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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Prediction • Eredivisie·Ajax·AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Oct 31, 2026
20:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Ajax

Ajax

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Away
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Win Probabilities
32%
Ajax
25%
Draw
43%
AZ Alkmaar
Home3.1332%
Draw4.0025%
Away2.3343%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

AZ Alkmaar hold a clear edge, driven by a dominant head-to-head record and the stronger recent form of the league leaders. The main risk is Ajax's home advantage and potent attack, which could turn this into a tight, high-scoring contest.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Ajax
/10
6.0AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FormLatest first
DWWLW
Win Rate60%
AZ Alkmaar
FormLatest first
WLDWW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Ko Itakura
7.9

Ko Itakura

Ajax

VS
Alexandre Penetra
7.5

Alexandre Penetra

AZ Alkmaar

13ATT5
100TEC100
44TAC50
13DEF29
0CRE15

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
6/10
Over 2.5 Goals
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1.2
Avg Scored
1.6
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
3/10
2.0
Avg Conceded
1.6
Match Flow
4/10
Scored First
6/10
2.1
Avg Cards
1.5
4.4
Avg Corners
6.6

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Ajax
Home

Ajax

Form
WLWWD
Latest first
2
Pos
78
Pts
+12
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets229%
Goal Diff+12
  • Potent attack averaging 3.4 goals scored across their last five matches
  • Home advantage at the Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Strong attacking metrics in the API comparison (59%)
M. Carrizo
Inactive
Injured
P. Reverson
Injury
Injured
S. Adingra
Foot Injury
Injured
Y. Regeer
Injury
Injured
A. Bouwman
Injury
Injured
D. Blind
Injury
Injured
J. Faberski
Knee Injury
Injured
A. van Axel Dongen
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Bounida
Injury
Injured
A. Kaplan
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Sutalo
Injury
Injured
AZ Alkmaar
Away

AZ Alkmaar

Form
WWWDW
Latest first
5
Pos
57
Pts
+12
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets343%
Goal Diff+12
  • Top of the league on 19 points with a +12 goal difference
  • Excellent recent form: four wins in five and an 86% win rate
  • Dominant head-to-head record with seven wins in the last ten meetings
K. Smit
Groin Injury
Injured
H. Verhulst
Off the roster
Injured
J. Hornkamp
Ankle Injury
Injured
D. Kasius
Groin Injury
Injured
J. Clasie
Injury
Injured
M. Sin
Inactive
Injured
S. Resink
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Zoet
Off the roster
Injured
T. Parrott
Inactive
Injured
A. Natali
Inactive
Injured
R. Robbemond
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Ajax
Ajax
0Wins
3
Draws
AZ Alkmaar
7Wins
AZ Alkmaar
0%30%70%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb82026
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1-1
Draw
AjaxAjax
Jan142026
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
6-0
Loss
AjaxAjax
Oct182025
AjaxAjax
0-2
Loss
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Mar162025
AjaxAjax
2-2
Draw
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Jan142025
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
2-0
Loss
AjaxAjax
Dec82024
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
2-1
Loss
AjaxAjax
Feb252024
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
2-0
Loss
AjaxAjax
Oct82023
AjaxAjax
1-2
Loss
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
May62023
AjaxAjax
0-0
Draw
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Sep182022
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
2-1
Loss
AjaxAjax

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 Ajax

Feb 8, 2026

43% / 25% / 32%

Ajax4-3-3vs4-2-3-1AZ AlkmaarPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Ajax

11Out

11 key players

AZ Alkmaar

11Out

11 key players

Ajax

Team

Ajax

Players Out

11(11 key)
M. Carrizo

M. Carrizo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. Reverson

P. Reverson

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Adingra

S. Adingra

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

Y. Regeer

Y. Regeer

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Bouwman

A. Bouwman

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Blind

D. Blind

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Faberski

J. Faberski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. van Axel Dongen

A. van Axel Dongen

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Bounida

R. Bounida

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Kaplan

A. Kaplan

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Sutalo

J. Sutalo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

AZ Alkmaar

Team

AZ Alkmaar

Players Out

11(11 key)
K. Smit

K. Smit

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

H. Verhulst

H. Verhulst

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Hornkamp

J. Hornkamp

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

D. Kasius

D. Kasius

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Clasie

J. Clasie

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sin

M. Sin

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

S. Resink

S. Resink

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Zoet

J. Zoet

MODERATE
Injury:Off the roster

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Parrott

T. Parrott

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Natali

A. Natali

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Robbemond

R. Robbemond

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Eredivisie

League Statistics

Eredivisie • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ AlkmaarAway
7610186+1219
2
Feyenoord
7520257+1817
3
PSV Eindhoven
75112410+1416
4
Twente
7511157+816
5
AjaxHome
7421219+1214
6
Fortuna Sittard
74121314-113
7
Excelsior
7322159+611
8
Groningen
73221513+211
9
GO Ahead Eagles
72411614+210
10
Heerenveen
7232119+29
11
NEC Nijmegen
72231213-18
12
Sparta Rotterdam
71241017-75
13
Telstar
7124512-75
14
Cambuur
71241019-95
15
Utrecht
71241124-135
16
PEC Zwolle
7115620-144
17
ADO Den Haag
7025717-102
18
Willem II
7025620-142
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

