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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Bologna vs Parma

Bologna vs Parma

Result • Serie A·Bologna·Parma

Serie A
Serie A
Feb 8, 2026
11:30
medium Confidence
Bologna

Bologna

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.60
X3.70
26.25
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
medium Confidence
WINNER
Parma

Parma

Away
Odds
11.60
X3.70
26.25
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Win Probabilities
59%
Bologna
26%
Draw
15%
Parma
Home1.6059%
Draw3.7026%
Away6.2515%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Bologna's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Parma, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Bologna and Parma using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Bologna a 59% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Parma a 15% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%

Match Events

  1. Red Card: T. Pobega
    18'
    Red Card: T. PobegaBologna
  2. Substitution: N. ZorteaOut: Joao Mario
    46'
    Substitution: N. ZorteaBologna · Out: Joao Mario
  3. 49'
    Yellow Card: S. BritschgiParma
    Yellow Card: S. Britschgi
  4. 54'
    Substitution: G. StrefezzaParma · Out: G. Oristanio
    Substitution: G. StrefezzaOut: G. Oristanio
  5. Substitution: S. CastroOut: T. Dallinga
    57'
    Substitution: S. CastroBologna · Out: T. Dallinga
  6. 61'
    Yellow Card: M. TroiloParma
    Yellow Card: M. Troilo
  7. Substitution: J. MirandaOut: C. Lykogiannis
    68'
    Substitution: J. MirandaBologna · Out: C. Lykogiannis
  8. 69'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideParma · S. Castro
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Castro
  9. Yellow Card: J. Lucumi
    76'
    Yellow Card: J. LucumiBologna
  10. 79'
    Substitution: C. OrdonezParma · Out: O. Sorensen
    Substitution: C. OrdonezOut: O. Sorensen
  11. 79'
    Yellow Card: M. TroiloParma
    Yellow Card: M. Troilo
  12. 79'
    Red Card: M. TroiloParma
    Red Card: M. Troilo
  13. 86'
    Substitution: F. CarboniParma · Out: A. Bernabe
    Substitution: F. CarboniOut: A. Bernabe
  14. 87'
    Substitution: H. Nicolussi CavigliaParma · Out: M. Keita
    Substitution: H. Nicolussi CavigliaOut: M. Keita
  15. Substitution: R. OrsoliniOut: F. Bernardeschi
    87'
    Substitution: R. OrsoliniBologna · Out: F. Bernardeschi
  16. Substitution: N. CambiaghiOut: J. Rowe
    87'
    Substitution: N. CambiaghiBologna · Out: J. Rowe
  17. 90+5'
    Goal: C. OrdonezParma · Assist: H. Nicolussi Caviglia
    Goal: C. OrdonezAssist: H. Nicolussi Caviglia
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1R. Orsolini vs Parma's defense: Orsolini's goal-scoring ability (6 goals) could challenge Parma's backline, which has conceded 1.8 avg goals.
2Mateo Pellegrino vs Bologna's midfield: Pellegrino's high rating (8.95) may test Bologna's midfield in a 4-3-3 setup, but Bologna's defensive organization could limit his impact.
3N. Cambiaghi vs Parma's wingers: Cambiaghi's assists (4) might create opportunities against Parma's flanks, exploiting their recent defensive issues.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Bologna

  • Higher league position and goal difference
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Recent form includes losses (LLLWD)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Parma

  • Two clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Key player Mateo Pellegrino has high average rating
  • Low scoring form with 0.6 avg goals scored
  • On a 2-loss streak and failed to score in 3 of last 5 games
Head-to-head →Injuries · BolognaInjuries · ParmaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Bologna

DLDLL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Torino1-1
  • LSep 13, 26A · Napoli1-0
  • DSep 6, 26H · Sassuolo2-2
  • LAug 31, 26A · Atalanta1-0
  • LAug 24, 26H · Lazio0-1

Parma

WLDWL
  • WSep 20, 26H · Genoa2-1
  • LSep 14, 26A · Como2-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Monza1-1
  • WSep 1, 26A · Cremonese0-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Juventus2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
14Torino5-34DLWLL
15Parma5-34WLDLL
16Monza5-44WLDLL
17Fiorentina5-64DWLLL
18Bologna5-32DLDLL
19Genoa5-71LDLLL

Head to Head

5
Bologna
4
Draws
1
Parma
  • Dec 4, 25Bologna – Parma2-1
  • Nov 2, 25Parma – Bologna1-3
  • Feb 22, 25Parma – Bologna2-0
  • Oct 6, 24Bologna – Parma0-0
  • Feb 7, 21Parma – Bologna0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

BolognaParma
Played55
Goals Scored34
Goals Conceded67
Avg Scored0.60.8
Avg Conceded1.21.4
Clean Sheets00

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

BolognaParma
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored6/106/10
Clean Sheets4/102/10

Bologna vs Parma — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Bologna's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Parma, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the structured data, Bologna is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 59% chance for a home win, with the API-Football model also predicting Bologna as the winner, indicating consensus.

Form Analysis: Bologna has a current streak of 1 win, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in their last 5 matches. Parma is on a 2-loss streak, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Bologna holds a higher league position (10th vs 15th) with a 7-point advantage and better goal difference. 2. Home advantage is rated at 0.55, favoring Bologna. 3. Parma's recent struggles include consecutive losses and scoring issues, while Bologna shows slightly better offensive form.

Conclusion: The data supports Bologna as the favorite due to superior standings, home advantage, and Parma's poor recent form, aligning with market and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Bologna: 59% · Draw: 26% · Parma: 15%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Bologna wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · Parma wins: 1

Form (latest first): Bologna: DLDLL · Parma: WLDWL

  • R. Orsolini vs Parma's defense: Orsolini's goal-scoring ability (6 goals) could challenge Parma's backline, which has conceded 1.8 avg goals.
  • Mateo Pellegrino vs Bologna's midfield: Pellegrino's high rating (8.95) may test Bologna's midfield in a 4-3-3 setup, but Bologna's defensive organization could limit his impact.
  • N. Cambiaghi vs Parma's wingers: Cambiaghi's assists (4) might create opportunities against Parma's flanks, exploiting their recent defensive issues.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Genoa
Oct 1013:00
Fiorentina
14.0025%
X3.0333%
22.3842%
Serie AItaly
Inter
Oct 1016:00
Parma
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Oct 1018:45
Frosinone
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Como
Oct 1110:30
AS Roma
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Oct 1113:00
Monza
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Serie AItaly
Lecce
Oct 1113:00
Bologna
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Oct 1116:00
AC Milan
15.0020%
X3.3330%
22.0050%
Serie AItaly
Cagliari
Oct 1118:45
Juventus
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Oct 1216:30
Venezia
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Oct 1218:45
Udinese
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Serie AItaly
Frosinone
Oct 1618:45
Sassuolo
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Oct 1713:00
Napoli
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Oct 1716:00
Inter
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Oct 1718:45
Genoa
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Oct 1810:30
Lecce
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

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