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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli vs AC Milan

Result • Serie A·Napoli·AC Milan

Serie A
Serie A
Apr 6, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
Napoli

Napoli

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.45
X3.00
23.10
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
high Confidence
AC Milan

AC Milan

Away
Odds
12.45
X3.00
23.10
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Win Probabilities
45%
Napoli
35%
Draw
20%
AC Milan
Home2.4545%
Draw3.0035%
Away3.1020%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Napoli's fiery streak clashing with Milan's resilient shield, where ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory or stalemate under the sun.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Napoli and AC Milan using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Napoli a 45% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and AC Milan a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: A. Buongiorno
    12'
    Yellow Card: A. BuongiornoNapoli
  2. 62'
    Substitution: Z. AthekameAC Milan · Out: A. Saelemaekers
    Substitution: Z. AthekameOut: A. Saelemaekers
  3. 63'
    Substitution: S. GimenezAC Milan · Out: N. Fullkrug
    Substitution: S. GimenezOut: N. Fullkrug
  4. Substitution: Alisson SantosOut: Giovane
    70'
    Substitution: Alisson SantosNapoli · Out: Giovane
  5. 74'
    Substitution: C. PulisicAC Milan · Out: C. Nkunku
    Substitution: C. PulisicOut: C. Nkunku
  6. Substitution: M. PolitanoOut: L. Spinazzola
    74'
    Substitution: M. PolitanoNapoli · Out: L. Spinazzola
  7. Goal: M. Politano
    79'
    Goal: M. PolitanoNapoli
  8. Yellow Card: M. Politano
    81'
    Yellow Card: M. PolitanoNapoli
  9. 82'
    Substitution: R. Loftus-CheekAC Milan · Out: F. Tomori
    Substitution: R. Loftus-CheekOut: F. Tomori
  10. 82'
    Substitution: R. LeaoAC Milan · Out: Y. Fofana
    Substitution: R. LeaoOut: Y. Fofana
  11. Substitution: E. ElmasOut: K. De Bruyne
    85'
    Substitution: E. ElmasNapoli · Out: K. De Bruyne
  12. Substitution: S. BeukemaOut: Juan Jesus
    85'
    Substitution: S. BeukemaNapoli · Out: Juan Jesus
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 2stats picks landed in this match
Napoli 1-0 AC Milan
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 5.9 – 2.8Real 4 – 3Napoli more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 8.6Real 7chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 2.9Real 2Over 1.5✓ hit
Shots on target—Predicted 4.5 – 3.9Real 3 – 1——
Total shots—Predicted 13.6 – 11.3Real 10 – 7chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Zambo Anguissa vs AC Milan midfield: Napoli's top scorer faces AC Milan's defensive setup, crucial for breaking down their solid defense.
2C. Pulišić vs Napoli defense: AC Milan's leading scorer tests Napoli's backline, which has injury concerns and recent defensive lapses.
3K. De Bruyne vs Rafael Leão: Midfield battle between Napoli's key player and AC Milan's attacker, influencing control and transition play.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Napoli

  • 4-game winning streak
  • Strong recent attacking form with 1.6 avg goals scored
  • 4 players out with injuries, all doubtful
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 games

AC Milan

  • No injuries reported
  • Strong defensive record with 0.8 avg goals conceded
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • Mixed recent form with WLWWL

More information

Serie A predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1210/10Head-to-headNapoli – AC MilanInjuriesNapoliInjuriesAC MilanLive scores

Statistical Context

Napoli

DLLWD
  • DNov 8, 26H · Lazio1-1
  • LNov 4, 26A · FC Porto4-1
  • LNov 1, 26A · Juventus2-0
  • WOct 28, 26A · Monza1-4
  • DOct 24, 26H · AS Roma3-3

AC Milan

WLWLW
  • WNov 8, 26A · Genoa1-2
  • LNov 5, 26H · Ferencvarosi TC0-2
  • WOct 31, 26H · Inter3-1
  • LOct 28, 26H · Bologna2-4
  • WOct 25, 26A · Udinese0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3AS Roma11+2127WWWDW
4AC Milan11+1024WWLWW
5Como11+823LWWWW
6Frosinone11+920LWWDW
7Juventus11+318DWLWL
8Bologna11+217WWWWL
9Cagliari11-516WLLLL
10Napoli11+415DLWDL
11Torino11-214DLLWW

Head to Head

4
Napoli
2
Draws
4
AC Milan
  • Dec 18, 25Napoli – AC Milan2-0
  • Sep 28, 25AC Milan – Napoli2-1
  • Mar 30, 25Napoli – AC Milan2-1
  • Oct 29, 24AC Milan – Napoli0-2
  • Feb 11, 24AC Milan – Napoli1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

NapoliAC Milan
Played103
Goals Scored174
Goals Conceded135
Avg Scored1.71.3
Avg Conceded1.31.7
Clean Sheets31

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

NapoliAC Milan
Over 2.5 Goals4/104/10
Both Teams Scored4/105/10
Clean Sheets5/104/10

Napoli vs AC Milan — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Napoli's fiery streak clashing with Milan's resilient shield, where ancient wisdom reveals a narrow victory or stalemate under the sun.

Based on the data, Napoli is predicted to have a slight edge over AC Milan, with a draw being a strong possibility.

Form Analysis: Napoli is on a 4-game winning streak, indicating high momentum, while AC Milan has a mixed form with WLWWL and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games. Napoli averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared to AC Milan's 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded, showing Napoli's stronger recent attacking form.

Key Factors: 1) Napoli's 4-game winning streak provides significant momentum advantage. 2) AC Milan has no injuries, while Napoli has 4 doubtful players, potentially weakening their squad. 3) Head-to-head history shows Napoli with 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge.

Conclusion: The data supports Napoli as favorites due to form and H2H, but injuries and AC Milan's defensive record make a draw likely, aligning with adjusted probabilities.

Win Probabilities: Napoli: 45% · Draw: 35% · AC Milan: 20%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Napoli wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · AC Milan wins: 4

Form (latest first): Napoli: DLLWD · AC Milan: WLWLW

  • A. Zambo Anguissa vs AC Milan midfield: Napoli's top scorer faces AC Milan's defensive setup, crucial for breaking down their solid defense.
  • C. Pulišić vs Napoli defense: AC Milan's leading scorer tests Napoli's backline, which has injury concerns and recent defensive lapses.
  • K. De Bruyne vs Rafael Leão: Midfield battle between Napoli's key player and AC Milan's attacker, influencing control and transition play.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Nov 2114:00
Lecce
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Serie AItaly
Como
Nov 2114:00
Cagliari
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Serie AItaly
Parma
Nov 2117:00
AS Roma
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Nov 2119:45
Torino
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie AItaly
Juventus
Nov 2211:30
Venezia
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Nov 2214:00
Genoa
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Nov 2214:00
Udinese
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
AC Milan
Nov 2217:00
Frosinone
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Nov 2219:45
Inter
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Serie AItaly
Monza
Nov 2319:45
Fiorentina
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Nov 2719:45
Bologna
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
Serie AItaly
Frosinone
Nov 2814:00
Parma
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Nov 2817:00
Lazio
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
Serie AItaly
Inter
Nov 2819:45
Genoa
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Nov 2911:30
Fiorentina
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

Betting Tips

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