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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. J2 League
  3. Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki

Result • J2 League·Sagan Tosu·Iwaki

J2 League
J2 League
Sep 19, 2026
10:00
high Confidence
Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu

Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 2-1
Stadium
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Iwaki

Iwaki

Away
Stadium
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Win Probabilities
56%
Sagan Tosu
21%
Draw
23%
Iwaki
Home1.7956%
Draw4.7621%
Away4.3523%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Sagan Tosu are favoured at 56%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this J2 League fixture between Sagan Tosu and Iwaki using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sagan Tosu a 56% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Iwaki a 23% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. 9'
    Yellow Card: D. YamaguchiIwaki
    Yellow Card: D. Yamaguchi
  2. 31'
    Yellow Card: S. NakajimaIwaki
    Yellow Card: S. Nakajima
  3. 46'
    Goal: Y. TakahashiIwaki
    Goal: Y. Takahashi
  4. Substitution: H. NakaharaOut: R. Hyon
    58'
    Substitution: H. NakaharaSagan Tosu · Out: R. Hyon
  5. Substitution: D. SuzukiOut: K. Nishizawa
    58'
    Substitution: D. SuzukiSagan Tosu · Out: K. Nishizawa
  6. 63'
    Yellow Card: H. NakanoIwaki
    Yellow Card: H. Nakano
  7. 66'
    Goal: S. FukaminatoIwaki · Assist: H. Nakano
    Goal: S. FukaminatoAssist: H. Nakano
  8. Goal: R. Shiohama
    71'
    Goal: R. ShiohamaSagan Tosu
  9. 74'
    Substitution: K. ShotaIwaki · Out: S. Nakajima
    Substitution: K. ShotaOut: S. Nakajima
  10. 74'
    Substitution: I. KonnoIwaki · Out: A. Yamanaka
    Substitution: I. KonnoOut: A. Yamanaka
  11. Substitution: K. YoshinoOut: T. Takahashi
    75'
    Substitution: K. YoshinoSagan Tosu · Out: T. Takahashi
  12. Substitution: H. GotoOut: R. Shiohama
    75'
    Substitution: H. GotoSagan Tosu · Out: R. Shiohama
  13. 76'
    Goal: R. EndoIwaki · Assist: D. Yamaguchi
    Goal: R. EndoAssist: D. Yamaguchi
  14. Substitution: Park Ho-MinOut: T. Sakurai
    78'
    Substitution: Park Ho-MinSagan Tosu · Out: T. Sakurai
  15. 80'
    Substitution: R. HisanagaIwaki · Out: Y. Takahashi
    Substitution: R. HisanagaOut: Y. Takahashi
  16. 87'
    Substitution: R. NagakiIwaki · Out: K. Fujii
    Substitution: R. NagakiOut: K. Fujii
  17. 87'
    Substitution: T. KuwataIwaki · Out: T. Ushizawa
    Substitution: T. KuwataOut: T. Ushizawa
  18. Yellow Card: Park Ho-Min
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: Park Ho-MinSagan Tosu
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headSagan Tosu – IwakiInjuriesSagan TosuInjuriesIwakiLive scores

Statistical Context

Sagan Tosu

LWLWL
  • LNov 7, 26H · Kataller Toyama1-2
  • WNov 3, 26A · Shonan Bellmare0-1
  • LOct 31, 26A · Jubilo Iwata2-0
  • WOct 25, 26H · Vanraure Hachinohe2-0
  • LOct 21, 26A · Albirex Niigata2-1

Iwaki

WLWDD
  • WNov 7, 26H · Montedio Yamagata2-0
  • LNov 3, 26A · Omiya Ardija2-1
  • WOct 31, 26A · Tochigi City1-3
  • DOct 25, 26H · Jubilo Iwata1-1
  • DOct 21, 26A · Shonan Bellmare1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Consadole Sapporo16+326WWWWW
8Iwaki16+423WLWDD
9Jubilo Iwata16+223DWWDD
10Shonan Bellmare16+123DLLWD
11Oita Trinita16+522LWLDD
12Blaublitz Akita16020WLDWL
13Sagan Tosu16-320LWLWL
14Montedio Yamagata16-219LWWLL

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki — Match Analysis

Sagan Tosu are favoured at 56%; our projected score is 2-1.

Sagan Tosu host Iwaki in the J2 League on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Our model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 56%, with the draw at 21% and Iwaki at 23%.

Form and league position

Sagan Tosu sit 12th of 20 with 8 points from 6 games (7 scored, 6 conceded). Iwaki sit 18th of 20 with 6 points from 6 games (8 scored, 12 conceded).

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.2, about 2.8 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.

Prediction

Sagan Tosu to win (56%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Sagan Tosu: 56% · Draw: 21% · Iwaki: 23%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.2% chance)

Over 2.5: 53% · Under 2.5: 47% · BTTS: 57%

Form (latest first): Sagan Tosu: LWLWL · Iwaki: WLWDD

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J2 League

J2 League

Japan15 · Upcoming Fixtures
J2 LeagueJapan
Shonan Bellmare
Nov 1405:00
Yokohama FC
13.2331%
X3.7027%
22.3842%
J2 LeagueJapan
Oita Trinita
Nov 1405:00
Tochigi City
12.2245%
X3.8526%
23.4529%
J2 LeagueJapan
Albirex Niigata
Nov 1405:00
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
J2 LeagueJapan
Omiya Ardija
Nov 1405:00
Montedio Yamagata
11.6162%
X5.2619%
25.2619%
J2 LeagueJapan
Fujieda MYFC
Nov 1405:00
Ventforet Kofu
12.0050%
X3.8526%
24.1724%
J2 LeagueJapan
Consadole Sapporo
Nov 1504:00
Sagan Tosu
13.2331%
X3.7027%
22.3842%
J2 LeagueJapan
Vanraure Hachinohe
Nov 1504:00
Iwaki
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
J2 LeagueJapan
Vegalta Sendai
Nov 1504:05
Blaublitz Akita
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
J2 LeagueJapan
Kataller Toyama
Nov 1505:00
Tokushima Vortis
11.8953%
X4.1724%
24.3523%
J2 LeagueJapan
Imabari
Nov 1505:00
Jubilo Iwata
13.7027%
X3.8526%
22.1347%
J2 LeagueJapan
Jubilo Iwata
Nov 2105:00
Omiya Ardija
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
J2 LeagueJapan
Sagan Tosu
Nov 2105:00
Vegalta Sendai
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%
J2 LeagueJapan
Yokohama FC
Nov 2105:00
Consadole Sapporo
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
J2 LeagueJapan
Ventforet Kofu
Nov 2105:00
Vanraure Hachinohe
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
J2 LeagueJapan
Blaublitz Akita
Nov 2105:00
Montedio Yamagata
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%

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