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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Prediction • Eredivisie·Ajax·NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Oct 10, 2026
19:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Ajax

Ajax

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Early projection · Odds pending
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

Away
Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena
Win Probabilities
54%
Ajax
21%
Draw
25%
NEC Nijmegen
Home1.8554%
Draw4.7621%
Away4.0025%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Ajax are favored at 54% to win at home against NEC Nijmegen. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
8.0Ajax
/10
2.0NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
FormLatest first
WLWWW
Win Rate80%
NEC Nijmegen
FormLatest first
LDLWL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageAjax+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Ajax
Home

Ajax

Form
WDWLW
Latest first
2
Pos
78
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets250%
Goal Diff+4
  • High scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game in last 5
  • Strong head-to-head record: 5 wins in last 5 vs NEC
  • Attacking talent in Arokodare and Berghuis
M. Carrizo
Inactive
Injured
P. Reverson
Injury
Injured
S. Adingra
Foot Injury
Injured
R. van de Pavert
Inactive
Injured
V. Tsygankov
Inactive
Injured
Y. Regeer
Injury
Injured
A. Bouwman
Injury
Injured
D. Blind
Injury
Injured
J. Faberski
Knee Injury
Injured
A. van Axel Dongen
Thigh Injury
Injured
R. Bounida
Injury
Injured
A. Kaplan
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Sutalo
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Ajax
Ajax
5Wins
4
Draws
NEC Nijmegen
1Wins
NEC Nijmegen
50%40%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb212026
AjaxAjax
1-1
Draw
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Dec202025
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
2-2
Draw
AjaxAjax
May112025
AjaxAjax
0-3
Loss
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Dec12024
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1-2
Win
AjaxAjax
Feb182024
AjaxAjax
2-2
Draw
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Dec32023
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1-2
Win
AjaxAjax
Mar52023
AjaxAjax
1-0
Win
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
Jan82023
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1-1
Draw
AjaxAjax
Apr232022
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
0-1
Win
AjaxAjax
Aug142021
AjaxAjax
5-0
Win
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen

Feb 21, 2026

52% / 23% / 25%

Ajax4-3-3vs3-4-2-1NEC NijmegenPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Ajax

13Out

13 key players

NEC Nijmegen

10Out

10 key players

Ajax

Team

Ajax

Players Out

13(13 key)
M. Carrizo

M. Carrizo

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

P. Reverson

P. Reverson

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

S. Adingra

S. Adingra

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

R. van de Pavert

R. van de Pavert

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

V. Tsygankov

V. Tsygankov

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Y. Regeer

Y. Regeer

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Bouwman

A. Bouwman

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Blind

D. Blind

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Faberski

J. Faberski

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. van Axel Dongen

A. van Axel Dongen

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

R. Bounida

R. Bounida

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Kaplan

A. Kaplan

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Sutalo

J. Sutalo

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

NEC Nijmegen

Team

NEC Nijmegen

Players Out

10(10 key)
S. Ouaissa

S. Ouaissa

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

P. Sandler

P. Sandler

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

B. Linssen

B. Linssen

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

P. Schuurs

P. Schuurs

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

A. Kaplan

A. Kaplan

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

D. Fonville

D. Fonville

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

D. Nejasmic

D. Nejasmic

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Y. Moslih

Y. Moslih

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

K. Ogawa

K. Ogawa

MODERATE
Injury:Concussion

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-3 weeks

E. Mor

E. Mor

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Eredivisie

League Statistics

Eredivisie • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
6510176+1116
2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
5410186+1213
3
Twente
Twente
6411125+713
4
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
5320137+611
5
Ajax
AjaxHome
5311146+810
6
Excelsior
Excelsior
5311125+710
7
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
63121214-210
8
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
62311513+29
9
Groningen
Groningen
62221213-18
10
NEC Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenAway
62131112-17
11
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
51229905
12
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
512279-25
13
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
5113610-44
14
Telstar
Telstar
5113511-64
15
Cambuur
Cambuur
6114918-94
16
Utrecht
Utrecht
5023918-92
17
Willem II
Willem II
5023514-92
18
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
6015616-101
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Ajax

