Jong Ajax host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Monday, 19 October 2026. Our model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 23% and Jong Ajax at 37%.
Form and league position
The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.6, about 3.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Jong Ajax at 2.72, the draw at 3.95 and De Graafschap at 2.25; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
De Graafschap to win (40%), most likely score 1-2.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
