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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. CF Pachuca vs Toluca

CF Pachuca vs Toluca

Prediction • Liga MX·CF Pachuca·Toluca

Liga MX
Liga MX
Nov 21, 2026
23:00
Early projection · Odds pending
CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Away
Stadium
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Win Probabilities
30%
CF Pachuca
25%
Draw
45%
Toluca
Home3.3330%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.2245%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are favored at 45% to win away at CF Pachuca. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for CF Pachuca vs Toluca.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0CF Pachuca
/10
0.0Toluca
CF Pachuca
FormLatest first
WLLDL
Win Rate20%
Toluca
FormLatest first
DDDLD
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageCF Pachuca+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

CF Pachuca
Home

CF Pachuca

Form
LDLLW
Latest first
16
Pos
13
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 13 matches)

Clean Sheets323%
Goal Diff+2
  • Strong head-to-head record (62% strength)
  • Effective attacking players like S. Rondón and E. Montiel
  • Ability to score goals despite poor form (1.4 avg goals scored)

Key Players

S. Rondón
S. Rondón
8.9
Goals
2
Assists
0
E. Montiel
E. Montiel
8.7
Goals
1
Assists
1
Toluca
Away

Toluca

Form
DLDDD
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+10
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 12 matches)

Clean Sheets433%
Goal Diff+10
  • Better league position (4th vs 16th)
  • Higher win rate (50% in last 5)
  • Stronger attack (1.8 avg goals scored)

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
3Wins
3
Draws
Toluca
4Wins
Toluca
30%30%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May102026
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
2-0
Win
TolucaToluca
May42026
TolucaToluca
0-1
Win
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
Mar222026
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1-1
Draw
TolucaToluca
Oct272025
TolucaToluca
2-2
Draw
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
Mar292025
TolucaToluca
3-2
Loss
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
Sep182024
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
2-2
Draw
TolucaToluca
Mar312024
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
2-3
Loss
TolucaToluca
Sep32023
TolucaToluca
5-0
Loss
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
Feb202023
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1-2
Loss
TolucaToluca
Oct312022
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
3-1
Win
TolucaToluca

Past Predictions

0%0/2 correct

CF Pachuca 2 - 0 Toluca

May 10, 2026

31% / 28% / 41%

CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Toluca

Mar 22, 2026

24% / 26% / 50%

CF Pachuca4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1TolucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
138323318+1527
2
Cruz Azul
148243223+926
3
Guadalajara Chivas
147522112+926
4
Atlas
147342526-124
5
TolucaAway
146532919+1023
6
Leon
146442118+322
7
Monterrey
136252318+520
8
Club Tijuana
135532117+420
9
Club Queretaro
136251718-120
10
Santos Laguna
146172020019
11
Atletico San Luis
145451922-319
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
144552023-317
13
CF PachucaHome
144462219+316
14
Puebla
144461621-516
15
Tigres UANL
143651519-415
16
Atlante FC
143561420-614
17
Necaxa
142481627-1110
18
FC Juarez
141211933-245
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

30%CF Pachuca
25%Draw
45%Toluca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Nov 21 · 23:00
StadiumEstadio Miguel Hidalgo
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · CF PachucaInjuries · TolucaLive scores →

Statistical Context

CF Pachuca

WLLDL
  • WOct 26, 26A · Club America1-2
  • LOct 22, 26H · Cruz Azul1-2
  • LOct 19, 26A · Monterrey2-1
  • DOct 11, 26H · Necaxa3-3
  • LSep 27, 26A · Santos Laguna1-0

Toluca

DDDLD
  • DOct 24, 26A · Leon1-1
  • DOct 22, 26H · Club Tijuana2-2
  • DOct 18, 26H · Atletico San Luis1-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Tigres UANL3-2
  • DSep 26, 26A · Cruz Azul3-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Atlas14-124WLWDW
5Toluca14+1023DDDLD
6Leon14+322DWLDW
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas14-317DLWDL
13CF Pachuca14+316WLLDL
14Puebla14-516LLDDL

Head to Head

3
CF Pachuca
3
Draws
4
Toluca
  • May 10, 26CF Pachuca – Toluca2-0
  • May 4, 26Toluca – CF Pachuca0-1
  • Mar 22, 26CF Pachuca – Toluca1-1
  • Oct 27, 25Toluca – CF Pachuca2-2
  • Mar 29, 25Toluca – CF Pachuca3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

CF PachucaToluca
Played1312
Goals Scored2026
Goals Conceded1816
Avg Scored1.52.2
Avg Conceded1.41.3
Clean Sheets34

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CF PachucaToluca
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Predicted line-ups: CF Pachuca vs Toluca

Predicted XI

CF Pachuca

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: J. Lozano

Toluca

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. La Volpe

  1. 22L. García
  1. 2D. Barbosa
  2. 4B. Méndez
  3. 20J. Gallardo
  4. 17B. García
  1. 19S. Simón
  2. 10J. Angulo
  1. 24F. Arce
  2. 8N. Castro
  3. 35É. Gutiérrez
  1. 26Paulinho
  1. 187G. Álvarez
  1. 30S. Rodríguez
  2. 12S. Santos
  3. 11O. Idrissi
  1. 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
  2. 16C. Rivera
  1. 13J. Berlanga
  2. 4Eduardo Bauermann
  3. 6M. Isaís
  4. 15F. Venegas
  1. 31J. Eulogio

Bench

  • 25C. Moreno
  • 32P. Budib
  • 21N. Vallejo
  • 7R. Pizarro
  • 9A. Alcáraz
  • 211C. Hernandez
  • 29Kenedy

Bench

  • 1H. González
  • 13Luan
  • 6F. Pereira
  • 25E. López
  • 5F. Romero
  • 29J. Díaz
  • 11Helinho

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

CF Pachuca vs Toluca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are favored at 45% to win away at CF Pachuca. The draw is rated 25% and the home win 30%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Based on the structured data, Toluca hold a narrow edge over CF Pachuca, though the match is finely balanced. The baseline model gives Toluca a clear advantage, and the API-Football statistical model also leans towards a Toluca win or draw, with a predicted winner of Toluca.…

Win Probabilities: CF Pachuca: 30% · Draw: 25% · Toluca: 45%

H2H: CF Pachuca wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Toluca wins: 4

Form (latest first): CF Pachuca: WLLDL · Toluca: DDDLD

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Oct 2903:00
Club Tijuana
11.5963%
X4.1724%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 3101:00
Club Queretaro
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 3101:00
Atlas
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Oct 3103:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Oct 3123:00
Tigres UANL
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Nov 101:00
Club Tijuana
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Nov 101:07
Atlante FC
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Nov 103:00
Toluca
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Nov 123:00
Necaxa
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Nov 201:00
Leon
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Nov 701:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Nov 701:00
FC Juarez
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Nov 703:00
Santos Laguna
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Nov 723:00
Cruz Azul
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Nov 723:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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