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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
TodayScoresLivePlay
  1. Home
  2. Serie C Girone A
  3. Novara vs Athletic Carpi

Novara vs Athletic Carpi

Result • Serie C Girone A·Novara·Athletic Carpi

Serie C Girone A
Serie C Girone A
Sep 20, 2026
12:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Novara

Novara

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.90
X3.10
23.80
Stadium
Stadio Silvio Piola
medium Confidence
DRAW
Athletic Carpi

Athletic Carpi

Away
Odds
11.90
X3.10
23.80
Stadium
Stadio Silvio Piola
Win Probabilities
49%
Novara
27%
Draw
24%
Athletic Carpi
Home1.9049%
Draw3.1027%
Away3.8024%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Novara are favoured at 46%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie C Girone A fixture between Novara and Athletic Carpi using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Novara a 49% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Athletic Carpi a 24% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. Goal: C. DonadioAssist: M. Romano
    1'
    Goal: C. DonadioNovara · Assist: M. Romano
  2. 4'
    Substitution: D. ZagnoniAthletic Carpi · Out: R. Gatti
    Substitution: D. ZagnoniOut: R. Gatti
  3. 36'
    Goal: F. CasariniAthletic Carpi · Assist: D. Zagnoni
    Goal: F. CasariniAssist: D. Zagnoni
  4. 46'
    Substitution: G. VaglicaAthletic Carpi · Out: T. Cecotti
    Substitution: G. VaglicaOut: T. Cecotti
  5. 46'
    Substitution: M. FigoliAthletic Carpi · Out: F. Puletto
    Substitution: M. FigoliOut: F. Puletto
  6. Substitution: O. KhailotiOut: F. Lorenzini
    46'
    Substitution: O. KhailotiNovara · Out: F. Lorenzini
  7. Substitution: E. ZambataroOut: L. D'Alessio
    46'
    Substitution: E. ZambataroNovara · Out: L. D'Alessio
  8. 51'
    Penalty: F. Casarini (Penalty)Athletic Carpi
    Penalty: F. Casarini (Penalty)
  9. Substitution: D. ZuppelOut: C. Donadio
    61'
    Substitution: D. ZuppelNovara · Out: C. Donadio
  10. Substitution: A. ValdesiOut: A. Cannavaro
    61'
    Substitution: A. ValdesiNovara · Out: A. Cannavaro
  11. Yellow Card: M. Miceli
    64'
    Yellow Card: M. MiceliNovara
  12. 74'
    Yellow Card: M. FigoliAthletic Carpi
    Yellow Card: M. Figoli
  13. 75'
    Substitution: M. MontipoAthletic Carpi · Out: T. Carcani
    Substitution: M. MontipoOut: T. Carcani
  14. Substitution: N. LedonneOut: M. Romano
    77'
    Substitution: N. LedonneNovara · Out: M. Romano
  15. Yellow Card: A. Valdesi
    82'
    Yellow Card: A. ValdesiNovara
  16. 83'
    Substitution: L. LombardiAthletic Carpi · Out: F. Casarini
    Substitution: L. LombardiOut: F. Casarini
  17. Goal: C. da Graca
    90'
    Goal: C. da GracaNovara
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headNovara – Athletic CarpiInjuriesNovaraInjuriesAthletic CarpiLive scores

Statistical Context

Novara

LWLDL
  • LNov 8, 26A · Treviso2-0
  • WNov 2, 26H · Desenzano Calvina1-0
  • LOct 25, 26A · Arzignano Valchiampo2-0
  • DOct 18, 26A · Albinoleffe2-2
  • LOct 10, 26H · Cittadella0-2

Athletic Carpi

DLWWL
  • DNov 8, 26A · Folgore Caratese0-0
  • LNov 1, 26H · Renate0-5
  • WOct 24, 26A · Alcione1-2
  • WOct 17, 26H · Lumezzane3-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Pergolettese2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
13Desenzano Calvina13-513LLLLW
14Novara13-713LWLDL
15Athletic Carpi13-1013DLWWL
16Giana Erminio13-412DLWWD

Novara vs Athletic Carpi — Match Analysis

Novara are favoured at 46%; our projected score is 2-1.

Novara host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Our model makes Novara the favourite at 46%, with the draw at 29% and Athletic Carpi at 25%.

Form and league position

Novara sit 13th of 20 with 5 points from 5 games (4 scored, 5 conceded), recent form W-L-D. Athletic Carpi sit 10th of 20 with 5 points from 5 games (8 scored, 10 conceded), recent form W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.3, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Novara at 2.10, the draw at 3.05 and Athletic Carpi at 3.65; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Novara to win (46%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Novara: 49% · Draw: 27% · Athletic Carpi: 24%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.8% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 56%

Form (latest first): Novara: LWLDL · Athletic Carpi: DLWWL

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Serie C Girone A

Serie C Girone A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie C Girone AItaly
Ospitaletto
Nov 1319:30
Dolomiti Bellunesi
11.4967%
X5.0020%
27.6913%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Renate
Nov 1413:30
Desenzano Calvina
12.0848%
X3.8526%
23.8526%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Albinoleffe
Nov 1413:30
Union Brescia
15.0020%
X4.3523%
21.7557%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Arzignano Valchiampo
Nov 1413:30
Alcione
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Lumezzane
Nov 1416:30
Trento
14.0025%
X4.0025%
22.0050%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Athletic Carpi
Nov 1416:30
Giana Erminio
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Novara
Nov 1511:30
Lecco
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Cittadella
Nov 1516:30
Folgore Caratese
11.3773%
X5.8817%
210.0010%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Juventus U23
Nov 1516:30
Treviso
13.2331%
X3.7027%
22.3842%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Pergolettese
Nov 1516:30
PRO Vercelli
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Trento
Nov 2019:30
Cittadella
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Treviso
Nov 2113:30
Pergolettese
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Giana Erminio
Nov 2116:30
Juventus U23
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
Serie C Girone AItaly
Folgore Caratese
Nov 2116:30
Arzignano Valchiampo
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Serie C Girone AItaly
PRO Vercelli
Nov 2211:30
Novara
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%

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