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

54%Ajax
21%Draw
25%NEC Nijmegen

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 19:00
StadiumJohan Cruijff Arena
League StatsEredivisie
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AjaxInjuries · NEC Nijmegen</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Ajax

WLWWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Fortuna Sittard1-5
  • LSep 5, 26H · PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Telstar0-4
  • WAug 27, 26H · FC Sion5-3
  • WAug 20, 26A · FC Sion2-4

NEC Nijmegen

LDLWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Cambuur3-0
  • DSep 8, 26H · Excelsior2-2
  • LSep 5, 26H · Feyenoord1-3
  • WAug 29, 26A · PEC Zwolle1-3
  • LAug 25, 26A · Bodo/Glimt3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Feyenoord5+611WDWDW
5Ajax5+810WLWDW
6Excelsior5+710DWWLW
7Fortuna Sittard6-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead Eagles6+29DDLWD
9Groningen6-18DDLLW
10NEC Nijmegen6-17LDLWW
11Sparta Rotterdam505DLDWL

Head to Head

5
Ajax
4
Draws
1
NEC Nijmegen
  • Feb 21, 26Ajax – NEC Nijmegen1-1
  • Dec 20, 25NEC Nijmegen – Ajax2-2
  • May 11, 25Ajax – NEC Nijmegen0-3
  • Dec 1, 24NEC Nijmegen – Ajax1-2
  • Feb 18, 24Ajax – NEC Nijmegen2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Played46
Goals Scored911
Goals Conceded512
Avg Scored2.31.8
Avg Conceded1.32.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Predicted line-ups: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen

Predicted XI

Ajax

4-3-3Formation· Coach: J. Heitinga

NEC Nijmegen

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: R. de Groot

  1. 1G. Crettaz
  1. 73Gabriel Brás
  2. 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
  3. 17B. Nuytinck
  1. 9T. Chery
  2. 18D. Geiger
  3. 8I. Hansen-Aarøen
  4. 20N. Lebreton
  1. 35Jamiro Monteiro
  2. 19Adam Tahaui
  1. 10D. Tadić
  1. 10O. Gloukh
  2. 99T. Arokodare
  3. 23S. Berghuis
  1. 4S. Amrabat
  2. 8J. Brandt
  3. 18D. Klaassen
  1. 15Y. Baas
  2. 12Caio Henrique
  3. 3A. Gaaei
  4. 36D. Janse
  1. 26M. Paes

Bench

  • 1M. ter Stegen
  • 6T. Kehrer
  • 2Lucas Rosa
  • 21Jofre Torrents
  • 5O. Wijndal
  • 24J. Mokio
  • 68A. Ouazane

Out

  • M. Carrizo · Inactive
  • P. Reverson · Injury
  • S. Adingra · Foot Injury
  • R. van de Pavert · Inactive
  • V. Tsygankov · Inactive
  • Y. Regeer · Injury
  • A. Bouwman · Injury
  • D. Blind · Injury

Bench

  • 38Joep Geneste
  • 12N. Polster
  • 21T. Storm
  • 11W. Willumsson
  • 77A. Thomas
  • 99Clement Bischoff
  • 34Kevin Kers

Out

  • S. Ouaissa · Muscle Injury
  • P. Sandler · Injury
  • B. Linssen · Injury
  • P. Schuurs · Knee Injury
  • A. Kaplan · Knee Injury
  • D. Fonville · Injury
  • D. Nejasmic · Inactive
  • Y. Moslih · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Ajax are favored at 54% to win at home against NEC Nijmegen. The draw is rated 21% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Ajax enter this Eredivisie clash as narrow favourites, though the data paints a picture of a tighter contest than their historical dominance over NEC Nijmegen might suggest. The statistical model leans towards an Ajax win or draw, with both teams showing identical 50% win rates in their last five matches.…

Win Probabilities: Ajax: 54% · Draw: 21% · NEC Nijmegen: 25%

H2H: Ajax wins: 5 · Draws: 4 · NEC Nijmegen wins: 1

Form (latest first): Ajax: WLWWW · NEC Nijmegen: LDLWL

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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