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  1. Home
  2. Coppa Italia
  3. Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina vs Napoli

Prediction • Coppa Italia·Fiorentina·Napoli

Coppa Italia
Coppa Italia
Dec 16, 2026
20:00
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
PREDICTED WINNER
Napoli

Napoli

Away
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Win Probabilities
28%
Fiorentina
30%
Draw
42%
Napoli
Home3.5728%
Draw3.3330%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Napoli are narrow favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile, despite missing numerous players. The main risk is Fiorentina's home advantage and Napoli's own injury crisis, which could level the playing field.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Fiorentina vs Napoli.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Fiorentina
/10
2.0Napoli
Fiorentina
FormLatest first
DWDLL
Win Rate20%
Napoli
FormLatest first
DLLWD
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Nicolò Fagioli
7.0

Nicolò Fagioli

Fiorentina

VS
David Neres
8.2

David Neres

Napoli

5ATT35
100TEC100
45TAC84
21DEF13
15CRE90

Goalscorers

StarterFiorentina – Napoli
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1.0
Avg Scored
1.4
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.1
Match Flow
4/10
Scored First
6/10
2.9
Avg Cards
2.1
4.8
Avg Corners
4.9

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

More markets

StarterFiorentina – Napoli
New · More markets

Every way to read this match

Worked out from the same score grid as the main prediction, so the numbers always agree.

Match stats predictions

StarterFiorentina – Napoli

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Fiorentina
Home

Fiorentina

Form
LLDWD
Latest first
6
Pos
65
Pts
-8
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-8
  • Strong attacking output in API comparison (100%)
  • Home crowd support at Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Ability to score goals despite poor results (11 goals in last 5)
M. Kean
Transfer negotiations
Injured
F. Parisi
Knee Injury
Injured
R. Sottil
Back Injury
Injured
A. Atta
Muscle Strain
Injured
F. Mastantuono
Fracture
Injured
L. Ranieri
Leg Injury
Injured
M. Pongracic
Muscle Injury
Injured
Napoli
Away

Napoli

Form
LDWLD
Latest first
1
Pos
82
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets330%
Goal Diff+4
  • Dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in last 9)
  • Superior overall statistical profile (83% in API comparison)
  • Higher win rate in recent form (44%)
V. Milinkovic-Savic
Muscle Injury
Injured
K. De Bruyne
Ankle Injury
Injured
G. Di Lorenzo
Muscle Injury
Injured
C. Favasuli
Thigh Injury
Injured
A. Vergara
Calf Injury
Injured
M. Olivera
Groin Injury
Injured
L. Spinazzola
Thigh Injury
Injured
S. McTominay
Heart Problems
Injured
F. Anguissa
Groin Injury
Injured
S. Lobotka
Ankle Injury
Injured
Giovane
Groin Injury
Injured
Alisson Santos
Muscle Injury
Injured
A. Buongiorno
Knee Injury
Injured
L. Marianucci
Knee Injury
Injured
David Neres
Thigh Injury
Injured
B. Badiashile
Injury
Injured
M. Politano
Injury
Injured
R. Hojlund
Illness
Injured
A. Rrahmani
Illness
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1Wins
3
Draws
Napoli
6Wins
Napoli
10%30%60%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Sep202026
FiorentinaFiorentina
1-1
Draw
NapoliNapoli
Jan312026
NapoliNapoli
2-1
Loss
FiorentinaFiorentina
Sep132025
FiorentinaFiorentina
1-3
Loss
NapoliNapoli
Mar92025
NapoliNapoli
2-1
Loss
FiorentinaFiorentina
Jan42025
FiorentinaFiorentina
0-3
Loss
NapoliNapoli
May172024
FiorentinaFiorentina
2-2
Draw
NapoliNapoli
Jan182024
NapoliNapoli
3-0
Loss
FiorentinaFiorentina
Oct82023
NapoliNapoli
1-3
Win
FiorentinaFiorentina
May72023
NapoliNapoli
1-0
Loss
FiorentinaFiorentina
Aug282022
FiorentinaFiorentina
0-0
Draw
NapoliNapoli

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Fiorentina 1 - 1 Napoli

Sep 20, 2026

24% / 33% / 43%

Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina

Jan 31, 2026

55% / 26% / 19%

Scorer chances

StarterFiorentina – Napoli
New · Goalscorers

Who scores?

Chance each player scores at any time, from this season's minutes, goals and shots.

Fiorentina4-3-3vs4-3-3NapoliPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Fiorentina

