Rīgas FS are clear favourites to win this Virsliga clash against FS Jelgava, based on overwhelming statistical evidence from form, standings, and head-to-head history.
Form Analysis: Rīgas FS boast an 84% win rate over their last five matches, scoring 2.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. They have kept two clean sheets in that period. In contrast, FS Jelgava have a 25% win rate, though they are on a two-match winning streak. Their defence has been porous, failing to keep a clean sheet in the last five.
Key Factors: The league standings tell a stark story: Rīgas FS sit top with 52 points and a +36 goal difference, while Jelgava are sixth with 22 points and -13 GD. Head-to-head dominance is extreme: Rīgas FS have won 8 of the last 10 meetings. Additionally, the API-Football comparison gives Rīgas FS a 68% overall strength advantage, with superior attack (56%) and defence (60%).
Conclusion: All data points point to a comfortable away victory for Rīgas FS. Jelgava's recent wins have come against weaker opposition, and they lack the quality to trouble the league leaders.
