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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Auda vs Super Nova

Auda vs Super Nova

Result • Virsliga·Auda·Super Nova

Virsliga
Virsliga
Aug 29, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Auda

Auda

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.41
X4.25
25.80
Stadium
Skonto stadions
high Confidence
DRAW
Super Nova

Super Nova

Away
Odds
11.41
X4.25
25.80
Stadium
Skonto stadions
Win Probabilities
64%
Auda
23%
Draw
13%
Super Nova
Home1.4164%
Draw4.2523%
Away5.8013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Auda are favored at 69% to win at home against Super Nova. The draw is rated 16% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between Auda and Super Nova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Auda a 64% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Super Nova a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Aleksandrovs vs T. Petrovics: The battle between Auda's goalkeeper and Super Nova's shot-stopper could be decisive, with Auda's defence expected to be tested less but needing to stay alert.
2S. Aranda vs J. Cīrulis: Auda's attacking midfielder will look to exploit space behind Super Nova's defence, while Cīrulis will aim to keep him quiet and limit service to the forwards.
3T. Hrvoj vs R. Iida: The duel between Auda's defender and Super Nova's forward could shape the match, with Hrvoj's physicality and positioning key to containing Iida's movement.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Auda

  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Superior league position and goal difference
  • Inconsistent home form (6W-1D-4L)
  • Occasional lapses in concentration leading to draws

Super Nova

  • Decent defensive record in recent games (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Ability to grind out draws (1 draw in last 5)
  • Poor attacking output, failing to score in 2 of last 5
  • Low win rate (32%) and negative goal difference

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Auda543412

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Auda enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, dominant head-to-head record, and stronger recent form. The home side sit third with 49 points and a +16 goal difference, while Super Nova languish in sixth with 28 points and a -11 goal difference. The 21-point gap underscores the gulf in class between these sides.

Form Analysis: Auda have won three of their last five (WWWDL), scoring 39 goals and conceding 26 overall, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. They are on a two-match winning streak and have kept three clean sheets in that period, highlighting a resolute defence. Super Nova, by contrast, have managed just one win in five (DLWLW), scoring 26 goals and conceding 37, with a win rate of only 32%. They have failed to score in two of their last five outings, underlining their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Auda's favour, with nine wins in the last ten meetings and no Super Nova victories. Auda's defensive solidity, evidenced by three clean sheets in five, will be tough for a Super Nova side that has struggled to find the net. Additionally, Auda's home record (6W-1D-4L) provides a further edge, even though their home form has been slightly inconsistent.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Auda's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Super Nova make them the clear favourites. Super Nova's away struggles and lack of firepower suggest they will find it difficult to breach Auda's backline. Expect Auda to control the match and secure a decisive win.

Statistical ContextAuda

Double chance : Auda or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AudaSuper Nova
60%Strength40%
50%Attacking Potential50%
63%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
71%Goals H2H29%
60%Wins the Game40%

Statistical Context

Auda

WWLWW
  • WAug 25, 26H · FK Liepaja1-0
  • WAug 21, 26H · Tukums3-0
  • LAug 13, 26A · Dinamo Tirana4-0
  • WAug 9, 26A · FS Jelgava0-1
  • WAug 4, 26H · Dinamo Tirana1-0

Super Nova

DLWLW
  • DAug 22, 26H · BFC Daugavpils0-0
  • LAug 9, 26H · FK Liepaja1-2
  • WJul 20, 26H · Grobiņa2-0
  • LJul 6, 26H · Ogre United1-2
  • WJul 1, 26A · Tukums1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Riga26+5565DWWWW
3Auda27+1753DWWWW
4BFC Daugavpils28+137LDWWL
5FK Liepaja27-337LWWLW
6FS Jelgava28-1531WWLLL
7Super Nova26-1129DDLWL
8Grobiņa28-3024WLLLD

Head to Head

9
Auda
1
Draws
0
Super Nova
  • Jun 21, 26Super Nova – Auda0-2
  • May 1, 26Super Nova – Auda1-2
  • Mar 8, 26Auda – Super Nova2-1
  • Sep 22, 25Auda – Super Nova3-2
  • Aug 18, 25Auda – Super Nova3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AudaSuper Nova
Played2726
Goals Scored4427
Goals Conceded2738
Avg Scored1.61.0
Avg Conceded1.01.5
Clean Sheets116

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AudaSuper Nova
Over 2.5 Goals7/105/10
Both Teams Scored6/105/10
Clean Sheets3/102/10

Auda vs Super Nova — Match Analysis

Auda are favored at 69% to win at home against Super Nova. The draw is rated 16% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Auda enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, dominant head-to-head record, and stronger recent form. The home side sit third with 49 points and a +16 goal difference, while Super Nova languish in sixth with 28 points and a -11 goal difference. The 21-point gap underscores the gulf in class between these sides.

Form Analysis: Auda have won three of their last five (WWWDL), scoring 39 goals and conceding 26 overall, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. They are on a two-match winning streak and have kept three clean sheets in that period, highlighting a resolute defence. Super Nova, by contrast, have managed just one win in five (DLWLW), scoring 26 goals and conceding 37, with a win rate of only 32%. They have failed to score in two of their last five outings, underlining their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Auda's favour, with nine wins in the last ten meetings and no Super Nova victories. Auda's defensive solidity, evidenced by three clean sheets in five, will be tough for a Super Nova side that has struggled to find the net. Additionally, Auda's home record (6W-1D-4L) provides a further edge, even though their home form has been slightly inconsistent.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Auda's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Super Nova make them the clear favourites. Super Nova's away struggles and lack of firepower suggest they will find it difficult to breach Auda's backline. Expect Auda to control the match and secure a decisive win.

Win Probabilities: Auda: 64% · Draw: 23% · Super Nova: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Auda wins: 9 · Draws: 1 · Super Nova wins: 0

Form (latest first): Auda: WWLWW · Super Nova: DLWLW

  • N. Aleksandrovs vs T. Petrovics: The battle between Auda's goalkeeper and Super Nova's shot-stopper could be decisive, with Auda's defence expected to be tested less but needing to stay alert.
  • S. Aranda vs J. Cīrulis: Auda's attacking midfielder will look to exploit space behind Super Nova's defence, while Cīrulis will aim to keep him quiet and limit service to the forwards.
  • T. Hrvoj vs R. Iida: The duel between Auda's defender and Super Nova's forward could shape the match, with Hrvoj's physicality and positioning key to containing Iida's movement.

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 615:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.6162%
X5.5618%
25.0020%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Sep 1211:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Sep 1311:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1516:00
Riga
Early projection
16.6715%
X6.2516%
21.4569%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 1616:00
Ogre United
11.2878%
X6.6715%
214.297%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Sep 1911:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 1913:00
Riga
Early projection
16.6715%
X5.8817%
21.4768%