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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Empoli vs Palermo

Empoli vs Palermo

Result • Serie B·Empoli·Palermo

Serie B
Serie B
Oct 10, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
Empoli

Empoli

Home
Final Score
2-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.80
X3.25
21.91
Stadium
Carlo Castellani
medium Confidence
WINNER
Palermo

Palermo

Away
Odds
13.80
X3.25
21.91
Stadium
Carlo Castellani
Win Probabilities
20%
Empoli
31%
Draw
49%
Palermo
Home3.8020%
Draw3.2531%
Away1.9149%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Palermo are clear favourites for this Serie B clash, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and top-of-the-table form, while Empoli have lost two straight. The main risk is Empoli's home support and a historically tight head-to-head record, which could produce a tighter contest than the form suggests.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Empoli and Palermo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Empoli a 20% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Palermo a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: Lapo DeliOut: Filippo Bandinelli
    45'
    Substitution: Lapo DeliEmpoli · Out: Filippo Bandinelli
  2. Substitution: Karim ZedadkaOut: Simone Romagnoli
    45'
    Substitution: Karim ZedadkaEmpoli · Out: Simone Romagnoli
  3. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedEdoardo Saporiti
    47'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedEmpoli · Edoardo Saporiti
  4. Penalty: Edoardo Saporiti (Penalty)
    50'
    Penalty: Edoardo Saporiti (Penalty)Empoli
  5. 57'
    Goal: Joel PohjanpaloPalermo · Assist: Mattia Bani
    Goal: Joel PohjanpaloAssist: Mattia Bani
  6. Yellow Card: Jacopo Seghetti
    57'
    Yellow Card: Jacopo SeghettiEmpoli
  7. 65'
    Goal: Antonio PalumboPalermo · Assist: Dennis Johnsen
    Goal: Antonio PalumboAssist: Dennis Johnsen
  8. 69'
    Goal: Dennis JohnsenPalermo · Assist: Antonio Palumbo
    Goal: Dennis JohnsenAssist: Antonio Palumbo
  9. Substitution: Duccio Degli InnocentiOut: Edoardo Biondini
    71'
    Substitution: Duccio Degli InnocentiEmpoli · Out: Edoardo Biondini
  10. Substitution: Steven ShpendiOut: Niccolo Corrado
    71'
    Substitution: Steven ShpendiEmpoli · Out: Niccolo Corrado
  11. 75'
    Yellow Card: Filippo·RanocchiaPalermo
    Yellow Card: Filippo·Ranocchia
  12. VAR: VARSteven Shpendi
    76'
    VAR: VAREmpoli · Steven Shpendi
  13. Goal: Bogdan Popov
    79'
    Goal: Bogdan PopovEmpoli
  14. 80'
    Substitution: HernaniPalermo · Out: Jacopo Segre
    Substitution: HernaniOut: Jacopo Segre
  15. 80'
    Substitution: Nahuel EstévezPalermo · Out: Filippo·Ranocchia
    Substitution: Nahuel EstévezOut: Filippo·Ranocchia
  16. 80'
    Substitution: Alessandro GabrielloniPalermo · Out: Joel Pohjanpalo
    Substitution: Alessandro GabrielloniOut: Joel Pohjanpalo
  17. 80'
    Substitution: Luca MazzitelliPalermo · Out: Antonio Palumbo
    Substitution: Luca MazzitelliOut: Antonio Palumbo
  18. 85'
    Substitution: Patryk PedaPalermo · Out: Dennis Johnsen
    Substitution: Patryk PedaOut: Dennis Johnsen
  19. 88'
    Goal: Tommaso CassandroPalermo · Assist: Alessandro Gabrielloni
    Goal: Tommaso CassandroAssist: Alessandro Gabrielloni
  20. Substitution: Matteo EganOut: Joseph Ceesay
    89'
    Substitution: Matteo EganEmpoli · Out: Joseph Ceesay
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Empoli

  • Historically competitive in head-to-head meetings
  • Two clean sheets in their last five matches
  • Two-game losing streak and poor recent form
  • Low scoring rate, averaging just 0.8 goals per game

Palermo

  • Top of the league with 13 points and a +5 goal difference
  • Unbeaten in five matches, winning four
  • No clean sheets in their last five matches
  • Conceding 1.4 goals per game despite strong results

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
45%
47%
Palermo153847

Moderate agreement on away win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Palermo arrive at the Carlo Castellani as the clear favourites, backed by a commanding league position and a strong run of form. The data points to an away victory, with Empoli's recent struggles adding weight to that view.

Form Analysis: Palermo are unbeaten in their last five, winning four and drawing one, scoring 10 goals at an average of 2.8 per game. Empoli, by contrast, have lost two straight and won only two of their last five, managing just 0.8 goals per game. The momentum gap is stark, and the API-Football comparison reinforces it, with Palermo holding a decisive edge in attack, form and overall strength.

