws: 4 · St Patrick's Athl. wins: 0

Form (latest first): Derry City: DWLWD · St Patrick's Athl.: LDLWW

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