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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils

Prediction • Virsliga·FK Liepaja·BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga
Virsliga
Sep 19, 2026
11:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
Early projection · Odds pending
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

Away
Stadium
Daugavas stadions
Win Probabilities
42%
FK Liepaja
26%
Draw
32%
BFC Daugavpils
Home2.3842%
Draw3.8526%
Away3.1332%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

FK Liepaja are favored at 42% to win at home against BFC Daugavpils. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0FK Liepaja
/10
6.0BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
FormLatest first
WWWLW
Win Rate80%
BFC Daugavpils
FormLatest first
DWWLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageFK Liepaja+2.0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1.6
Avg Scored
0.9
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.6
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
7/10
Scored First
5/10
0.0
Avg Cards
0.0
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

FK Liepaja
Home

FK Liepaja

Form
LWLWW
Latest first
3
Pos
61
Pts
-4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 25 matches)

Clean Sheets416%
Goal Diff-4
  • Strong head-to-head record against BFC Daugavpils
  • Home advantage at Daugavas stadions
  • Attacking options with multiple goal threats

Head to Head

Last 10
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
5Wins
2
Draws
BFC Daugavpils
3Wins
BFC Daugavpils
50%20%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jul42026
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
3-1
Loss
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
May172026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
2-1
Win
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Apr32026
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
2-0
Loss
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Nov22025
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1-2
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Aug162025
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1-2
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Aug92025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
2-1
Win
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Jun132025
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1-1
Draw
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Apr192025
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
4-2
Loss
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Nov92024
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-3
Draw
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
Aug242024
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
0-2
Win
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Past Predictions

33%1/3 correct

BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 FK Liepaja

Jul 4, 2026

34% / 29% / 37%

FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils

May 17, 2026

52% / 30% / 18%

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 FK Liepaja

Apr 3, 2026

20% / 25% / 55%

FK Liepaja4-3-3vs4-3-3BFC DaugavpilsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils4-3-3
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja4-3-3
BFC DaugavpilsBenchBFC Daugavpils7
FK LiepajaBenchFK Liepaja7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Virsliga

League Statistics

Virsliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
2521226217+4565
2
Riga
Riga
2520417621+5564
3
Auda
Auda
2515464226+1649
4
BFC Daugavpils
BFC DaugavpilsAway
27107103331+237
5
FK Liepaja
FK LiepajaHome
26114113638-237
6
Super Nova
Super Nova
2584132637-1128
7
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
2777132846-1828
8
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
2749141950-3121
9
Tukums
Tukums
2748154054-1420
10
Ogre United
Ogre United
2635182668-4214
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

FK Liepaja

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

42%FK Liepaja
26%Draw
32%BFC Daugavpils

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 19 · 11:00
StadiumDaugavas stadions
League StatsVirsliga

Statistical Context

FK Liepaja

WWWLW
  • WAug 21, 26H · Grobiņa3-1
  • WAug 9, 26A · Super Nova1-2
  • WAug 2, 26H · Tukums2-1
  • LJul 30, 26A · Austria Vienna3-1
  • WJul 26, 26A · FS Jelgava0-2

BFC Daugavpils

DWWLW
  • DAug 22, 26A · Super Nova0-0
  • WAug 8, 26H · Tukums2-0
  • WAug 1, 26H · FS Jelgava2-1
  • LJul 26, 26A · Auda1-0
  • WJul 19, 26A · Ogre United0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Auda25+1649WWWDL
4BFC Daugavpils27+237DWWLW
5FK Liepaja26-237WWLWL
6Super Nova25-1128DLWLW

Head to Head

5
FK Liepaja
2
Draws
3
BFC Daugavpils
  • Jul 4, 26BFC Daugavpils – FK Liepaja3-1
  • May 17, 26FK Liepaja – BFC Daugavpils2-1
  • Apr 3, 26BFC Daugavpils – FK Liepaja2-0
  • Nov 2, 25BFC Daugavpils – FK Liepaja1-2
  • Aug 16, 25BFC Daugavpils – FK Liepaja1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
Played2526
Goals Scored3333
Goals Conceded3731
Avg Scored1.31.3
Avg Conceded1.51.2
Clean Sheets47

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
Over 2.5 Goals7/103/10
Both Teams Scored7/106/10
Clean Sheets1/101/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

FK Liepaja

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 24GD. Ošs
  2. 3DK. Iļjins
  3. 4DM. Martins
  4. 6DE. Rodolphe
  5. 35DV. Sorokins
  6. 23MA. Haidara
  7. 28MA. Korobenko
  8. 33MI. Korotkovs
  9. 44AK. Leidsman
  10. 77AAfonso Leite
  11. 18AE. Oloko

Coach: A. Alm

BFC Daugavpils

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 12GJ. Beks
  2. 77DR. Aizups
  3. 66DK. Bujanovs
  4. 37DGļebs Mihaļcovs
  5. 5DPapa
  6. 6MŅ. Barkovskis
  7. 14MRolands Dauksts
  8. 10ME. Ivanovs
  9. 3AD. Ayebadiepreye
  10. 97AD. Kiwinda
  11. 27AM. Kopilovs

Coach: S. Pohodin

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils — Expert Prediction & Analysis

FK Liepaja are favored at 42% to win at home against BFC Daugavpils. The draw is rated 26% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

FK Liepaja enter this Virsliga clash as the nominal favourites, backed by a strong head-to-head record and the advantage of playing at Daugavas stadions. However, the statistical model suggests a much tighter contest, with BFC Daugavpils showing superior recent form and a better defensive record.…

Win Probabilities: FK Liepaja: 42% · Draw: 26% · BFC Daugavpils: 32%

H2H: FK Liepaja wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · BFC Daugavpils wins: 3

Form (latest first): FK Liepaja: WWWLW · BFC Daugavpils: DWWLW

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Aug 2316:00
Riga
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2516:00
FK Liepaja
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2816:00
Super Nova
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Aug 2912:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Aug 2914:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Aug 3014:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
112.508%
X8.3312%
21.2580%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 415:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access