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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Monterrey vs FC Juarez

Monterrey vs FC Juarez

Result • Liga MX·Monterrey·FC Juarez

Liga MX
Liga MX
Aug 16, 2026
01:10
high Confidence
WINNER
Monterrey

Monterrey

Home
Final Score
6-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
6-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.52
X4.40
25.40
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
high Confidence
FC Juarez

FC Juarez

Away
Odds
11.52
X4.40
25.40
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
Win Probabilities
63%
Monterrey
23%
Draw
14%
FC Juarez
Home1.5263%
Draw4.4023%
Away5.4014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Monterrey are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior form, with Juarez winless and bottom of the table. The main risk is a potential upset if Monterrey underperform and Juarez find an early goal, but the data strongly favours a home win.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Monterrey and FC Juarez using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Monterrey a 63% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and FC Juarez a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 62%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 62%

Match Events

  1. Goal: L. OrellanoAssist: D. Rossi
    6'
    Goal: L. OrellanoMonterrey · Assist: D. Rossi
  2. Goal: D. RossiAssist: R. Chavez
    15'
    Goal: D. RossiMonterrey · Assist: R. Chavez
  3. Goal: H. CuypersAssist: O. Pineda
    29'
    Goal: H. CuypersMonterrey · Assist: O. Pineda
  4. 32'
    Goal: O. EstupinanFC Juarez · Assist: J. Rodriguez
    Goal: O. EstupinanAssist: J. Rodriguez
  5. Substitution: J. RodriguezOut: A. Aceves
    37'
    Substitution: J. RodriguezMonterrey · Out: A. Aceves
  6. Goal: O. PinedaAssist: H. Cuypers
    45+3'
    Goal: O. PinedaMonterrey · Assist: H. Cuypers
  7. 46'
    Substitution: J. M. Torres Ramirez I.FC Juarez · Out: R. Fulgencio
    Substitution: J. M. Torres Ramirez I.Out: R. Fulgencio
  8. 46'
    Substitution: Rodrigo DouradoFC Juarez · Out: Guilherme Castilho
    Substitution: Rodrigo DouradoOut: Guilherme Castilho
  9. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideD. Rossi
    55'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideMonterrey · D. Rossi
  10. 56'
    Substitution: MadsonFC Juarez · Out: Ricardinho
    Substitution: MadsonOut: Ricardinho
  11. Goal: L. OcamposAssist: D. Rossi
    62'
    Goal: L. OcamposMonterrey · Assist: D. Rossi
  12. Substitution: I. FimbresOut: O. Pineda
    63'
    Substitution: I. FimbresMonterrey · Out: O. Pineda
  13. Substitution: R. de la RosaOut: H. Cuypers
    63'
    Substitution: R. de la RosaMonterrey · Out: H. Cuypers
  14. Substitution: A. De NigrisOut: D. Rossi
    63'
    Substitution: A. De NigrisMonterrey · Out: D. Rossi
  15. 70'
    Substitution: MonchuFC Juarez · Out: O. Estupinan
    Substitution: MonchuOut: O. Estupinan
  16. 70'
    Substitution: F. J. Nevarez PulgarinFC Juarez · Out: A. Mayorga
    Substitution: F. J. Nevarez PulgarinOut: A. Mayorga
  17. Substitution: J. CoronaOut: L. Ocampos
    71'
    Substitution: J. CoronaMonterrey · Out: L. Ocampos
  18. Goal: J. RodriguezAssist: J. Corona
    90+2'
    Goal: J. RodriguezMonterrey · Assist: J. Corona
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Ocampos vs J. Murillo: Ocampos' movement and finishing will test Murillo's defensive positioning, and winning this duel could unlock the Juarez defence.
2J. Corona vs R. Fulgencio: Corona's experience and passing range in midfield will look to control the game, while Fulgencio will need to disrupt his rhythm.
3H. Cuypers vs A. Mayorga: Cuypers' physical presence and aerial ability will challenge Mayorga in the air, and winning these duels could lead to set-piece opportunities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Monterrey

  • Strong attacking form, scoring 6 goals in last 3 matches
  • Solid home record with a win in their only home game
  • Defensive lapses, conceding 4 goals in last 3 matches
  • Only 1 clean sheet in last 5 games

FC Juarez

  • Despite poor results, they have shown some attacking intent, averaging 1.2 goals per game
  • Midfielders like Monchu and Guilherme Castilho can create chances
  • Winless in all 3 matches, with 0 points and a -6 goal difference
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.2 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
63%
API-Football
50%
57%
Monterrey56377

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Monterrey enter this Liga MX clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior form. The home side have won seven of the last nine meetings against FC Juarez, who are rooted to the bottom of the table with zero points from three matches.

