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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Auda vs Super Nova

Auda vs Super Nova

Result • Virsliga·Auda·Super Nova

Virsliga
Virsliga
Aug 29, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Auda

Auda

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.41
X4.25
25.80
Stadium
Skonto stadions
high Confidence
DRAW
Super Nova

Super Nova

Away
Odds
11.41
X4.25
25.80
Stadium
Skonto stadions
Win Probabilities
64%
Auda
23%
Draw
13%
Super Nova
Home1.4164%
Draw4.2523%
Away5.8013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Auda are favored at 69% to win at home against Super Nova. The draw is rated 16% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between Auda and Super Nova using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Auda a 64% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Super Nova a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. 4'
    Yellow Card: Ibrahima NdiayeSuper Nova
    Yellow Card: Ibrahima Ndiaye
  2. Goal: Andrews AppiahAssist: Oskars Rubenis
    18'
    Goal: Andrews AppiahAuda · Assist: Oskars Rubenis
  3. 39'
    Substitution: milans tihonovicsSuper Nova · Out: Kristers Skadmanis
    Substitution: milans tihonovicsOut: Kristers Skadmanis
  4. Yellow Card: Sebastián Aranda
    53'
    Yellow Card: Sebastián ArandaAuda
  5. 59'
    Goal: Valerijs lizunovsSuper Nova · Assist: Bamba
    Goal: Valerijs lizunovsAssist: Bamba
  6. Substitution: roberts bocsOut: Oskars Rubenis
    63'
    Substitution: roberts bocsAuda · Out: Oskars Rubenis
  7. Substitution: ralfs kragliksOut: Daniels Balodis
    63'
    Substitution: ralfs kragliksAuda · Out: Daniels Balodis
  8. 66'
    Substitution: georgijs bombansSuper Nova · Out: raivis kirss
    Substitution: georgijs bombansOut: raivis kirss
  9. 66'
    Substitution: Kristaps romanovsSuper Nova · Out: Bamba
    Substitution: Kristaps romanovsOut: Bamba
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card: jegors cirulisSuper Nova
    Yellow Card: jegors cirulis
  11. Substitution: Jevgenijs MiņinsOut: Youba Traore
    72'
    Substitution: Jevgenijs MiņinsAuda · Out: Youba Traore
  12. Yellow Card: Moussa ouedraogo
    77'
    Yellow Card: Moussa ouedraogoAuda
  13. 77'
    Yellow Card: ivans patrikejevsSuper Nova
    Yellow Card: ivans patrikejevs
  14. Substitution: kader koneOut: Mahamoud Fofana
    78'
    Substitution: kader koneAuda · Out: Mahamoud Fofana
  15. Substitution: Eduards DaskevicsOut: J. Gerold
    78'
    Substitution: Eduards DaskevicsAuda · Out: J. Gerold
  16. 80'
    Substitution: Aram baghdasaryanSuper Nova · Out: Valerijs lizunovs
    Substitution: Aram baghdasaryanOut: Valerijs lizunovs
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Aleksandrovs vs T. Petrovics: The battle between Auda's goalkeeper and Super Nova's shot-stopper could be decisive, with Auda's defence expected to be tested less but needing to stay alert.
2S. Aranda vs J. Cīrulis: Auda's attacking midfielder will look to exploit space behind Super Nova's defence, while Cīrulis will aim to keep him quiet and limit service to the forwards.
3T. Hrvoj vs R. Iida: The duel between Auda's defender and Super Nova's forward could shape the match, with Hrvoj's physicality and positioning key to containing Iida's movement.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Auda

  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Superior league position and goal difference
  • Inconsistent home form (6W-1D-4L)
  • Occasional lapses in concentration leading to draws

Super Nova

  • Decent defensive record in recent games (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Ability to grind out draws (1 draw in last 5)
  • Poor attacking output, failing to score in 2 of last 5
  • Low win rate (32%) and negative goal difference

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Auda543412

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Auda enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, dominant head-to-head record, and stronger recent form. The home side sit third with 49 points and a +16 goal difference, while Super Nova languish in sixth with 28 points and a -11 goal difference. The 21-point gap underscores the gulf in class between these sides.

Form Analysis: Auda have won three of their last five (WWWDL), scoring 39 goals and conceding 26 overall, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. They are on a two-match winning streak and have kept three clean sheets in that period, highlighting a resolute defence. Super Nova, by contrast, have managed just one win in five (DLWLW), scoring 26 goals and conceding 37, with a win rate of only 32%. They have failed to score in two of their last five outings, underlining their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Auda's favour, with nine wins in the last ten meetings and no Super Nova victories. Auda's defensive solidity, evidenced by three clean sheets in five, will be tough for a Super Nova side that has struggled to find the net. Additionally, Auda's home record (6W-1D-4L) provides a further edge, even though their home form has been slightly inconsistent.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Auda's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Super Nova make them the clear favourites. Super Nova's away struggles and lack of firepower suggest they will find it difficult to breach Auda's backline. Expect Auda to control the match and secure a decisive win.