Key Factors: Palermo sit top of Serie B with 13 points and a +5 goal difference, while Empoli are 13th with 6 points and a -2 goal difference. The head-to-head record is more balanced, with Empoli historically competitive, but current form and standings heavily favour the visitors. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams should be close to full strength. Empoli's home advantage is modest, with a 1-1 home record this season, and the neutral weather conditions offer no clear edge to either style.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a Palermo win. Their attacking output, unbeaten streak and superior league position make them the deserved favourites, while Empoli's losing streak and low scoring rate are concerning. The most likely outcome is an away victory, with a narrow chance of a draw given Empoli's home support and the historically tight H2H.

Statistical ContextPalermo

Double chance : draw or Palermo

Team Comparison

AI Powered
EmpoliPalermo
37%Strength62%
29%Attacking Potential71%
45%Defensive Potential55%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
50%Goals H2H50%
37%Wins the Game62%

More information

Italy Serie B predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1010/10Head-to-headEmpoli – PalermoInjuriesEmpoliInjuriesPalermoLive scores

Statistical Context

Empoli

LLDLL
  • LOct 27, 26A · Cesena2-1
  • LOct 23, 26H · Vicenza Virtus0-2
  • DOct 17, 26A · Ascoli1-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Modena2-1
  • LSep 11, 26H · Arezzo0-1

Palermo

DWWWD
  • DOct 28, 26A · Pisa3-3
  • WOct 25, 26H · Carrarese2-1
  • WOct 17, 26A · Mantova0-2
  • WSep 19, 26H · Padova2-1
  • DSep 13, 26A · Avellino1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Palermo9+1023DWWWW
2Modena9+819WWLWW
17Juve Stabia908LWWDD
18Empoli9-77LLDLL
19Sampdoria9-105LDLLW

Head to Head

4
Empoli
3
Draws
3
Palermo
  • Feb 7, 26Palermo – Empoli3-2
  • Dec 7, 25Empoli – Palermo1-3
  • Feb 2, 18Empoli – Palermo4-0
  • Sep 9, 17Palermo – Empoli3-3
  • May 28, 17Palermo – Empoli2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

EmpoliPalermo
Played98
Goals Scored818
Goals Conceded158
Avg Scored0.92.3
Avg Conceded1.71.0
Clean Sheets22

Empoli vs Palermo — Match Analysis

Palermo are clear favourites for this Serie B clash, backed by a five-match unbeaten run and top-of-the-table form, while Empoli have lost two straight. The main risk is Empoli's home support and a historically tight head-to-head record, which could produce a tighter contest than the form suggests.

Palermo arrive at the Carlo Castellani as the clear favourites, backed by a commanding league position and a strong run of form. The data points to an away victory, with Empoli's recent struggles adding weight to that view.

Form Analysis: Palermo are unbeaten in their last five, winning four and drawing one, scoring 10 goals at an average of 2.8 per game. Empoli, by contrast, have lost two straight and won only two of their last five, managing just 0.8 goals per game. The momentum gap is stark, and the API-Football comparison reinforces it, with Palermo holding a decisive edge in attack, form and overall strength.

Key Factors: Palermo sit top of Serie B with 13 points and a +5 goal difference, while Empoli are 13th with 6 points and a -2 goal difference. The head-to-head record is more balanced, with Empoli historically competitive, but current form and standings heavily favour the visitors. No significant injuries are reported for either side, so both teams should be close to full strength. Empoli's home advantage is modest, with a 1-1 home record this season, and the neutral weather conditions offer no clear edge to either style.

Conclusion: The data strongly supports a Palermo win. Their attacking output, unbeaten streak and superior league position make them the deserved favourites, while Empoli's losing streak and low scoring rate are concerning. The most likely outcome is an away victory, with a narrow chance of a draw given Empoli's home support and the historically tight H2H.

Win Probabilities: Empoli: 20% · Draw: 31% · Palermo: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: Empoli wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Palermo wins: 3

Form (latest first): Empoli: LLDLL · Palermo: DWWWD

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Cremonese
Oct 3114:00
Benevento
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Oct 3114:00
Mantova
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
Serie BItaly
Sudtirol
Oct 3114:00
Cesena
12.2744%
X3.0333%
24.3523%
Serie BItaly
Catanzaro
Oct 3116:15
Padova
12.7037%
X3.2331%
23.1332%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Oct 3118:30
Virtus Entella
12.9434%
X3.0333%
23.0333%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Nov 114:00
Juve Stabia
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Nov 114:00
Pisa
12.5040%
X3.0333%
23.7027%
Serie BItaly
Arezzo
Nov 114:00
Ascoli
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Nov 116:15
Carrarese
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Serie BItaly
Palermo
Nov 118:30
Vicenza Virtus
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Nov 619:30
Palermo
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Nov 714:00
Catanzaro
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Serie BItaly
Pisa
Nov 714:00
Sudtirol
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
Serie BItaly
Juve Stabia
Nov 714:00
Arezzo
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Nov 714:00
Empoli
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%

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