Form Analysis: Monterrey have won two of their last three, scoring six goals and conceding four, while FC Juarez have lost all three of their opening games, scoring just once and shipping seven. The visitors have failed to score in two of their last five matches, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and confidence. Monterrey sit fifth with six points, while Juarez are 18th with none. The home side's attacking threat, led by L. Ocampos (2 goals, 1 assist), should prove too much for a defence that has conceded 2.2 goals per game on average. Additionally, Monterrey's home advantage at the Estadio BBVA further tilts the balance.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Monterrey's superior form, historical dominance, and home support make them overwhelming favourites, and a win by a two-goal margin is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextMonterrey

Winner : Monterrey

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MonterreyFC Juarez
70%Strength29%
86%Attacking Potential14%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
62%Goals H2H38%
70%Wins the Game29%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MonterreyInjuries · FC JuarezLive scores →

Statistical Context

Monterrey

LWWDL
  • LOct 25, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas0-1
  • WOct 22, 26A · Puebla1-4
  • WOct 19, 26H · CF Pachuca2-1
  • DOct 11, 26A · Club America1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Atlante FC4-2

FC Juarez

DLLDL
  • DOct 24, 26A · Necaxa1-1
  • LOct 21, 26H · Atlante FC0-1
  • LOct 18, 26A · Cruz Azul5-0
  • DOct 10, 26H · Club Tijuana1-1
  • LSep 28, 26A · Leon2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Leon14+322DWLDW
7Monterrey13+520LWWDL
8Club Tijuana13+420WDDDL
17Necaxa14-1110DLLDL
18FC Juarez14-245DLLDL

Head to Head

7
Monterrey
1
Draws
1
FC Juarez
  • Mar 14, 26FC Juarez – Monterrey2-2
  • Oct 22, 25Monterrey – FC Juarez4-2
  • Feb 9, 25FC Juarez – Monterrey2-1
  • Sep 19, 24Monterrey – FC Juarez3-2
  • Feb 24, 24FC Juarez – Monterrey0-3

Season Statistics — 2026

MonterreyFC Juarez
Played1214
Goals Scored239
Goals Conceded1733
Avg Scored1.90.6
Avg Conceded1.42.4
Clean Sheets31

Predicted line-ups: Monterrey vs FC Juarez

Predicted XI

Monterrey

3-3-1-3Formation· Coach: Domènec Torrent

FC Juarez

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Unknown

  1. 24B. Díaz
  1. 198Ricardo Juárez Mendoza
  2. 4A. Mayorga
  3. 3J. Murillo
  4. 33F. Nevárez
  1. 201J. Carmona
  2. 7R. Fulgencio
  1. 5D. García
  2. 8Guilherme Castilho
  3. 6Monchu
  1. 19Ó. Estupiñán
  1. 99H. Cuypers
  2. 7L. Ocampos
  3. 10L. Orellano
  1. 18Cesar Garza Cantu
  1. 5F. Ambríz
  2. 11Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
  3. 200O. Galvez
  1. 19A. Aceves
  2. 3G. Arteaga
  3. 34C. Bustos
  1. 22L. Cárdenas

Bench

  • 232S. Lomelin
  • 31C. Ramos
  • 2R. Chávez
  • 4V. Guzmán
  • 21L. Reyes
  • 30J. Rodríguez
  • 25O. Pineda

Bench

  • 1S. Jurado
  • 23H. Ortega
  • 2G. Sepúlveda
  • 20J. Aquino
  • 11J. Rodríguez
  • 183L. Silva
  • 9Madson

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Monterrey vs FC Juarez — Match Analysis

Monterrey are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior form, with Juarez winless and bottom of the table. The main risk is a potential upset if Monterrey underperform and Juarez find an early goal, but the data strongly favours a home win.

Monterrey enter this Liga MX clash as clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior form. The home side have won seven of the last nine meetings against FC Juarez, who are rooted to the bottom of the table with zero points from three matches.

Form Analysis: Monterrey have won two of their last three, scoring six goals and conceding four, while FC Juarez have lost all three of their opening games, scoring just once and shipping seven. The visitors have failed to score in two of their last five matches, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and confidence. Monterrey sit fifth with six points, while Juarez are 18th with none. The home side's attacking threat, led by L. Ocampos (2 goals, 1 assist), should prove too much for a defence that has conceded 2.2 goals per game on average. Additionally, Monterrey's home advantage at the Estadio BBVA further tilts the balance.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory. Monterrey's superior form, historical dominance, and home support make them overwhelming favourites, and a win by a two-goal margin is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Monterrey: 63% · Draw: 23% · FC Juarez: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 62%

H2H: Monterrey wins: 7 · Draws: 1 · FC Juarez wins: 1

Form (latest first): Monterrey: LWWDL · FC Juarez: DLLDL

  • L. Ocampos vs J. Murillo: Ocampos' movement and finishing will test Murillo's defensive positioning, and winning this duel could unlock the Juarez defence.
  • J. Corona vs R. Fulgencio: Corona's experience and passing range in midfield will look to control the game, while Fulgencio will need to disrupt his rhythm.
  • H. Cuypers vs A. Mayorga: Cuypers' physical presence and aerial ability will challenge Mayorga in the air, and winning these duels could lead to set-piece opportunities.

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Oct 2903:00
Club Tijuana
11.5963%
X4.1724%
27.6913%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 3101:00
Club Queretaro
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 3101:00
Atlas
12.9434%
X3.5728%
22.6338%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Oct 3103:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Oct 3123:00
Tigres UANL
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Nov 101:00
Club Tijuana
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Nov 101:07
Atlante FC
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Nov 103:00
Toluca
12.8635%
X3.8526%
22.5639%
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Nov 123:00
Necaxa
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Nov 201:00
Leon
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Nov 701:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Nov 701:00
FC Juarez
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Nov 703:00
Santos Laguna
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Nov 723:00
Cruz Azul
Early projection
13.1332%
X3.8526%
22.3842%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Nov 723:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%

Betting Tips

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