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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Tukums vs FK Liepaja

Tukums vs FK Liepaja

Prediction • Virsliga·Tukums·FK Liepaja

Virsliga
Virsliga
Oct 24, 2026
10:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Tukums

Tukums

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

Away
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
Win Probabilities
32%
Tukums
25%
Draw
43%
FK Liepaja
Home3.1332%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.3343%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FK Liepaja are favored at 43% to win away at Tukums. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Tukums vs FK Liepaja.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Tukums
/10
2.0FK Liepaja
Tukums
FormLatest first
LDLWL
Win Rate20%
FK Liepaja
FormLatest first
LDDDW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
8/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2.1
Avg Scored
1.6
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.9
Avg Conceded
1.6
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
7/10
0.0
Avg Cards
0.0
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Tukums
Home

Tukums

Form
LWLDL
Latest first
7
Pos
36
Pts
-17
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets13%
Goal Diff-17
  • Home advantage with a 5W-5D-6L record across 16 home games
  • Two wins in the recent head-to-head sample against FK Liepaja
  • A draw streak that shows they can grind out results
FK Liepaja
Away

FK Liepaja

Form
WDDDL
Latest first
3
Pos
61
Pts
-2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 31 matches)

Clean Sheets619%
Goal Diff-2
  • Fourth place with 43 points and a -2 goal difference
  • Four-match unbeaten streak with two clean sheets in the last five
  • Superior defensive rating at 67% and stronger head-to-head record

Head to Head

Last 10
Tukums
Tukums
2Wins
4
Draws
FK Liepaja
4Wins
FK Liepaja
20%40%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Aug22026
TukumsTukums
2-1
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May302026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-0
Loss
TukumsTukums
Apr172026
TukumsTukums
2-2
Draw
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Sep142025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
4-1
Loss
TukumsTukums
Jun252025
TukumsTukums
1-3
Loss
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May62025
TukumsTukums
2-2
Draw
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Mar122025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
0-0
Draw
TukumsTukums
Sep12024
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-1
Loss
TukumsTukums
Jun202024
TukumsTukums
2-1
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May22024
TukumsTukums
0-0
Draw
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Past Predictions

33%1/3 correct

FK Liepaja 2 - 1 Tukums

Aug 2, 2026

21% / 30% / 49%

FK Liepaja 3 - 0 Tukums

May 30, 2026

51% / 29% / 20%

Tukums 2 - 2 FK Liepaja

Apr 17, 2026

20% / 32% / 48%

Tukums3-5-2vs4-2-3-1FK LiepajaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Midfield battle favors home. Back three vs lone striker advantage.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Virsliga

League Statistics

Virsliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
3124527524+5177
2
Riga
3223728830+5876
3
Auda
3219765232+2064
4
FK LiepajaAway
32127134346-343
5
BFC Daugavpils
32119123736+142
6
Super Nova
31115153141-1038
7
FS Jelgava
3288163453-1932
8
Grobiņa
32511162254-3226
9
TukumsHome
3259184463-1924
10
Ogre United
3246223178-4718
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

FK Liepaja

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%Tukums
25%Draw
43%FK Liepaja

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 24 · 10:00
StadiumDaugavas stadions
League StatsVirsliga
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · TukumsInjuries · FK LiepajaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Tukums

LDLWL
  • LOct 10, 26H · Riga0-2
  • DSep 20, 26H · Grobiņa1-1
  • LSep 10, 26A · Super Nova1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Ogre United2-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · FS Jelgava1-4

FK Liepaja

LDDDW
  • LOct 12, 26H · Auda2-3
  • DSep 19, 26H · BFC Daugavpils0-0
  • DSep 11, 26A · Ogre United2-2
  • DSep 7, 26A · Rīgas FS0-0
  • WAug 31, 26H · Riga3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Auda32+2064WDWDW
4FK Liepaja32-343LDDDW
5BFC Daugavpils32+142WDLDL
6Super Nova31-1038WLLWW
7FS Jelgava32-1932LLDLW
8Grobiņa32-3226LDDLW
9Tukums32-1924LDLWL
10Ogre United32-4718LWLDL

Head to Head

2
Tukums
4
Draws
4
FK Liepaja
  • Aug 2, 26Tukums – FK Liepaja2-1
  • May 30, 26FK Liepaja – Tukums3-0
  • Apr 17, 26Tukums – FK Liepaja2-2
  • Sep 14, 25FK Liepaja – Tukums4-1
  • Jun 25, 25Tukums – FK Liepaja1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

TukumsFK Liepaja
Played3131
Goals Scored4441
Goals Conceded6143
Avg Scored1.41.3
Avg Conceded2.01.4
Clean Sheets16

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TukumsFK Liepaja
Over 2.5 Goals8/107/10
Both Teams Scored8/107/10
Clean Sheets1/101/10

Predicted line-ups: Tukums vs FK Liepaja

Predicted XI

Tukums

3-5-2Formation· Coach: K. Dišlers

FK Liepaja

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: A. Alm

  1. 24D. Ošs
  1. 3K. Iļjins
  2. 4M. Martins
  3. 35V. Sorokins
  4. 2B. Straalman
  1. 23A. Haïdara
  2. 28A. Korobenko
  1. 29Lauris Lakutis
  2. 22Irad Mushindi
  3. 7A. Ogunniyi
  1. 9Crysthyan Lucas
  1. 27R. Deružinskis
  2. 19D. Radzenieks
  1. 28R. Meļķis
  2. 4K. Anmanis
  3. 34M. Kere
  4. 16Kristaps Klavins
  5. 10B. Samoilovs
  1. 8R. Reingolcs
  2. 88M. Štāls
  3. 30M. Šusts
  1. 12A. Kuprins

Bench

  • 21D. Valmiers
  • 25H. Joksts
  • 6K. Volkovs
  • 29K. Shigema
  • 5J. Toba
  • 17M. Derkach
  • 22E. Sprukts

Bench

  • 12D. Petković
  • 34João Pedro
  • 5L. Strumia
  • 11B. Almazbekov
  • 70D. Patijčuks
  • 44K. Leidsman
  • 77Afonso Leite

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Tukums vs FK Liepaja — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FK Liepaja are favored at 43% to win away at Tukums. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 32%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

FK Liepaja arrive as the stronger side on the balance of the data, holding a clear edge in the statistical comparison and a five-place, nineteen-point cushion in the standings. The projected outcome i…

Win Probabilities: Tukums: 32% · Draw: 25% · FK Liepaja: 43%

H2H: Tukums wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · FK Liepaja wins: 4

Form (latest first): Tukums: LDLWL · FK Liepaja: LDDDW

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1514:00
Super Nova
11.2282%
X7.6913%
220.005%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 1711:00
Ogre United
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Oct 1813:00
FS Jelgava
12.2245%
X3.2331%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Oct 1813:00
Super Nova
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Oct 1915:00
Auda
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.5522%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Oct 1916:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Oct 2511:00
Auda
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Oct 2512:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Oct 2516:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.5618%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Oct 2616:00
Riga
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Nov 111:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Nov 111:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Nov 111:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Nov 111:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Nov 111:00
Riga
Early projection
111.119%
X7.6913%
21.2878%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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