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  1. Home
  2. J2 League
  3. Imabari vs Sagan Tosu

Imabari vs Sagan Tosu

Result • J2 League·Imabari·Sagan Tosu

J2 League
J2 League
Sep 12, 2026
10:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Imabari

Imabari

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Stadium
ASICS Satoyama Stadium
high Confidence
Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu

Away
Stadium
ASICS Satoyama Stadium
Win Probabilities
15%
Imabari
17%
Draw
68%
Sagan Tosu
Home6.6715%
Draw5.8817%
Away1.4768%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Sagan Tosu are favoured at 68%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this J2 League fixture between Imabari and Sagan Tosu using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Imabari a 15% win probability, a 17% chance of a draw, and Sagan Tosu a 68% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. 27'
    Yellow Card: S. NagasawaSagan Tosu
    Yellow Card: S. Nagasawa
  2. Substitution: K. FuruyamaOut: E. Junio
    60'
    Substitution: K. FuruyamaImabari · Out: E. Junio
  3. Substitution: K. MoriOut: A. Palocevic
    60'
    Substitution: K. MoriImabari · Out: A. Palocevic
  4. 61'
    Substitution: H. NakaharaSagan Tosu · Out: R. Hyon
    Substitution: H. NakaharaOut: R. Hyon
  5. Yellow Card: Gabriel Gomes
    68'
    Yellow Card: Gabriel GomesImabari
  6. 70'
    Substitution: D. SuzukiSagan Tosu · Out: T. Takahashi
    Substitution: D. SuzukiOut: T. Takahashi
  7. 71'
    Substitution: K. YoshinoSagan Tosu · Out: M. Yoshida
    Substitution: K. YoshinoOut: M. Yoshida
  8. 71'
    Substitution: N. MatsumotoSagan Tosu · Out: T. Sakurai
    Substitution: N. MatsumotoOut: T. Sakurai
  9. 72'
    Yellow Card: N. MatsumotoSagan Tosu
    Yellow Card: N. Matsumoto
  10. Substitution: K. MochiiOut: Y. Komai
    76'
    Substitution: K. MochiiImabari · Out: Y. Komai
  11. 82'
    Substitution: K. JojoSagan Tosu · Out: R. Shiohama
    Substitution: K. JojoOut: R. Shiohama
  12. Substitution: T. YamadaOut: Y. Kajiura
    85'
    Substitution: T. YamadaImabari · Out: Y. Kajiura
  13. Substitution: Wesley TanqueOut: T. Nakai
    85'
    Substitution: Wesley TanqueImabari · Out: T. Nakai
  14. Goal: K. Mori
    89'
    Goal: K. MoriImabari
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headImabari – Sagan TosuInjuriesImabariInjuriesSagan TosuLive scores

Statistical Context

Imabari

LLDWW
  • LOct 25, 26A · Blaublitz Akita1-0
  • LOct 21, 26A · Vegalta Sendai3-1
  • DOct 17, 26H · Vanraure Hachinohe3-3
  • WOct 10, 26A · Tokushima Vortis1-2
  • WOct 3, 26A · Tochigi City1-2

Sagan Tosu

WLWWL
  • WOct 25, 26H · Vanraure Hachinohe2-0
  • LOct 21, 26A · Albirex Niigata2-1
  • WOct 17, 26H · Omiya Ardija2-1
  • WOct 10, 26H · Fujieda MYFC1-0
  • LOct 4, 26A · Blaublitz Akita1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Iwaki13+117DDWWL
10Sagan Tosu13-117WLWWL
11Tokushima Vortis13-217WLDLL
18Tochigi City13-212LDDLL
19Imabari13-1111LLDWW
20Ventforet Kofu13-1711DLLWL

Imabari vs Sagan Tosu — Match Analysis

Sagan Tosu are favoured at 68%; our projected score is 1-2.

Imabari host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League on Saturday, 12 September 2026. Our model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 68%, with the draw at 17% and Imabari at 15%.

Form and league position

Imabari sit 20th of 20 with 1 points from 5 games (4 scored, 13 conceded). Sagan Tosu sit 9th of 20 with 8 points from 5 games (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.7, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.

Prediction

Sagan Tosu to win (68%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Imabari: 15% · Draw: 17% · Sagan Tosu: 68%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (9.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 56%

Form (latest first): Imabari: LLDWW · Sagan Tosu: WLWWL

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J2 League

J2 League

Japan15 · Upcoming Fixtures
J2 LeagueJapan
Consadole Sapporo
Oct 3104:00
Shonan Bellmare
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
J2 LeagueJapan
Jubilo Iwata
Oct 3105:00
Sagan Tosu
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
J2 LeagueJapan
Vegalta Sendai
Oct 3105:00
Omiya Ardija
11.9252%
X4.1724%
24.1724%
J2 LeagueJapan
Tokushima Vortis
Oct 3105:00
Yokohama FC
13.3330%
X3.8526%
22.2744%
J2 LeagueJapan
Albirex Niigata
Oct 3105:00
Kataller Toyama
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
J2 LeagueJapan
Blaublitz Akita
Oct 3105:00
Fujieda MYFC
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
J2 LeagueJapan
Vanraure Hachinohe
Oct 3105:00
Montedio Yamagata
13.1332%
X3.4529%
22.5639%
J2 LeagueJapan
Tochigi City
Oct 3105:00
Iwaki
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
J2 LeagueJapan
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Oct 3105:00
Oita Trinita
12.0449%
X3.5728%
24.3523%
J2 LeagueJapan
Imabari
Oct 3105:05
Ventforet Kofu
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
J2 LeagueJapan
Kataller Toyama
Nov 304:55
Vegalta Sendai
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
J2 LeagueJapan
Shonan Bellmare
Nov 305:00
Sagan Tosu
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
J2 LeagueJapan
Oita Trinita
Nov 305:00
Vanraure Hachinohe
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
J2 LeagueJapan
Yokohama FC
Nov 305:00
Blaublitz Akita
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
J2 LeagueJapan
Ventforet Kofu
Nov 305:00
Albirex Niigata
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%

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