AZ Alkmaar

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

32%Ajax
25%Draw
43%AZ Alkmaar

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 31 · 20:00
StadiumJohan Cruijff Arena
League StatsEredivisie
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AjaxInjuries · AZ AlkmaarLive scores →

Statistical Context

Ajax

DWWLW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Excelsior2-2
  • WSep 15, 26H · Willem II5-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Fortuna Sittard1-5
  • LSep 5, 26H · PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Telstar0-4

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW
  • WSep 20, 26H · Telstar1-0
  • LSep 16, 26A · Sunderland1-0
  • DSep 11, 26H · Willem II1-1
  • WSep 6, 26A · Heerenveen2-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · GO Ahead Eagles5-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar7+1219WDWWW
2Feyenoord7+1817WWWDW
3PSV Eindhoven7+1416LWWWW
4Twente7+816WWWDW
5Ajax7+1214DWWLW
6Fortuna Sittard7-113WLWWL

Head to Head

0
Ajax
3
Draws
7
AZ Alkmaar
  • Feb 8, 26AZ Alkmaar – Ajax1-1
  • Jan 14, 26AZ Alkmaar – Ajax6-0
  • Oct 18, 25Ajax – AZ Alkmaar0-2
  • Mar 16, 25Ajax – AZ Alkmaar2-2
  • Jan 14, 25AZ Alkmaar – Ajax2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Played77
Goals Scored2118
Goals Conceded96
Avg Scored3.02.6
Avg Conceded1.30.9
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AjaxAZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5 Goals6/106/10
Both Teams Scored6/106/10
Clean Sheets1/103/10

Predicted line-ups: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Predicted XI

Ajax

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. Heitinga

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: M. Martens

  1. 28J. De Busser
  1. 5M. Chávez
  2. 22E. Dijkstra
  3. 3W. Goes
  4. 29W. Hoedt
  1. 6P. Koopmeiners
  2. 21D. Kwakman
  1. 8J. Oerip
  2. 10H. de Wit
  3. 17V. Byskov
  1. 11R. Daal
  1. 99T. Arokodare
  2. 9K. Dolberg
  3. 20O. Edvardsen
  1. 4S. Amrabat
  2. 43Rayane Bounida
  3. 8J. Brandt
  1. 15Y. Baas
  2. 12Caio Henrique
  3. 3A. Gaaei
  4. 36D. Janse
  1. 26M. Paes

Bench

  • 51C. Setford
  • 1M. ter Stegen
  • 6T. Kehrer
  • 2Lucas Rosa
  • 21Jofre Torrents
  • 5O. Wijndal
  • 10O. Gloukh

Out

  • M. Carrizo · Inactive
  • P. Reverson · Injury
  • S. Adingra · Foot Injury
  • Y. Regeer · Injury
  • A. Bouwman · Injury
  • D. Blind · Injury
  • J. Faberski · Knee Injury
  • A. van Axel Dongen · Thigh Injury

Bench

  • 1R. Owusu-Oduro
  • 2S. Maikuma
  • 4L. Schouten
  • 34M. de Wit
  • 18B. Kovacs
  • 9M. Meerdink
  • 24A. Oufkir

Out

  • K. Smit · Groin Injury
  • H. Verhulst · Off the roster
  • J. Hornkamp · Ankle Injury
  • D. Kasius · Groin Injury
  • J. Clasie · Injury
  • M. Sin · Inactive
  • S. Resink · Knee Injury
  • J. Zoet · Off the roster

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — Expert Prediction & Analysis

AZ Alkmaar hold a clear edge, driven by a dominant head-to-head record and the stronger recent form of the league leaders. The main risk is Ajax's home advantage and potent attack, which could turn this into a tight, high-scoring contest.

AZ Alkmaar arrive at the Johan Cruijff Arena as the narrow favourites, backed by a commanding head-to-head record and superior recent form, though Ajax's home advantage and attacking output keep this a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair.…

Win Probabilities: Ajax: 32% · Draw: 25% · AZ Alkmaar: 43%

H2H: Ajax wins: 0 · Draws: 3 · AZ Alkmaar wins: 7

Form (latest first): Ajax: DWWLW · AZ Alkmaar: WLDWW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
11.3077%
X6.2516%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
12.1347%
X3.3330%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1718:00
Feyenoord
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 1719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1810:15
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 1812:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
114.297%
X7.6913%
21.2580%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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