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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Super Nova vs Grobiņa

Super Nova vs Grobiņa

Result • Virsliga·Super Nova·Grobiņa

Virsliga
Virsliga
Jul 20, 2026
16:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Super Nova

Super Nova

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.32
X3.10
22.75
Stadium
Jana Skredela stadions
medium Confidence
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

Away
Odds
12.32
X3.10
22.75
Stadium
Jana Skredela stadions
Win Probabilities
38%
Super Nova
30%
Draw
32%
Grobiņa
Home2.3238%
Draw3.1030%
Away2.7532%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Super Nova are favored at 38% to win at home against Grobiņa. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Virsliga fixture between Super Nova and Grobiņa using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Super Nova a 38% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Grobiņa a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Super Nova's top scorer vs Grobiņa's goalkeeper: The home side's main attacking threat will test the away keeper's recent good form.
2Midfield battle: Both teams use a 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be crucial in dictating the tempo.
3Super Nova's defense vs Grobiņa's counter-attack: The home side's vulnerable backline must be wary of quick transitions.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Super Nova

  • Strong head-to-head record against Grobiņa
  • Higher league position and points total
  • Poor home form (1 win in 10)
  • Defensive fragility (2.2 goals conceded per game)

Grobiņa

  • Recent improvement with two wins in last five
  • Better defensive record in recent matches (0.8 goals conceded per game)
  • Poor head-to-head record against Super Nova
  • Low scoring output (0.8 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
35%
37%
Super Nova373331

Moderate agreement on home win (37%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Super Nova and Grobiņa is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the odds. Super Nova's superior head-to-head record and higher league position provide some confidence, but their poor home form and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning.

Form Analysis: Super Nova have won just one of their last five matches (LWLLD), while Grobiņa have won two of their last five (WLDLW). However, Grobiņa have failed to score in three of those five games, indicating a lack of attacking consistency. Super Nova average 1.2 goals scored per game but concede 2.2, while Grobiņa average 0.8 goals scored and conceded.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Super Nova, who have won three of the last five meetings with no wins for Grobiņa. However, Super Nova's home record is poor (1W-2D-7L), and the extreme heat (37.9°C) may favor a physical style, which could benefit the away side. Both teams use a 4-3-3 formation, suggesting a midfield battle.

Conclusion: The data points to a low-scoring match with a slight advantage for Super Nova, but the outcome is far from certain. A draw or narrow win for either side is plausible.

Statistical ContextSuper Nova

Double chance : Super Nova or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Super NovaGrobiņa
53%Strength46%
50%Attacking Potential50%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
75%H2H Strength25%
80%Goals H2H20%
53%Wins the Game46%

Statistical Context

Super Nova

DDLLW
  • DAug 29, 26A · Auda1-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · BFC Daugavpils0-0
  • LAug 9, 26H · FK Liepaja1-2
  • LJul 6, 26H · Ogre United1-2
  • WJul 1, 26A · Tukums1-2

Grobiņa

WLLLD
  • WAug 29, 26H · BFC Daugavpils1-0
  • LAug 21, 26A · FK Liepaja3-1
  • LAug 10, 26A · Rīgas FS6-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Riga4-0
  • DJul 27, 26H · Ogre United2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5FK Liepaja27-337LWWLW
6Super Nova25-1128DLWLW
7FS Jelgava27-1828WLLLL
8Grobiņa27-3121LLLDL
9Tukums27-1420LLWLL

Head to Head

3
Super Nova
4
Draws
0
Grobiņa
  • May 20, 26Grobiņa – Super Nova0-2
  • Apr 9, 26Grobiņa – Super Nova0-1
  • Oct 18, 25Grobiņa – Super Nova0-0
  • Jul 26, 25Super Nova – Grobiņa0-0
  • May 26, 25Grobiņa – Super Nova1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Super NovaGrobiņa
Played2527
Goals Scored2619
Goals Conceded3750
Avg Scored1.00.7
Avg Conceded1.51.9
Clean Sheets65

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Super NovaGrobiņa
Over 2.5 Goals5/103/10
Both Teams Scored5/104/10
Clean Sheets2/101/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Super Nova

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 31GT. Petrovics
  2. 4DL. Berzins
  3. 5DJ. Cīrulis
  4. 3DR. Iida
  5. 20DI. Ndiaye
  6. 6ME. Emsis
  7. 19MAlens Grikovs
  8. 24MR. Šitjakovs
  9. 29AA. Baghdasaryan
  10. 9ABamba
  11. 7AA. Glaudāns

Coach: V. Nesterenko

Grobiņa

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GV. Kudrjavcevs
  2. 27DR. Baravykas
  3. 3DDavids Druzinins
  4. 9DA. Kholod
  5. 2DK. Rupeiks
  6. 6MM. Corryn
  7. 23MM. Fjodorovs
  8. 29MI. Matyushenko
  9. 13AA. Aruna
  10. 10AD. Dobrecovs
  11. 77ADodô

Coach: Oskars Klava

Super Nova vs Grobiņa — Match Analysis

Super Nova are favored at 38% to win at home against Grobiņa. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 32%, so the numbers point to a home result.

The match between Super Nova and Grobiņa is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the home side holding a slight edge according to the odds. Super Nova's superior head-to-head record and higher league position provide some confidence, but their poor home form and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning.

Form Analysis: Super Nova have won just one of their last five matches (LWLLD), while Grobiņa have won two of their last five (WLDLW). However, Grobiņa have failed to score in three of those five games, indicating a lack of attacking consistency. Super Nova average 1.2 goals scored per game but concede 2.2, while Grobiņa average 0.8 goals scored and conceded.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Super Nova, who have won three of the last five meetings with no wins for Grobiņa. However, Super Nova's home record is poor (1W-2D-7L), and the extreme heat (37.9°C) may favor a physical style, which could benefit the away side. Both teams use a 4-3-3 formation, suggesting a midfield battle.

Conclusion: The data points to a low-scoring match with a slight advantage for Super Nova, but the outcome is far from certain. A draw or narrow win for either side is plausible.

Win Probabilities: Super Nova: 38% · Draw: 30% · Grobiņa: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Super Nova wins: 3 · Draws: 4 · Grobiņa wins: 0

Form (latest first): Super Nova: DDLLW · Grobiņa: WLLLD

  • Super Nova's top scorer vs Grobiņa's goalkeeper: The home side's main attacking threat will test the away keeper's recent good form.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams use a 4-3-3, so control of the midfield will be crucial in dictating the tempo.
  • Super Nova's defense vs Grobiņa's counter-attack: The home side's vulnerable backline must be wary of quick transitions.

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Aug 3014:00
Rīgas FS
120.005%
X7.6913%
21.2282%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
16.6715%
X4.0025%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 615:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3773%
X6.6715%
28.3312%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.2619%
21.6959%
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Sep 1211:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
VirsligaLatvia
BFC Daugavpils
Sep 1311:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.0020%
21.6760%
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1516:00
Riga
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 1616:00
Ogre United
11.2878%
X6.6715%
214.297%
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Sep 1911:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%