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Today's Tips
Matches
Live
Play
  1. Home
  2. Liga de Expansión MX
  3. Tlaxcala vs Cancún

Tlaxcala vs Cancún

Result • Liga de Expansión MX·Tlaxcala·Cancún

Liga de Expansión MX
Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 26, 2026
22:00
low Confidence
WINNER
Tlaxcala

Tlaxcala

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.45
X3.20
22.50
Stadium
Estadio Tlahuicole
low Confidence
Cancún

Cancún

Away
Odds
12.45
X3.20
22.50
Stadium
Estadio Tlahuicole
Win Probabilities
35%
Tlaxcala
27%
Draw
38%
Cancún
Home2.4535%
Draw3.2027%
Away2.5038%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Tlaxcala are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga de Expansión MX fixture between Tlaxcala and Cancún using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Tlaxcala a 35% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Cancún a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. 16'
    Yellow Card: L. RuizCancún
    Yellow Card: L. Ruiz
  2. Yellow Card: E. Santos
    19'
    Yellow Card: E. SantosTlaxcala
  3. 23'
    Goal: C. TrejoCancún · Assist: J. Rodriguez
    Goal: C. TrejoAssist: J. Rodriguez
  4. Penalty: D. Alvarez (Penalty)
    33'
    Penalty: D. Alvarez (Penalty)Tlaxcala
  5. 38'
    Yellow Card: C. TrejoCancún
    Yellow Card: C. Trejo
  6. Substitution: J. FreyfeldOut: B. Flores
    46'
    Substitution: J. FreyfeldTlaxcala · Out: B. Flores
  7. Yellow Card: E. Robles
    58'
    Yellow Card: E. RoblesTlaxcala
  8. Substitution: M. RamirezOut: D. Alvarez
    60'
    Substitution: M. RamirezTlaxcala · Out: D. Alvarez
  9. Goal: E. RoblesAssist: I. Govea
    68'
    Goal: E. RoblesTlaxcala · Assist: I. Govea
  10. 75'
    Substitution: G. PreciadoCancún · Out: F. Melendre
    Substitution: G. PreciadoOut: F. Melendre
  11. 75'
    Substitution: B. El-mesmariCancún · Out: L. Ruiz
    Substitution: B. El-mesmariOut: L. Ruiz
  12. 76'
    Substitution: L. LopezCancún · Out: P. Uscanga
    Substitution: L. LopezOut: P. Uscanga
  13. Substitution: E. HernandezOut: A. Iniestra
    78'
    Substitution: E. HernandezTlaxcala · Out: A. Iniestra
  14. 79'
    Substitution: T. GigenaCancún · Out: K. Campos
    Substitution: T. GigenaOut: K. Campos
  15. Red Card: E. Garcia
    81'
    Red Card: E. GarciaTlaxcala
  16. 85'
    Yellow Card: R. ReyesCancún
    Yellow Card: R. Reyes
  17. 85'
    Substitution: A. ArredondoCancún · Out: A. Chavez
    Substitution: A. ArredondoOut: A. Chavez
  18. Goal: M. RamirezAssist: E. Hernandez
    87'
    Goal: M. RamirezTlaxcala · Assist: E. Hernandez
  19. Substitution: C. GonzalezOut: E. Santos
    90+3'
    Substitution: C. GonzalezTlaxcala · Out: E. Santos
  20. Goal: E. Robles
    90+8'
    Goal: E. RoblesTlaxcala
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headTlaxcala – CancúnInjuriesTlaxcalaInjuriesCancúnLive scores

Statistical Context

Tlaxcala

WWDWD
  • WOct 31, 26A · Cruz Azul Hidalgo0-2
  • WOct 25, 26H · Correcaminos Uat2-0
  • DOct 17, 26A · CA La Paz2-2
  • WOct 10, 26H · Piratas4-2
  • DOct 4, 26A · Monarcas1-1

Cancún

WWDDW
  • WNov 1, 26H · CDS Tampico Madero2-0
  • WOct 24, 26A · Tepatitlán0-4
  • DOct 18, 26H · Venados FC1-1
  • DOct 11, 26A · Mineros de Zacatecas2-2
  • WOct 4, 26H · Tapatío1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Piratas15+1225DWWLW
5Cancún15+1025WWDDW
6Venados FC15+625DWDDW
7Durango15+624WLWDW
8Tlaxcala15+222WWDWD
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15-1022WWWWL

Tlaxcala vs Cancún — Match Analysis

Tlaxcala are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 2-1.

Tlaxcala host Cancún in the Liga de Expansión MX on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes Tlaxcala the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 26% and Cancún at 34%.

Form and league position

Tlaxcala sit 14th of 16 with 8 points from 9 games (14 scored, 21 conceded), recent form D-W-L. Cancún sit 7th of 16 with 14 points from 9 games (17 scored, 11 conceded), recent form W-D-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.8–1.7, about 3.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Tlaxcala at 2.30, the draw at 3.38 and Cancún at 2.58; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Tlaxcala to win (40%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Tlaxcala: 35% · Draw: 27% · Cancún: 38%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 67% · Under 2.5: 33% · BTTS: 68%

Form (latest first): Tlaxcala: WWDWD · Cancún: WWDDW

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Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX

Mexico8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Venados FC
Nov 423:00
Monarcas
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Tlaxcala
Nov 501:05
CA La Paz
12.7836%
X4.0025%
22.5639%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Cancún
Nov 601:00
Piratas
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Durango
Nov 603:05
Leones Negros UDG
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Monarcas
Nov 801:00
Venados FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
CA La Paz
Nov 803:05
Tlaxcala
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Leones Negros UDG
Nov 818:00
Durango
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Piratas
Nov 901:00
Cancún
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

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