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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Necaxa vs Cruz Azul

Necaxa vs Cruz Azul

Prediction • Liga MX·Necaxa·Cruz Azul

Liga MX
Liga MX
Aug 29, 2026
01:00
Necaxa

Necaxa

Home
VS
VS
Odds
13.75
X3.80
21.84
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
PREDICTED WINNER
Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

Away
Odds
13.75
X3.80
21.84
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
Win Probabilities
20%
Necaxa
29%
Draw
51%
Cruz Azul
Home3.7520%
Draw3.8029%
Away1.8451%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Cruz Azul are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking stats. However, their recent two-match losing streak and Necaxa's home advantage could make this a tighter contest than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Necaxa
/10
6.0Cruz Azul
Necaxa
FormLatest first
LLWWL
Win Rate40%
Cruz Azul
FormLatest first
LLWWW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageCruz Azul+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

16°
Clear
Wind
10 km/h
Humidity
80%
Rain
0.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Moderate wind - may affect crosses and set pieces

Necaxa
Home

Necaxa

Form
WWLL
Latest first
13
Pos
15
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-1
  • Solid home record with 2 wins in 3 home games
  • Key player J. Carranza in excellent form with a 9.3 average rating
  • Decent defensive stats in the comparison (53%)

Key Players

J. Carranza
J. Carranza
9.3
Goals
1
Assists
1
M. Pedroza
M. Pedroza
7.6
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Necaxa
Necaxa
2Wins
3
Draws
Cruz Azul
5Wins
Cruz Azul
20%30%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr272026
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
4-1
Loss
NecaxaNecaxa
Oct222025
NecaxaNecaxa
1-1
Draw
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Jan292025
NecaxaNecaxa
1-3
Loss
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Oct52024
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
3-0
Loss
NecaxaNecaxa
Mar162024
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1-2
Win
NecaxaNecaxa
Oct52023
NecaxaNecaxa
1-3
Loss
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Jan222023
NecaxaNecaxa
1-0
Win
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Dec132022
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
0-0
Draw
NecaxaNecaxa
Jul302022
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1-0
Loss
NecaxaNecaxa
May72022
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1-1
Draw
NecaxaNecaxa
Necaxa3-4-2-1vs4-2-3-1Cruz AzulPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Cruz AzulCruz Azul4-2-3-1
NecaxaNecaxa3-4-2-1
Cruz AzulBenchCruz Azul7
NecaxaBenchNecaxa7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
Club America
431081+710
2
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
431062+410
3
Monterrey
Monterrey
4301125+79
4
Atlas
Atlas
430165+19
5
Toluca
Toluca
421163+37
6
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
421175+27
7
Puebla
Puebla
421165+17
8
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
421154+17
9
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
42113307
10
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulAway
42028806
11
Leon
Leon
42025506
12
Necaxa
NecaxaHome
420267-16
13
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
41215505
14
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
41036603
15
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
402248-42
16
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
4013610-41
17
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
400428-60
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
4004213-110
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Cruz Azul

Confidence

Win Probabilities

20%Necaxa
29%Draw
51%Cruz Azul

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
Odds 1·X·23.75 · 3.80 · 1.84
KickoffSat, Aug 29 · 01:00
StadiumEstadio Victoria
League StatsLiga MX

Statistical Context

Necaxa

LLWWL
  • LAug 18, 26H · Leon1-2
  • LAug 3, 26A · Toluca3-1
  • WJul 26, 26H · Monterrey2-1
  • WJul 17, 26H · Atlante FC2-1
  • LApr 11, 26A · Club Queretaro3-1

Cruz Azul

LLWWW
  • LAug 17, 26A · Club Tijuana2-1
  • LAug 2, 26H · Atlante FC2-3
  • WJul 22, 26H · Puebla2-1
  • WJul 18, 26A · Atletico San Luis2-3
  • WMay 10, 26H · Atlas1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Guadalajara Chivas407WDWL
10Cruz Azul406LLWW
11Leon406WWLL
12Necaxa4-16LLWW
13Atlante FC405DWDL

Head to Head

2
Necaxa
3
Draws
5
Cruz Azul
  • Apr 27, 26Cruz Azul – Necaxa4-1
  • Oct 22, 25Necaxa – Cruz Azul1-1
  • Jan 29, 25Necaxa – Cruz Azul1-3
  • Oct 5, 24Cruz Azul – Necaxa3-0
  • Mar 16, 24Cruz Azul – Necaxa1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

NecaxaCruz Azul
Played44
Goals Scored68
Goals Conceded78
Avg Scored1.52.0
Avg Conceded1.82.0
Clean Sheets00

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Necaxa

Formation 3-4-2-1
  1. 1GC. Andrade
  2. 33DR. Martínez
  3. 20DF. Mendez
  4. 5DKaiky Naves
  5. 88MC. Vargas
  6. 14MM. Zaleta
  7. 17MR. Cortéz
  8. 8ML. Faravelli
  9. 6MD. Leyva
  10. 16MP. Pedraza
  11. 21AM. Espíndola

Cruz Azul

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GA. Gudiño
  2. 3DO. Campos
  3. 49DJ. Díaz
  4. 12DA. Montes
  5. 5DJ. Orozco
  6. 32MC. Jiménez
  7. 17MA. García
  8. 55MR. Gonzalez
  9. 6MÉ. Lira
  10. 10MA. Montaño
  11. 21AG. Fernández

Necaxa vs Cruz Azul — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Cruz Azul are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior attacking stats. However, their recent two-match losing streak and Necaxa's home advantage could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Cruz Azul enter this match as the clear favourites, with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and the independent statistical model both pointing to an away victory. The market gives the visitors a decisive edge, and the API-Football model also predicts a Cruz Azul win, reinforcing the signal.…

Win Probabilities: Necaxa: 20% · Draw: 29% · Cruz Azul: 51%

H2H: Necaxa wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Cruz Azul wins: 5

Form (latest first): Necaxa: LLWWL · Cruz Azul: LLWWW

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Aug 2223:07
Club Tijuana
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Aug 2301:00
Santos Laguna
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Aug 2303:00
Atlas
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Aug 2323:00
CF Pachuca
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Aug 2401:00
Necaxa
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Aug 2901:00
Leon
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Aug 2903:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.2744%
X3.2331%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Aug 2923:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Aug 2923:00
Guadalajara Chivas
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Aug 3001:00
Puebla
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Aug 3003:00
Tigres UANL
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:00
Atletico San Luis
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access