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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Inter vs Fiorentina

Inter vs Fiorentina

Result • Serie A·Inter·Fiorentina

Serie A
Serie A
Oct 25, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Inter

Inter

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.36
X5.00
27.00
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
high Confidence
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
Odds
11.36
X5.00
27.00
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Win Probabilities
67%
Inter
22%
Draw
11%
Fiorentina
Home1.3667%
Draw5.0022%
Away7.0011%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Inter are clear favourites to win, backed by their excellent form, perfect home record, and Fiorentina's struggles. The main risk is Inter's lengthy injury list potentially disrupting their rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Inter and Fiorentina using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Inter a 67% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Fiorentina a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 51'
    Substitution: VieryFiorentina · Out: Marin Pongračić
    Substitution: VieryOut: Marin Pongračić
  2. Substitution: Ange-Yoan BonnyOut: Pio Esposito
    64'
    Substitution: Ange-Yoan BonnyInter · Out: Pio Esposito
  3. 65'
    Goal: Álex JiménezFiorentina · Assist: Nicolo Fagioli
    Goal: Álex JiménezAssist: Nicolo Fagioli
  4. 70'
    Yellow Card: VieryFiorentina
    Yellow Card: Viery
  5. 75'
    Substitution: Wilfried GnontoFiorentina · Out: Franco Mastantuono
    Substitution: Wilfried GnontoOut: Franco Mastantuono
  6. 75'
    Substitution: Domilson DodoFiorentina · Out: Álex Jiménez
    Substitution: Domilson DodoOut: Álex Jiménez
  7. Substitution: Federico DimarcoOut: Alessandro Bastoni
    77'
    Substitution: Federico DimarcoInter · Out: Alessandro Bastoni
  8. Substitution: Piotr ZielińskiOut: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
    78'
    Substitution: Piotr ZielińskiInter · Out: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
  9. Substitution: Petar SučićOut: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
    78'
    Substitution: Petar SučićInter · Out: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  10. 83'
    Substitution: BetoFiorentina · Out: Mateo Pellegrino
    Substitution: BetoOut: Mateo Pellegrino
  11. 83'
    Substitution: João MárioFiorentina · Out: Alieu Njie
    Substitution: João MárioOut: Alieu Njie
  12. Substitution: Mattheo LavelliOut: Nicolò Barella
    85'
    Substitution: Mattheo LavelliInter · Out: Nicolò Barella
  13. Goal: Marcus ThuramAssist: Andy Diouf
    90+1'
    Goal: Marcus ThuramInter · Assist: Andy Diouf
  14. Penalty: Piotr Zieliński (Penalty)
    90+7'
    Penalty: Piotr Zieliński (Penalty)Inter
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Inter 2-1 Fiorentina
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 6.6 – 2.3Real 6 – 1Inter more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 9.0Real 7chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 4.2Real 1Over 3.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 1-0Real 0-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.5 – 4.1Real 11 – 2Inter more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 18.6 – 11.8Real 33 – 7chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Barella vs N. Fagioli: Barella's energy and box-to-box runs will test Fagioli's defensive discipline, and whoever wins this midfield battle will control the game's tempo.
2H. Çalhanoğlu vs M. Brescianini: Çalhanoğlu's set-piece delivery and long-range shooting against Brescianini's pressing could be decisive in breaking Fiorentina's resistance.
3A. Bastoni vs Dodô: Bastoni's defensive solidity and ability to start attacks will be crucial in containing Dodô's pace on the counter.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Inter

  • Excellent recent form with four wins in last five
  • Strong home record with four wins from four
  • Several key players injured, including B. Pavard and L. Martinez
  • Potential fatigue from European commitments

Fiorentina

  • Capable of scoring goals, averaging 2.0 per game in last five
  • Midfield creativity through Fagioli and Brescianini
  • Poor recent form with three losses in last five
  • Leaky defense conceding 1.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
67%
API-Football
45%
56%
Inter553411

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (56%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Inter are clear favourites to win this Serie A encounter at San Siro, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. The Nerazzurri sit second in the table, while Fiorentina are 18th, a massive 16-place gap that underscores the disparity in quality.

Form Analysis: Inter's recent form is excellent: four wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 21 goals and conceding just 9, with three clean sheets. Fiorentina, by contrast, have lost three of their last five, scoring only 8 and conceding 17, and are on a two-game losing streak. The momentum is firmly with the home side.

Key Factors: Inter's home record is perfect (4 wins from 4), and they have kept three clean sheets in their last five. Fiorentina are without several key players, including L. Ranieri and M. Kean, which weakens both defense and attack. The head-to-head record also favors Inter, who have won six of the last ten meetings. The weather is neutral, so it should not affect the outcome.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Inter win. The combination of superior form, home advantage, and Fiorentina's struggles makes an upset highly unlikely. The only slight concern is Inter's lengthy injury list, but their squad depth should compensate.

