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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Serie B
  3. Pisa vs Padova

Pisa vs Padova

Result • Serie B·Pisa·Padova

Serie B
Serie B
Aug 23, 2026
17:00
medium Confidence
Pisa

Pisa

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.73
X3.55
24.75
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
medium Confidence
WINNER
Padova

Padova

Away
Odds
11.73
X3.55
24.75
Stadium
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Win Probabilities
49%
Pisa
27%
Draw
24%
Padova
Home1.7349%
Draw3.5527%
Away4.7524%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Pisa are slight favourites due to home advantage and a higher league position, but their five-game losing streak makes this a tight contest. Padova's better recent form and Pisa's defensive issues are the main risks to a home win.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie B fixture between Pisa and Padova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Pisa a 49% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Padova a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: I. Vural
    35'
    Yellow Card: I. VuralPisa
  2. 46'
    Substitution: K. LasagnaPadova · Out: M. Bortolussi
    Substitution: K. LasagnaOut: M. Bortolussi
  3. Substitution: R. BozhinovOut: A. Caracciolo
    46'
    Substitution: R. BozhinovPisa · Out: A. Caracciolo
  4. Substitution: E. RaoOut: M. Tramoni
    61'
    Substitution: E. RaoPisa · Out: M. Tramoni
  5. Substitution: O. CorreiaOut: I. Vural
    62'
    Substitution: O. CorreiaPisa · Out: I. Vural
  6. 62'
    Substitution: M. CocchiPadova · Out: L. Zanimacchia
    Substitution: M. CocchiOut: L. Zanimacchia
  7. 63'
    Goal: P. FusiPadova
    Goal: P. Fusi
  8. 69'
    Substitution: G. GiuntiPadova · Out: M. Pompetti
    Substitution: G. GiuntiOut: M. Pompetti
  9. 70'
    Substitution: A. SeghettiPadova · Out: G. Caprari
    Substitution: A. SeghettiOut: G. Caprari
  10. 72'
    Yellow Card: G. GiuntiPadova
    Yellow Card: G. Giunti
  11. Substitution: I. FerrahOut: F. Loyola
    74'
    Substitution: I. FerrahPisa · Out: F. Loyola
  12. 77'
    Substitution: E. SillettiPadova · Out: F. Sgarbi
    Substitution: E. SillettiOut: F. Sgarbi
  13. 78'
    Yellow Card: A. CalabroPadova
    Yellow Card: A. Calabro
  14. Substitution: A. CalabresiOut: S. Zanon
    86'
    Substitution: A. CalabresiPisa · Out: S. Zanon
  15. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: A. DellavallePadova
    Yellow Card: A. Dellavalle
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Louis Buffon vs M. Bortolussi: The duel between Pisa's goalkeeper and Padova's striker could be decisive, as Buffon's shot-stopping will be tested by Bortolussi's finishing.
2M. Léris vs C. Buonaiuto: Pisa's midfielder will look to control the midfield against Padova's creative force, with the winner likely to dictate the tempo.
3T. Marras vs A. Capelli: Pisa's winger will aim to exploit Padova's defensive frailties, while Capelli will try to provide attacking threat from the flank.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Pisa

  • High average goals scored (2.4 per game)
  • Home advantage at Arena Garibaldi
  • Five-match losing streak
  • No clean sheets in last five

Padova

  • Won three of last five matches
  • Scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game
  • Conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game
  • Away from home, likely to face pressure

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
33%
41%
Pisa413029

Moderate agreement on home win (41%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Pisa enter this Serie B clash as the side with the stronger overall profile, holding a higher league position and a more potent attacking record in recent matches. Despite a poor run of five straight defeats, their average of 2.4 goals scored per game suggests they create chances and could turn their form around at home.

Form Analysis: Pisa's last five matches have all ended in defeat, yet they have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game, indicating attacking potency despite results. Padova, meanwhile, have won three of their last five (WWLWW) but have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive fragility. Pisa's home advantage and superior league standing give them a slight edge.

