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  1. Home
  2. J1 League
  3. Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

Prediction • J1 League·Kashima·V-varen Nagasaki

J1 League
J1 League
Oct 17, 2026
06:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Kashima

Kashima

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Mercari Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Away
Stadium
Mercari Stadium
Win Probabilities
63%
Kashima
19%
Draw
18%
V-varen Nagasaki
Home1.5963%
Draw5.2619%
Away5.5618%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Kashima are clear favourites, driven by a perfect head-to-head record and superior form. The main risk is Nagasaki's recent win boosting their confidence and defensive resilience.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Kashima
/10
2.0V-varen Nagasaki
Kashima
FormLatest first
DWLL
Win Rate25%
V-varen Nagasaki
FormLatest first
DWL
Win Rate33%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Kashima
Home

Kashima

Form
W
Latest first
8
Pos
13
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2027 · 8 matches)

Clean Sheets113%
Goal Diff+1
  • Prolific attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Strong head-to-head record with five straight wins
  • Solid home form with two wins from three home matches

Head to Head

Last 5
Kashima
Kashima
5Wins
0
Draws
V-varen Nagasaki
0Wins
V-varen Nagasaki
100%0%0%

Recent Matches

Last 5
Jul162025
KashimaKashima
2-1
Win
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
Aug182021
KashimaKashima
3-1
Win
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
Dec212019
KashimaKashima
3-2
Win
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
Aug152018
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
1-2
Win
KashimaKashima
May22018
KashimaKashima
2-1
Win
V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki
Kashima4-4-2vs3-4-2-1V-varen NagasakiPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

J1 League

League Statistics

J1 League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe
8611125+719
2
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
86021712+518
3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
8521206+1417
4
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
85212110+1117
5
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
8521148+617
6
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos
8422139+414
7
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
83411612+413
8
Kashima
KashimaHome
84131716+113
9
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
84131110+113
10
Urawa
Urawa
84041618-212
11
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
8323712-511
12
Shimizu S-pulse
Shimizu S-pulse
831468-210
13
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
8233111109
14
Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga
82241115-48
15
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen NagasakiAway
82241015-58
16
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
8134814-66
17
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
8206714-76
18
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
8116912-34
19
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
8044412-84
20
JEF United Chiba
JEF United Chiba
8116718-114
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Kashima

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

63%Kashima
19%Draw
18%V-varen Nagasaki

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 17 · 06:00
StadiumMercari Stadium
League StatsJ1 League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · KashimaInjuries · V-varen NagasakiLive scores →

Statistical Context

Kashima

DWLL
  • DSep 19, 26A · Kawasaki Frontale3-3
  • WSep 15, 26H · Newcastle Jets7-1
  • LSep 11, 26A · Vissel Kobe2-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Urawa0-1

V-varen Nagasaki

DWL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Cerezo Osaka1-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Nagoya Grampus2-0
  • LSep 6, 26A · Vissel Kobe3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Kawasaki Frontale8+413DWWLW
8Kashima8+113DLLLW
9Fagiano Okayama8+113LWWWL
10Urawa8-212WLWWW
11Cerezo Osaka8-511DLDWL
12Shimizu S-pulse8-210WWLDL
13Mito Hollyhock809LLDWD
14Kyoto Sanga8-48WLLDW
15V-varen Nagasaki8-58DWLDL
16Gamba Osaka8-66LLLDD

Head to Head

5
Kashima
0
Draws
0
V-varen Nagasaki
  • Jul 16, 25Kashima – V-varen Nagasaki2-1
  • Aug 18, 21Kashima – V-varen Nagasaki3-1
  • Dec 21, 19Kashima – V-varen Nagasaki3-2
  • Aug 15, 18V-varen Nagasaki – Kashima1-2
  • May 2, 18Kashima – V-varen Nagasaki2-1

Season Statistics — 2027

KashimaV-varen Nagasaki
Played88
Goals Scored1710
Goals Conceded1615
Avg Scored2.11.3
Avg Conceded2.01.9
Clean Sheets11

Predicted line-ups: Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki

Predicted XI

Kashima

4-4-2Formation· Coach: T. Oniki

V-varen Nagasaki

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: T. Shimotaira

  1. 1M. Goto
  1. 29I. Arai
  2. 31K. Doi
  3. 6Y. Egawa
  1. 22H. Onaga
  2. 21Diego Pituca
  3. 41M. Hasegawa
  4. 10Matheus Jesus
  1. 34T. Matsumoto
  2. 20K. Nakamura
  1. 11N. Campbell
  1. 77A. Čavrić
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 24H. Hayashu
  2. 8Matheus Bueno
  3. 27Y. Matsumura
  4. 6K. Misao
  1. 4K. Chida
  2. 37R. Hirose
  3. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  4. 25R. Koike
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Bench

  • 21T. Yamada
  • 7R. Ogawa
  • 28Y. Okawa
  • 5I. Sekigawa
  • 23K. Tsukui
  • 55N. Ueda
  • 10G. Shibasaki

Bench

  • 13G. Hatano
  • 50R. Shindo
  • 24R. Yamada
  • 5H. Yamaguchi
  • 23S. Yoneda
  • 19T. Sawada
  • 8Y. Iwasaki

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Kashima are clear favourites, driven by a perfect head-to-head record and superior form. The main risk is Nagasaki's recent win boosting their confidence and defensive resilience.

Kashima enter this J1 League fixture as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and a superior overall statistical profile. The model and team comparison both point to a home win, with the visitors given only a slim chance of causing an upset.…

Win Probabilities: Kashima: 63% · Draw: 19% · V-varen Nagasaki: 18%

H2H: Kashima wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · V-varen Nagasaki wins: 0

Form (latest first): Kashima: DWLL · V-varen Nagasaki: DWL

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J1 League

J1 League

Japan15 · Upcoming Fixtures
J1 LeagueJapan
Kashima
Oct 910:00
Gamba Osaka
Early projection
11.4370%
X6.2516%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Kashiwa Reysol
Oct 910:00
Vissel Kobe
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Cerezo Osaka
Oct 1005:00
Yokohama F. Marinos
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Avispa Fukuoka
Oct 1006:00
Fagiano Okayama
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
FC Tokyo
Oct 1006:00
Urawa
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Kyoto Sanga
Oct 1010:00
Machida Zelvia
Early projection
110.0010%
X7.6913%
21.3077%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
JEF United Chiba
Oct 1105:00
V-varen Nagasaki
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Mito Hollyhock
Oct 1106:00
Shimizu S-pulse
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Tokyo Verdy
Oct 1106:00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.5618%
21.5266%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Kawasaki Frontale
Oct 1107:00
Nagoya Grampus
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Shimizu S-pulse
Oct 1704:00
Gamba Osaka
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
JEF United Chiba
Oct 1705:00
Yokohama F. Marinos
Early projection
14.5522%
X4.7621%
21.7557%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Oct 1705:00
Kyoto Sanga
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Tokyo Verdy
Oct 1705:00
FC Tokyo
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
J1 LeagueJapan
Cerezo Osaka
Oct 1706:00
Kawasaki Frontale
Early projection
13.2331%
X3.8526%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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