Statistical ContextInter

Combo Winner : Inter and +2.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
InterFiorentina
67%Strength32%
67%Attacking Potential33%
56%Defensive Potential44%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
58%Goals H2H42%
67%Wins the Game32%

More information

Serie A predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1210/10Head-to-headInter – FiorentinaInjuriesInterInjuriesFiorentinaLive scores

Statistical Context

Inter

WWLWW
  • WNov 8, 26H · Como2-0
  • WNov 3, 26A · Feyenoord0-3
  • LOct 31, 26A · AC Milan3-1
  • WOct 28, 26A · Venezia0-2
  • WOct 21, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk1-0

Fiorentina

DWDLL
  • DNov 8, 26H · Juventus2-2
  • WNov 2, 26A · Sassuolo2-4
  • DOct 29, 26H · Atalanta2-2
  • LOct 18, 26H · Como1-3
  • LOct 10, 26A · Genoa2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Lazio11+1629DWWWW
2Inter11+1528WLWWW
3AS Roma11+2127WWWDW
14Lecce11-1010DLLLW
15Fiorentina11-89DWDLL
16Parma11-88LWDLL

Head to Head

6
Inter
2
Draws
2
Fiorentina
  • Mar 22, 26Fiorentina – Inter1-1
  • Oct 29, 25Inter – Fiorentina3-0
  • Feb 10, 25Inter – Fiorentina2-1
  • Feb 6, 25Fiorentina – Inter3-0
  • Jan 28, 24Fiorentina – Inter0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

InterFiorentina
Played1010
Goals Scored2615
Goals Conceded1323
Avg Scored2.61.5
Avg Conceded1.32.3
Clean Sheets30

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

InterFiorentina
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/101/10

Inter vs Fiorentina — Match Analysis

Inter are clear favourites to win, backed by their excellent form, perfect home record, and Fiorentina's struggles. The main risk is Inter's lengthy injury list potentially disrupting their rhythm.

Inter are clear favourites to win this Serie A encounter at San Siro, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. The Nerazzurri sit second in the table, while Fiorentina are 18th, a massive 16-place gap that underscores the disparity in quality.

Form Analysis: Inter's recent form is excellent: four wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 21 goals and conceding just 9, with three clean sheets. Fiorentina, by contrast, have lost three of their last five, scoring only 8 and conceding 17, and are on a two-game losing streak. The momentum is firmly with the home side.

Key Factors: Inter's home record is perfect (4 wins from 4), and they have kept three clean sheets in their last five. Fiorentina are without several key players, including L. Ranieri and M. Kean, which weakens both defense and attack. The head-to-head record also favors Inter, who have won six of the last ten meetings. The weather is neutral, so it should not affect the outcome.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Inter win. The combination of superior form, home advantage, and Fiorentina's struggles makes an upset highly unlikely. The only slight concern is Inter's lengthy injury list, but their squad depth should compensate.

Win Probabilities: Inter: 67% · Draw: 22% · Fiorentina: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 65%

H2H: Inter wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Fiorentina wins: 2

Form (latest first): Inter: WWLWW · Fiorentina: DWDLL

  • N. Barella vs N. Fagioli: Barella's energy and box-to-box runs will test Fagioli's defensive discipline, and whoever wins this midfield battle will control the game's tempo.
  • H. Çalhanoğlu vs M. Brescianini: Çalhanoğlu's set-piece delivery and long-range shooting against Brescianini's pressing could be decisive in breaking Fiorentina's resistance.
  • A. Bastoni vs Dodô: Bastoni's defensive solidity and ability to start attacks will be crucial in containing Dodô's pace on the counter.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Nov 2114:00
Lecce
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
Serie AItaly
Como
Nov 2114:00
Cagliari
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Serie AItaly
Parma
Nov 2117:00
AS Roma
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%
Serie AItaly
Napoli
Nov 2119:45
Torino
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Nov 2211:30
Genoa
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Serie AItaly
AC Milan
Nov 2214:00
Frosinone
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Nov 2217:00
Udinese
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Nov 2219:45
Inter
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
Serie AItaly
Monza
Nov 2317:30
Fiorentina
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Serie AItaly
Juventus
Nov 2319:45
Venezia
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Nov 2917:30
Napoli
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
Serie AItaly
Cagliari
Nov 2917:30
AC Milan
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Nov 2917:30
Fiorentina
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Nov 2917:30
Monza
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Nov 2917:30
Lazio
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%

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