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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Liga de Expansión MX
  3. Dorados vs Durango

Dorados vs Durango

Result • Liga de Expansión MX·Dorados·Durango

Liga de Expansión MX
Liga de Expansión MX
Sep 27, 2026
01:00
medium Confidence
Dorados

Dorados

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-0
Stadium
Estadio El Encanto
medium Confidence
WINNER
Durango

Durango

Away
Stadium
Estadio El Encanto
Win Probabilities
53%
Dorados
22%
Draw
25%
Durango
Home1.8953%
Draw4.5522%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Dorados are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga de Expansión MX fixture between Dorados and Durango using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Dorados a 53% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Durango a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: O. Coronel
    44'
    Yellow Card: O. CoronelDorados
  2. Substitution: C. LeyvaOut: A. Flores
    46'
    Substitution: C. LeyvaDorados · Out: A. Flores
  3. 46'
    Substitution: L. GutierrezDurango · Out: J. Angulo
    Substitution: L. GutierrezOut: J. Angulo
  4. Substitution: D. GuajardoOut: G. Padilla
    46'
    Substitution: D. GuajardoDorados · Out: G. Padilla
  5. Yellow Card: D. Guajardo
    50'
    Yellow Card: D. GuajardoDorados
  6. 57'
    Yellow Card: L. GutierrezDurango
    Yellow Card: L. Gutierrez
  7. Substitution: B. OrdoricaOut: L. Vargas
    60'
    Substitution: B. OrdoricaDorados · Out: L. Vargas
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card: A. GarciaDurango
    Yellow Card: A. Garcia
  9. 63'
    Goal: J. I. Reyes OlguinDurango
    Goal: J. I. Reyes Olguin
  10. 64'
    Yellow Card: J. I. Reyes OlguinDurango
    Yellow Card: J. I. Reyes Olguin
  11. 65'
    Yellow Card: S. FloresDurango
    Yellow Card: S. Flores
  12. 71'
    Substitution: A. OntiverosDurango · Out: J. I. Reyes Olguin
    Substitution: A. OntiverosOut: J. I. Reyes Olguin
  13. 71'
    Substitution: A. ValenzuelaDurango · Out: A. Escoboza
    Substitution: A. ValenzuelaOut: A. Escoboza
  14. 71'
    Substitution: L. LoronaDurango · Out: A. Garcia
    Substitution: L. LoronaOut: A. Garcia
  15. Yellow Card: C. Castro
    76'
    Yellow Card: C. CastroDorados
  16. 79'
    Substitution: C. Vega HernandezDurango · Out: J. Gonzalez
    Substitution: C. Vega HernandezOut: J. Gonzalez
  17. Substitution: B. SanchezOut: F. Contreras
    79'
    Substitution: B. SanchezDorados · Out: F. Contreras
  18. Substitution: C. GaliciaOut: D. Osuna
    79'
    Substitution: C. GaliciaDorados · Out: D. Osuna
  19. Yellow Card: B. Ordorica
    82'
    Yellow Card: B. OrdoricaDorados
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headDorados – DurangoInjuriesDoradosInjuriesDurangoLive scores

Statistical Context

Dorados

LLWLL
  • LOct 31, 26A · CA La Paz3-0
  • LOct 25, 26H · Piratas0-5
  • WOct 17, 26A · Correcaminos Uat1-2
  • LOct 11, 26H · Cruz Azul Hidalgo1-3
  • LOct 4, 26A · Leones Negros UDG6-3

Durango

WLWDW
  • WNov 1, 26H · Monarcas3-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Venados FC3-2
  • WOct 18, 26H · Tapatío5-0
  • DOct 11, 26A · CDS Tampico Madero0-0
  • WOct 4, 26H · Mineros de Zacatecas4-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Venados FC15+625DWDDW
7Durango15+624WLWDW
8Tlaxcala15+222WWDWD
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15-1022WWWWL
10Mineros de Zacatecas15018LLLDL
11Tapatío15-318DLLWL
12Correcaminos Uat15-317DLLLD
13Dorados15-916LLWLL
14CDS Tampico Madero15-1015LLWDL

Dorados vs Durango — Match Analysis

Dorados are favoured at 53%; our projected score is 1-0.

Dorados host Durango in the Liga de Expansión MX on Sunday, 27 September 2026. Our model makes Dorados the favourite at 53%, with the draw at 22% and Durango at 25%.

Form and league position

Dorados sit 9th of 16 with 13 points from 9 games (17 scored, 13 conceded), recent form W-D-D. Durango sit 11th of 16 with 11 points from 9 games (6 scored, 9 conceded), recent form D-L-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.1, about 2.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

The market has not priced this fixture yet. Until odds arrive the probabilities come from the team-strength model and are re-anchored automatically once bookmakers open the match.

Prediction

Dorados to win (53%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Dorados: 53% · Draw: 22% · Durango: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (9.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 52%

Form (latest first): Dorados: LLWLL · Durango: WLWDW

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Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX

Mexico8 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Venados FC
Nov 421:00
Monarcas
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Cancún
Nov 421:00
Piratas
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Tlaxcala
Nov 421:00
CA La Paz
12.7836%
X4.0025%
22.5639%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Durango
Nov 421:00
Leones Negros UDG
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Monarcas
Nov 721:00
Venados FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Leones Negros UDG
Nov 721:00
Durango
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
CA La Paz
Nov 721:00
Tlaxcala
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Liga de Expansión MXMexico
Piratas
Nov 721:00
Cancún
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

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