This match between Grobiņa and Ogre United is a tight, evenly-matched contest, with both teams struggling near the bottom of the Virsliga table. The baseline model slightly favors the home side, but the API-Football model and team comparison data point to a narrow edge for the visitors. Given the conflicting signals, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win.
Form Analysis: Grobiņa have lost three of their last five (DLWLL) and have failed to score in three of those matches, averaging just 0.4 goals per game. Ogre United also have a poor record (WLWLL) but have scored more freely (1.2 goals per game) and are on a one-match winning streak. Defensively, both sides are vulnerable, with Ogre conceding 2.8 goals per game on average.
Key Factors: The head-to-head record shows two draws in two meetings, with no wins for either side, suggesting a balanced matchup. Ogre United have a slight edge in overall team comparison (51.2% vs 48.8%) and a clear advantage in attack (75% vs 25%). However, Grobiņa have a stronger defense (70% vs 30%) and home advantage, though their home record is poor (1W-3D-6L).
Conclusion: With both teams struggling for consistency and no clear favorite, a draw or a narrow away win is the most data-supported outcome. The match is likely to be low-scoring, with both teams finding it hard to create chances.
