Mathare United host APS Bomet in the FKF Premier League on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model makes Mathare United the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 28% and APS Bomet at 32%.
Form and league position
The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 2 times in our records: Mathare United won 0, APS Bomet won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.0–1.0, about 2.0 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 41%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Mathare United at 2.70, the draw at 2.95 and APS Bomet at 2.70; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Mathare United to win (40%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
