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Today's Tips
Correct Score
Matches
Live
  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. MVV vs Heracles

MVV vs Heracles

Result • Eerste Divisie·MVV·Heracles

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Oct 18, 2026
14:45
high Confidence
MVV

MVV

Home
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-5
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
16.00
X4.80
21.40
Stadium
De Geusselt
high Confidence
WINNER
Heracles

Heracles

Away
Odds
16.00
X4.80
21.40
Stadium
De Geusselt
Win Probabilities
18%
MVV
18%
Draw
64%
Heracles
Home6.0018%
Draw4.8018%
Away1.4064%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Heracles are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between MVV and Heracles using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns MVV a 18% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and Heracles a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Sil van der WegenAssist: Yael Liesdek
    33'
    Goal: Sil van der WegenMVV · Assist: Yael Liesdek
  2. 41'
    Goal: Maurice WruschHeracles
    Goal: Maurice Wrusch
  3. 43'
    Goal: Chafik AbbasHeracles · Assist: Jean-Paul N'djoli
    Goal: Chafik AbbasAssist: Jean-Paul N'djoli
  4. 51'
    Goal: Manny Rodriguez BalderaHeracles · Assist: Chafik Abbas
    Goal: Manny Rodriguez BalderaAssist: Chafik Abbas
  5. 52'
    Substitution: Max HauswirthHeracles · Out: Thomas Bruns
    Substitution: Max HauswirthOut: Thomas Bruns
  6. 52'
    Substitution: Tristan Van GilstHeracles · Out: David Tomic
    Substitution: Tristan Van GilstOut: David Tomic
  7. 62'
    Goal: Jean-Paul N'djoliHeracles · Assist: Chafik Abbas
    Goal: Jean-Paul N'djoliAssist: Chafik Abbas
  8. Substitution: Thijme VerheijenOut: Robert Klaasen
    69'
    Substitution: Thijme VerheijenMVV · Out: Robert Klaasen
  9. 77'
    Substitution: Mario EngelsHeracles · Out: Manny Rodriguez Baldera
    Substitution: Mario EngelsOut: Manny Rodriguez Baldera
  10. 77'
    Substitution: Mike te WierikHeracles · Out: Mimeirhel Benita
    Substitution: Mike te WierikOut: Mimeirhel Benita
  11. Substitution: Delano AsanteOut: Yael Liesdek
    77'
    Substitution: Delano AsanteMVV · Out: Yael Liesdek
  12. Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaOut: Naim Matoug
    77'
    Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaMVV · Out: Naim Matoug
  13. 82'
    Goal: Jean-Paul N'djoliHeracles · Assist: Mario Engels
    Goal: Jean-Paul N'djoliAssist: Mario Engels
  14. 83'
    Substitution: Daniel Van KaamHeracles · Out: Djevencio van der Kust
    Substitution: Daniel Van KaamOut: Djevencio van der Kust
  15. Yellow Card: Lennerd Daneels
    89'
    Yellow Card: Lennerd DaneelsMVV
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

MVV 1-5 Heracles
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-2chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headMVV – HeraclesInjuriesMVVInjuriesHeraclesLive scores

Statistical Context

MVV

LDLLW
  • LOct 31, 26H · VVV Venlo1-2
  • DOct 23, 26A · Den Bosch2-2
  • LOct 9, 26A · NAC Breda1-0
  • LOct 3, 26A · FC OSS4-1
  • WSep 26, 26H · Helmond Sport2-0

Heracles

WDWDW
  • WNov 2, 26H · FC OSS2-0
  • DOct 23, 26A · NAC Breda1-1
  • WOct 9, 26H · Waalwijk3-0
  • DOct 2, 26A · Helmond Sport2-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · Vitesse2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Helmond Sport000—
8MVV000—
9Almere City FC000—
15Vitesse000—
16Heracles000—
17Jong PSV U21000—

Season Statistics — 2025

MVVHeracles
Played—33
Goals Scored—34
Goals Conceded—83
Avg Scored—1.0
Avg Conceded—2.5
Clean Sheets—2

MVV vs Heracles — Match Analysis

Heracles are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-2.

MVV host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Our model makes Heracles the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 18% and MVV at 18%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.8, about 3.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price MVV at 6.10, the draw at 4.80 and Heracles at 1.44; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Heracles to win (64%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: MVV: 18% · Draw: 18% · Heracles: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (9.5% chance)

Over 2.5: 61% · Under 2.5: 39% · BTTS: 63%

Form (latest first): MVV: LDLLW · Heracles: WDWDW

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Den Bosch
Nov 715:30
Jong Utrecht
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Vitesse
Nov 811:15
De Graafschap
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Nov 815:45
MVV
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
NAC Breda
Nov 1415:30
Emmen
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
De Graafschap
Nov 1419:00
FC OSS
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 1419:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 1419:00
Heracles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Nov 1419:00
FC Volendam
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Nov 1419:00
Den Bosch
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Almere City FC
Nov 1419:00
Helmond Sport
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Nov 1513:30
Vitesse
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
De Graafschap
Nov 2019:00
MVV
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Vitesse
Nov 2019:00
Jong AZ
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 2019:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Nov 2019:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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