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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Necaxa vs Puebla

Necaxa vs Puebla

Prediction • Liga MX·Necaxa·Puebla

Liga MX
Liga MX
Sep 12, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Necaxa

Necaxa

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Puebla

Puebla

Away
Stadium
Estadio Victoria
Win Probabilities
32%
Necaxa
26%
Draw
42%
Puebla
Home3.1332%
Draw3.8526%
Away2.3842%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Necaxa are the clear favourites here, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and strong home form, despite Puebla's slightly better recent results. The main risk is Puebla's superior attacking output, which could see them snatch a result if Necaxa's defence underperforms.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Necaxa
/10
4.0Puebla
Necaxa
FormLatest first
LDLLW
Win Rate20%
Puebla
FormLatest first
LWWDL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantagePuebla+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

16°
Light rain shower
Wind
12 km/h
Humidity
92%
Rain
1.0 mm
Tactical Impact

Heavy rain - slippery pitch favors physical play and long balls

Necaxa
Home

Necaxa

Form
WLLDL
Latest first
13
Pos
15
Pts
-1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-1
  • Strong head-to-head record against Puebla (5 wins in last 10)
  • Solid home form with 2 wins in 3 home games
  • Key player J. Carranza in excellent form with an average rating of 9.3

Key Players

J. Carranza
J. Carranza
9.3
Goals
1
Assists
1
M. Pedroza
M. Pedroza
7.6
Goals
1
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Necaxa
Necaxa
5Wins
3
Draws
Puebla
2Wins
Puebla
50%30%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar142026
PueblaPuebla
0-0
Draw
NecaxaNecaxa
Sep202025
NecaxaNecaxa
1-0
Win
PueblaPuebla
Apr192025
PueblaPuebla
0-1
Win
NecaxaNecaxa
Jul132024
NecaxaNecaxa
4-1
Win
PueblaPuebla
Jan202024
PueblaPuebla
1-2
Win
NecaxaNecaxa
Oct82023
NecaxaNecaxa
1-2
Loss
PueblaPuebla
Apr152023
NecaxaNecaxa
1-1
Draw
PueblaPuebla
Aug172022
PueblaPuebla
2-2
Draw
NecaxaNecaxa
Apr232022
PueblaPuebla
0-1
Win
NecaxaNecaxa
Oct162021
NecaxaNecaxa
0-1
Loss
PueblaPuebla

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Puebla 0 - 0 Necaxa

Mar 14, 2026

48% / 26% / 26%

Necaxa3-5-2vs4-2-3-1PueblaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Midfield battle favors home. Back three vs lone striker advantage.

PueblaPuebla4-2-3-1
NecaxaNecaxa3-5-2
PueblaBenchPuebla7
NecaxaBenchNecaxa7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
Club America
6510122+1016
2
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
6411107+313
3
Atlas
Atlas
640298+112
4
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
632196+311
5
Toluca
Toluca
531184+410
6
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
631297+210
7
Leon
Leon
631286+210
8
Puebla
PueblaAway
631299010
9
Monterrey
Monterrey
5302127+59
10
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
6303111109
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
62228808
12
Necaxa
NecaxaHome
6213811-37
13
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
613268-26
14
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
61238805
15
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
5113810-24
16
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
503259-43
17
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
5005411-70
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
5005315-120
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Puebla

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%Necaxa
26%Draw
42%Puebla

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 12 · 01:00
StadiumEstadio Victoria
League StatsLiga MX

Statistical Context

Necaxa

LDLLW
  • LAug 29, 26H · Cruz Azul1-3
  • DAug 24, 26A · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
  • LAug 18, 26H · Leon1-2
  • LAug 3, 26A · Toluca3-1
  • WJul 26, 26H · Monterrey2-1

Puebla

LWWDL
  • LAug 30, 26A · Club America2-0
  • WAug 23, 26H · Santos Laguna3-2
  • WAug 18, 26A · CF Pachuca2-3
  • DAug 1, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas1-1
  • LJul 22, 26A · Cruz Azul2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Leon6+210DWWWL
8Puebla6010LWWDL
9Monterrey5+59LWWLW
10Cruz Azul609WLLLW
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas608LDDWW
12Necaxa6-37LDLLW
13Atlante FC6-26DLDWD

Head to Head

5
Necaxa
3
Draws
2
Puebla
  • Mar 14, 26Puebla – Necaxa0-0
  • Sep 20, 25Necaxa – Puebla1-0
  • Apr 19, 25Puebla – Necaxa0-1
  • Jul 13, 24Necaxa – Puebla4-1
  • Jan 20, 24Puebla – Necaxa1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

NecaxaPuebla
Played55
Goals Scored79
Goals Conceded87
Avg Scored1.41.8
Avg Conceded1.61.4
Clean Sheets01

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Necaxa

Formation 3-5-2
  1. 1GC. Andrade
  2. 33DR. Martínez
  3. 20DF. Mendez
  4. 5DKaiky Naves
  5. 88MC. Vargas
  6. 14MM. Zaleta
  7. 17MR. Cortéz
  8. 21MM. Espíndola
  9. 8ML. Faravelli
  10. 10AJ. Ruiz
  11. 9AJ. Carranza

Coach: G. Vázquez

Puebla

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 28GR. Gutiérrez
  2. 5DF. Almada
  3. 12DI. Moreno
  4. 20DJ. Pachuca
  5. 4DJ. Vargas
  6. 22MC. Baltazar
  7. 3MA. Herrera
  8. 34MLucas Camilo
  9. 24MA. Organista
  10. 16MA. Ramírez
  11. 9AL. Hernández

Coach: J. Sánchez Solá

Necaxa vs Puebla — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Necaxa are the clear favourites here, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and strong home form, despite Puebla's slightly better recent results. The main risk is Puebla's superior attacking output, which could see them snatch a result if Necaxa's defence underperforms.

This Liga MX clash at Estadio Victoria sees Necaxa and Puebla separated by just four places and three points in the standings. While the baseline model gives Puebla a slight edge, the API-Football model strongly favors the home side, and the head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Necaxa's favor.…

Win Probabilities: Necaxa: 32% · Draw: 26% · Puebla: 42%

H2H: Necaxa wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Puebla wins: 2

Form (latest first): Necaxa: LDLLW · Puebla: LWWDL

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Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:10
Atletico San Luis
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
15.8817%
X3.7027%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
14.0025%
X3.3330%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 603:00
Atlante FC
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sep 618:00
Leon
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 702:00
Santos Laguna
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 1203:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 1203:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Sep 1223:00
Atletico San Luis
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Sep 1301:00
Atlas
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access