Key Factors: Pisa's higher league position (5th vs 9th) and home advantage are decisive. Padova's leaky defense (2.2 goals conceded per game) could be exploited by Pisa's attacking output. However, Pisa's five-game losing streak is a major concern, and Padova's better recent form (three wins) cannot be ignored.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely contested match with Pisa holding a narrow edge due to home advantage and attacking quality, but Padova's momentum and Pisa's poor run make this a tight call. A home win is the most likely outcome, but a draw or away win are realistic possibilities.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PisaPadova
50%Strength50%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
50%Wins the Game50%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PisaInjuries · PadovaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Pisa

DWLWW
  • DSep 20, 26A · Mantova2-2
  • WSep 15, 26H · Fiorentina3-0
  • LSep 11, 26H · Virtus Entella1-4
  • WSep 6, 26A · Juve Stabia0-3
  • WAug 30, 26H · Catanzaro2-1

Padova

LWLDL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Palermo2-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Ascoli1-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cremonese3-1
  • DAug 29, 26H · Hellas Verona1-1
  • LAug 15, 26A · Udinese1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Cesena5+17DDDWD
8Padova5-17LWLDW
9Benevento5+17WWLDL
10Pisa406LWWL
11Empoli4-16LWLW

Season Statistics — 2026

PisaPadova
Played44
Goals Scored64
Goals Conceded64
Avg Scored1.51.0
Avg Conceded1.51.0
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PisaPadova
Over 2.5 Goals4/103/10
Both Teams Scored3/105/10
Clean Sheets4/103/10

Pisa vs Padova — Match Analysis

Pisa are slight favourites due to home advantage and a higher league position, but their five-game losing streak makes this a tight contest. Padova's better recent form and Pisa's defensive issues are the main risks to a home win.

Pisa enter this Serie B clash as the side with the stronger overall profile, holding a higher league position and a more potent attacking record in recent matches. Despite a poor run of five straight defeats, their average of 2.4 goals scored per game suggests they create chances and could turn their form around at home.

Form Analysis: Pisa's last five matches have all ended in defeat, yet they have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game, indicating attacking potency despite results. Padova, meanwhile, have won three of their last five (WWLWW) but have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive fragility. Pisa's home advantage and superior league standing give them a slight edge.

Key Factors: Pisa's higher league position (5th vs 9th) and home advantage are decisive. Padova's leaky defense (2.2 goals conceded per game) could be exploited by Pisa's attacking output. However, Pisa's five-game losing streak is a major concern, and Padova's better recent form (three wins) cannot be ignored.

Conclusion: The data points to a closely contested match with Pisa holding a narrow edge due to home advantage and attacking quality, but Padova's momentum and Pisa's poor run make this a tight call. A home win is the most likely outcome, but a draw or away win are realistic possibilities.

Win Probabilities: Pisa: 49% · Draw: 27% · Padova: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 67% · Under 2.5: 33% · BTTS: 68%

Form (latest first): Pisa: DWLWW · Padova: LWLDL

  • Louis Buffon vs M. Bortolussi: The duel between Pisa's goalkeeper and Padova's striker could be decisive, as Buffon's shot-stopping will be tested by Bortolussi's finishing.
  • M. Léris vs C. Buonaiuto: Pisa's midfielder will look to control the midfield against Padova's creative force, with the winner likely to dictate the tempo.
  • T. Marras vs A. Capelli: Pisa's winger will aim to exploit Padova's defensive frailties, while Capelli will try to provide attacking threat from the flank.

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Serie B

Serie B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 1013:00
Cesena
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Serie BItaly
Empoli
Oct 1013:00
Palermo
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
Serie BItaly
Virtus Entella
Oct 1013:00
Juve Stabia
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Serie BItaly
Avellino
Oct 1013:00
Sampdoria
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Serie BItaly
Padova
Oct 1013:00
Carrarese
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Serie BItaly
Arezzo
Oct 1013:00
Cremonese
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Serie BItaly
Modena
Oct 1013:00
Hellas Verona
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Serie BItaly
Sudtirol
Oct 1013:00
Ascoli
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Serie BItaly
Vicenza Virtus
Oct 1013:00
Pisa
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
Serie BItaly
Catanzaro
Oct 1013:00
Mantova
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie BItaly
Sampdoria
Oct 1713:00
Arezzo
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Serie BItaly
Hellas Verona
Oct 1713:00
Catanzaro
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
Serie BItaly
Benevento
Oct 1713:00
Vicenza Virtus
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Serie BItaly
Ascoli
Oct 1713:00
Empoli
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Serie BItaly
Cesena
Oct 1713:00
Avellino
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%

Betting Tips

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