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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Waterford vs Derry City

Waterford vs Derry City

Result • Premier Division·Waterford·Derry City

Premier Division
Premier Division
Sep 14, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
DRAW
Waterford

Waterford

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.10
X3.40
22.20
Stadium
Regional Sports Centre
low Confidence
DRAW
Derry City

Derry City

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.40
22.20
Stadium
Regional Sports Centre
Win Probabilities
32%
Waterford
27%
Draw
41%
Derry City
Home3.1032%
Draw3.4027%
Away2.2041%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Derry City are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Waterford and Derry City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Waterford a 32% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Derry City a 41% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 59%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 59%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Goal: Adam O'ReillyDerry City · Assist: James Clarke
    Goal: Adam O'ReillyAssist: James Clarke
  2. 11'
    Yellow Card: Adam O'ReillyDerry City
    Yellow Card: Adam O'Reilly
  3. 45'
    Yellow Card: James ClarkeDerry City
    Yellow Card: James Clarke
  4. Goal: Evan McLaughlin
    45'
    Goal: Evan McLaughlinWaterford
  5. 51'
    Goal: Michael DuffyDerry City · Assist: Brandon·Fleming
    Goal: Michael DuffyAssist: Brandon·Fleming
  6. Goal: Padraig AmondAssist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto
    57'
    Goal: Padraig AmondWaterford · Assist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto
  7. 64'
    Yellow Card: Liam BoyceDerry City
    Yellow Card: Liam Boyce
  8. Substitution: Sam GlenfieldOut: Evan McLaughlin
    64'
    Substitution: Sam GlenfieldWaterford · Out: Evan McLaughlin
  9. Substitution: Luke HeeneyOut: Noah Mawene
    64'
    Substitution: Luke HeeneyWaterford · Out: Noah Mawene
  10. Substitution: Dean McmenamyOut: C.Noonan
    64'
    Substitution: Dean McmenamyWaterford · Out: C.Noonan
  11. Yellow Card: Sam Glenfield
    73'
    Yellow Card: Sam GlenfieldWaterford
  12. 73'
    Substitution: Ellis ChapmanDerry City · Out: James Clarke
    Substitution: Ellis ChapmanOut: James Clarke
  13. 74'
    Yellow Card: Darragh BurnsDerry City
    Yellow Card: Darragh Burns
  14. 76'
    Substitution: Kévin SantosDerry City · Out: Darragh Burns
    Substitution: Kévin SantosOut: Darragh Burns
  15. 88'
    Yellow Card: Mark Gerard ConnollyDerry City
    Yellow Card: Mark Gerard Connolly
  16. 88'
    Yellow Card: Ciaran GroganDerry City
    Yellow Card: Ciaran Grogan
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

Waterford 2-2 Derry City
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-1chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Premier Division predicted line-ups: Gameweek 365/5Head-to-headWaterford – Derry CityInjuriesWaterfordInjuriesDerry CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Waterford

WWWLL
  • WOct 30, 26A · Shelbourne2-3
  • WOct 23, 26H · Drogheda United3-1
  • WOct 19, 26H · Galway United3-2
  • LOct 16, 26A · Bohemians2-1
  • LSep 18, 26A · Shamrock Rovers3-2

Derry City

DWWLW
  • DOct 30, 26A · Sligo Rovers2-2
  • WOct 23, 26H · Dundalk2-1
  • WOct 19, 26H · St Patrick's Athl.1-0
  • LOct 16, 26A · Drogheda United2-0
  • WSep 18, 26H · Galway United1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Shelbourne36+249LWWWD
5Derry City36+348DWWLW
6Dundalk36-445WLDLL
7Waterford36-743WWWLL
8Galway United36-742LDLWD

Head to Head

1
Waterford
1
Draws
2
Derry City
  • Jul 3, 26Derry City – Waterford2-4
  • May 15, 26Waterford – Derry City2-2
  • Feb 27, 26Derry City – Waterford4-2
  • Oct 17, 25Waterford – Derry City1-2

Waterford vs Derry City — Match Analysis

Derry City are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 1-2.

Waterford host Derry City in the Premier Division on Monday, 14 September 2026. Our model makes Derry City the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Waterford at 32%.

Form and league position

Waterford sit 8th of 10 with 33 points from 30 games (40 scored, 49 conceded), recent form W-W-D-W-D. Derry City sit 5th of 10 with 37 points from 30 games (42 scored, 40 conceded), recent form D-W-L-D-W.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Waterford won 1, Derry City won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.8 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.5, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Waterford at 3.15, the draw at 3.50 and Derry City at 2.10; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Derry City to win (41%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Waterford: 32% · Draw: 27% · Derry City: 41%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 54% · Under 2.5: 46% · BTTS: 59%

H2H: Waterford wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Derry City wins: 2

Form (latest first): Waterford: WWWLL · Derry City: DWWLW

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