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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Serie C Girone B
  3. Livorno vs Vado

Livorno vs Vado

Result • Serie C Girone B·Livorno·Vado

Serie C Girone B
Serie C Girone B
Sep 16, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Livorno

Livorno

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.70
X3.10
24.60
Stadium
Stadio Armando Picchi
high Confidence
Vado

Vado

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.10
24.60
Stadium
Stadio Armando Picchi
Win Probabilities
57%
Livorno
25%
Draw
18%
Vado
Home1.7057%
Draw3.1025%
Away4.6018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Livorno are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie C Girone B fixture between Livorno and Vado using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Livorno a 57% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Vado a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 32%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 32%

Match Events

  1. Goal: L. Malagrida
    7'
    Goal: L. MalagridaLivorno
  2. 12'
    Penalty: D. Vita (Penalty)Vado
    Penalty: D. Vita (Penalty)
  3. 21'
    Goal: M. FerroVado · Assist: Z. Hamlili
    Goal: M. FerroAssist: Z. Hamlili
  4. Substitution: M. BachiniOut: K. Djidji
    32'
    Substitution: M. BachiniLivorno · Out: K. Djidji
  5. Yellow Card: L. Malagrida
    36'
    Yellow Card: L. MalagridaLivorno
  6. 41'
    Yellow Card: Z. HamliliVado
    Yellow Card: Z. Hamlili
  7. Substitution: L. BonassiOut: F. Menarini
    46'
    Substitution: L. BonassiLivorno · Out: F. Menarini
  8. Substitution: L. CalabroOut: L. Malagrida
    46'
    Substitution: L. CalabroLivorno · Out: L. Malagrida
  9. 57'
    Substitution: F. GulinelliVado · Out: L. Malanca
    Substitution: F. GulinelliOut: L. Malanca
  10. Goal: M. Aramu
    58'
    Goal: M. AramuLivorno
  11. Substitution: S. Di CarmineOut: T. Mancini
    62'
    Substitution: S. Di CarmineLivorno · Out: T. Mancini
  12. 66'
    Substitution: F. SaianiVado · Out: C. Carlini
    Substitution: F. SaianiOut: C. Carlini
  13. 66'
    Substitution: L. LischettiVado · Out: D. Vita
    Substitution: L. LischettiOut: D. Vita
  14. Substitution: G. GabbianiOut: M. Aramu
    72'
    Substitution: G. GabbianiLivorno · Out: M. Aramu
  15. 77'
    Substitution: J. SimonettaVado · Out: M. Ferro
    Substitution: J. SimonettaOut: M. Ferro
  16. 77'
    Substitution: M. CandianoVado · Out: Z. Hamlili
    Substitution: M. CandianoOut: Z. Hamlili
  17. Goal: L. Bonassi
    81'
    Goal: L. BonassiLivorno
  18. Yellow Card: M. Martinez
    89'
    Yellow Card: M. MartinezLivorno
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · LivornoInjuries · Vado

Statistical Context

Livorno

LW
  • LSep 12, 26A · Spezia2-0
  • WSep 6, 26H · Atalanta II1-0

Vado

LL
  • LSep 12, 26H · Campobasso FC0-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Reggiana3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Forli4+27WLWD
7Livorno407LWDW
8Perugia4-17LWDW
9Gubbio406WWLL
10Campobasso FC406WLLW
11Torres4-16WLWL
12Atalanta II4-16WLWL
13Pineto405WLDD
14Vado4-14LLDW
15Pescara4-24LDLW

Livorno vs Vado — Match Analysis

Livorno are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Livorno host Vado in the Serie C Girone B on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Our model makes Livorno the favourite at 53%, with the draw at 26% and Vado at 21%.

Form and league position

Livorno sit 7th of 20 with 7 points from 4 games (3 scored, 3 conceded). Vado sit 14th of 20 with 4 points from 4 games (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 0.9–0.7, about 1.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams to score at 32%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Livorno at 1.87, the draw at 3.30 and Vado at 4.20; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Livorno to win (53%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Livorno: 57% · Draw: 25% · Vado: 18%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (16.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 23% · Under 2.5: 77% · BTTS: 32%

Form (latest first): Livorno: LW · Vado: LL

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Serie C Girone B

Serie C Girone B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie C Girone BItaly
Forli
Sep 1912:30
Torres
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Atalanta II
Sep 2010:30
Ravenna
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Reggiana
Sep 2012:30
Latina
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Vado
Sep 2012:30
Pescara
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Campobasso FC
Sep 2015:30
Pineto
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Gubbio
Sep 2018:30
Ostia Mare
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Grosseto
Sep 2018:30
Perugia
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Spezia
Sep 2118:30
Vis Pesaro
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Sep 2118:30
Livorno
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Pianese
Sep 2118:30
Sambenedettese
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Pineto
Sep 2612:30
Grosseto
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Torres
Sep 2612:30
Vado
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Latina
Sep 2615:30
Atalanta II
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Livorno
Sep 2615:30
Pianese
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Sambenedettese
Sep 2618:30
Campobasso FC
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%

Betting Tips

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