7Out

7 key players

Napoli

19Out

17 key players

Fiorentina

Team

Fiorentina

Players Out

7(7 key)
M. Kean

M. Kean

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Parisi

F. Parisi

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

R. Sottil

R. Sottil

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

A. Atta

A. Atta

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Strain

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Mastantuono

F. Mastantuono

MODERATE
Injury:Fracture

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Ranieri

L. Ranieri

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

M. Pongracic

M. Pongracic

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Napoli

Team

Napoli

Players Out

19(17 key)
V. Milinkovic-Savic

V. Milinkovic-Savic

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

K. De Bruyne

K. De Bruyne

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

G. Di Lorenzo

G. Di Lorenzo

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Favasuli

C. Favasuli

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Vergara

A. Vergara

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Olivera

M. Olivera

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Spinazzola

L. Spinazzola

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

S. McTominay

S. McTominay

MODERATE
Injury:Heart Problems

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Anguissa

F. Anguissa

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Lobotka

S. Lobotka

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Giovane

Giovane

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Alisson Santos

Alisson Santos

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Buongiorno

A. Buongiorno

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

L. Marianucci

L. Marianucci

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

David Neres

David Neres

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

B. Badiashile

B. Badiashile

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Politano

M. Politano

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Hojlund

R. Hojlund

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

A. Rrahmani

A. Rrahmani

MINOR
Injury:Illness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-7 days

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Napoli

Confidence

Win Probabilities

28%Fiorentina
30%Draw
42%Napoli

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Dec 16 · 20:00
StadiumStadio Diego Armando Maradona
League StatsCoppa Italia
2:1Correct Score Predictions TodayToday's most likely score for every match — free, updated every 15 minutes.

More information

Line-upsFiorentina – NapoliHead-to-headFiorentina – NapoliInjuriesFiorentinaInjuriesNapoliLive scores

Statistical Context

Fiorentina

DWDLL
  • DNov 8, 26H · Juventus2-2
  • WNov 2, 26A · Sassuolo2-4
  • DOct 29, 26H · Atalanta2-2
  • LOct 25, 26A · Inter2-1
  • LOct 18, 26H · Como1-3

Napoli

DLLWD
  • DNov 8, 26H · Lazio1-1
  • LNov 4, 26A · FC Porto4-1
  • LNov 1, 26A · Juventus2-0
  • WOct 28, 26A · Monza1-4
  • DOct 24, 26H · AS Roma3-3

Head to Head

1
Fiorentina
3
Draws
6
Napoli
  • Sep 20, 26Fiorentina – Napoli1-1
  • Jan 31, 26Napoli – Fiorentina2-1
  • Sep 13, 25Fiorentina – Napoli1-3
  • Mar 9, 25Napoli – Fiorentina2-1
  • Jan 4, 25Fiorentina – Napoli0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

FiorentinaNapoli
Played1010
Goals Scored1517
Goals Conceded2313
Avg Scored1.51.7
Avg Conceded2.31.3
Clean Sheets03

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FiorentinaNapoli
Over 2.5 Goals6/104/10
Both Teams Scored5/104/10
Clean Sheets1/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Predicted XI

Fiorentina

4-3-3Formation· Coach: F. Grosso

Napoli

4-3-3Formation· Coach: A. Conte

  1. 14N. Contini
  1. 31S. Beukema
  2. 35Luca Marianucci
  3. 16Rafa Marín
  4. 13Amir Rrahmani
  1. 99A. Zambo Anguissa
  2. 18F. Barido
  3. 6B. Gilmour
  1. 70N. Lang
  2. 20L. Lucca
  3. 19R. Højlund
  1. 23Beto
  2. 29W. Gnonto
  3. 30Franco Mastantuono
  1. 4M. Brescianini
  2. 44N. Fagioli
  3. 42C. Inao Oulaï
  1. 2Dodô
  2. 3R. Drăgușin
  3. 20Álex Jiménez
  4. 17João Mário
  1. 53O. Christensen

Bench

  • 19L. Lezzerini
  • 43David de Gea
  • 21Valde
  • 33Viery
  • 27C. Ndour
  • 28Pote
  • 72B. Mazzeo

Out

  • M. Kean · Transfer negotiations
  • F. Parisi · Knee Injury
  • R. Sottil · Back Injury
  • A. Atta · Abdominal strain
  • F. Mastantuono · Broken Hand
  • L. Ranieri · Leg Injury
  • M. Pongracic · Muscle Injury

Bench

  • 32V. Milinković-Savić
  • 1C. Pugliese
  • 9M. Pereyra

Out

  • V. Milinkovic-Savic · Muscle Injury
  • K. De Bruyne · Ankle Injury
  • G. Di Lorenzo · Muscle Injury
  • C. Favasuli · Thigh Injury
  • A. Vergara · Calf Injury
  • M. Olivera · Groin Injury
  • L. Spinazzola · Thigh Injury
  • S. McTominay · Heart Problems

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Fiorentina vs Napoli — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Napoli are narrow favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile, despite missing numerous players. The main risk is Fiorentina's home advantage and Napoli's own injury crisis, which could level the playing field.

Napoli hold a narrow edge in this Coppa Italia tie, supported by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile, though the absence of key players on both sides introduces uncertainty.…

Win Probabilities: Fiorentina: 28% · Draw: 30% · Napoli: 42%

H2H: Fiorentina wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Napoli wins: 6

Form (latest first): Fiorentina: DWDLL · Napoli: DLLWD

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Coppa Italia

Coppa Italia

Italy3 · Upcoming Fixtures
Coppa ItaliaItaly
Inter
Dec 120:00
Genoa
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Coppa ItaliaItaly
Como
Dec 220:00
Cremonese
13.0333%
X3.0333%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Coppa ItaliaItaly
Juventus
Dec 320:00
Sassuolo
12.0848%
X3.7027%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

Betting Tips

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