Statistical ContextAuda

Double chance : Auda or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AudaSuper Nova
60%Strength40%
50%Attacking Potential50%
63%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
71%Goals H2H29%
60%Wins the Game40%
Head-to-head →Injuries · AudaInjuries · Super NovaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Auda

WDWDW
  • WOct 12, 26A · FK Liepaja2-3
  • DSep 20, 26H · Rīgas FS1-1
  • WSep 16, 26H · Ogre United1-0
  • DSep 11, 26A · Riga2-2
  • WSep 6, 26H · Grobiņa1-0

Super Nova

LWLLW
  • LOct 15, 26A · Rīgas FS4-0
  • WOct 10, 26H · Grobiņa2-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Ogre United1-0
  • LSep 15, 26H · Riga0-1
  • WSep 10, 26H · Tukums1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Riga32+5876WWWDD
3Auda32+2064WDWDW
4FK Liepaja32-343LDDDW
5BFC Daugavpils32+142WDLDL
6Super Nova31-1038WLLWW
7FS Jelgava32-1932LLDLW

Head to Head

9
Auda
1
Draws
0
Super Nova
  • Jun 21, 26Super Nova – Auda0-2
  • May 1, 26Super Nova – Auda1-2
  • Mar 8, 26Auda – Super Nova2-1
  • Sep 22, 25Auda – Super Nova3-2
  • Aug 18, 25Auda – Super Nova3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AudaSuper Nova
Played3131
Goals Scored4931
Goals Conceded3041
Avg Scored1.61.0
Avg Conceded1.01.3
Clean Sheets138

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AudaSuper Nova
Over 2.5 Goals7/105/10
Both Teams Scored6/105/10
Clean Sheets3/102/10

Auda vs Super Nova — Match Analysis

Auda are favored at 69% to win at home against Super Nova. The draw is rated 16% and the away win 15%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Auda enter this Virsliga clash as clear favourites, backed by a superior league position, dominant head-to-head record, and stronger recent form. The home side sit third with 49 points and a +16 goal difference, while Super Nova languish in sixth with 28 points and a -11 goal difference. The 21-point gap underscores the gulf in class between these sides.

Form Analysis: Auda have won three of their last five (WWWDL), scoring 39 goals and conceding 26 overall, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. They are on a two-match winning streak and have kept three clean sheets in that period, highlighting a resolute defence. Super Nova, by contrast, have managed just one win in five (DLWLW), scoring 26 goals and conceding 37, with a win rate of only 32%. They have failed to score in two of their last five outings, underlining their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Auda's favour, with nine wins in the last ten meetings and no Super Nova victories. Auda's defensive solidity, evidenced by three clean sheets in five, will be tough for a Super Nova side that has struggled to find the net. Additionally, Auda's home record (6W-1D-4L) provides a further edge, even though their home form has been slightly inconsistent.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a comfortable home victory. Auda's superior form, defensive strength, and historical dominance over Super Nova make them the clear favourites. Super Nova's away struggles and lack of firepower suggest they will find it difficult to breach Auda's backline. Expect Auda to control the match and secure a decisive win.

Win Probabilities: Auda: 64% · Draw: 23% · Super Nova: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Auda wins: 9 · Draws: 1 · Super Nova wins: 0

Form (latest first): Auda: WDWDW · Super Nova: LWLLW

  • N. Aleksandrovs vs T. Petrovics: The battle between Auda's goalkeeper and Super Nova's shot-stopper could be decisive, with Auda's defence expected to be tested less but needing to stay alert.
  • S. Aranda vs J. Cīrulis: Auda's attacking midfielder will look to exploit space behind Super Nova's defence, while Cīrulis will aim to keep him quiet and limit service to the forwards.
  • T. Hrvoj vs R. Iida: The duel between Auda's defender and Super Nova's forward could shape the match, with Hrvoj's physicality and positioning key to containing Iida's movement.

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 1711:00
Ogre United
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Oct 1813:00
FS Jelgava
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Oct 1813:00
Super Nova
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Oct 1915:00
Auda
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1916:00
Tukums
11.1885%
X8.3312%
233.333%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Oct 2410:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Oct 2511:00
Auda
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Oct 2512:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Oct 2516:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 2616:00
Riga
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Nov 111:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Nov 111:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Nov 111:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Nov 111:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Nov 111:00
Riga
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%

Betting Tips

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