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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Result • Eredivisie·PEC Zwolle·Ajax

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 9, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
15.70
X4.30
21.51
Stadium
Mac3Park Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
Ajax

Ajax

Away
Odds
15.70
X4.30
21.51
Stadium
Mac3Park Stadion
Win Probabilities
16%
PEC Zwolle
22%
Draw
62%
Ajax
Home5.7016%
Draw4.3022%
Away1.5162%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Ajax are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and superior attacking output. The main risk is a potential upset if PEC Zwolle's defensive resilience holds and they capitalize on a counter-attack.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between PEC Zwolle and Ajax using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns PEC Zwolle a 16% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Ajax a 62% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. 33'
    Yellow Card: A. OuazaneAjax
    Yellow Card: A. Ouazane
  2. Red Card: S. Floranus
    57'
    Red Card: S. FloranusPEC Zwolle
  3. Substitution: D. van der HaarOut: I. Cissoko
    60'
    Substitution: D. van der HaarPEC Zwolle · Out: I. Cissoko
  4. 61'
    Substitution: M. GodtsAjax · Out: Y. Regeer
    Substitution: M. GodtsOut: Y. Regeer
  5. 61'
    Substitution: J. BrandtAjax · Out: S. Berghuis
    Substitution: J. BrandtOut: S. Berghuis
  6. 61'
    Substitution: J. MokioAjax · Out: O. Gloukh
    Substitution: J. MokioOut: O. Gloukh
  7. Substitution: G. ReizigerOut: D. Mbayo
    61'
    Substitution: G. ReizigerPEC Zwolle · Out: D. Mbayo
  8. 67'
    Substitution: Marcos LeonardoAjax · Out: K. Dolberg
    Substitution: Marcos LeonardoOut: K. Dolberg
  9. 73'
    Substitution: T. ArokodareAjax · Out: A. Ouazane
    Substitution: T. ArokodareOut: A. Ouazane
  10. Substitution: T. VelthuisOut: T. Oosting
    74'
    Substitution: T. VelthuisPEC Zwolle · Out: T. Oosting
  11. 76'
    Goal: J. MokioAjax · Assist: T. Arokodare
    Goal: J. MokioAssist: T. Arokodare
  12. Substitution: E. SorensenOut: T. Sommer
    85'
    Substitution: E. SorensenPEC Zwolle · Out: T. Sommer
  13. Substitution: O. VelanasOut: R. Thomas
    85'
    Substitution: O. VelanasPEC Zwolle · Out: R. Thomas
  14. 86'
    Yellow Card: D. KlaassenAjax
    Yellow Card: D. Klaassen
  15. Yellow Card: G. Reiziger
    88'
    Yellow Card: G. ReizigerPEC Zwolle
  16. Yellow Card: K. Kostons
    89'
    Yellow Card: K. KostonsPEC Zwolle
  17. 90+5'
    Goal: J. BrandtAjax · Assist: M. Godts
    Goal: J. BrandtAssist: M. Godts
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

PEC Zwolle

  • Resilient at home despite poor form
  • Capable of grinding out results
  • Struggling for goals recently
  • Inconsistent form

Ajax

  • Excellent recent form with 5 straight wins
  • High-scoring attack (11 goals in last 5)
  • Several key players injured
  • Potential complacency against lower-ranked opposition

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
62%
API-Football
50%
56%
Ajax83656

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (56%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Ajax enter this Eredivisie clash as clear favourites, with both the market and the statistical model pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's recent form is formidable, having won their last five matches while scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3. In contrast, PEC Zwolle have struggled, managing only one win in their last five outings and failing to score in their most recent matches.

Form Analysis: Ajax's momentum is undeniable. They have won every one of their last five games, showcasing both attacking potency and defensive solidity. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and have drawn twice, indicating a lack of consistency and a struggle to find the back of the net. This stark contrast in form heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Ajax's superior form and attacking output. Additionally, PEC Zwolle will be missing key midfielder Y. Namli due to injury, which could disrupt their creativity. Ajax also have several absentees, but their squad depth appears sufficient to cope. The home advantage for PEC Zwolle is minimal given their poor recent record, and the neutral weather conditions are unlikely to influence the outcome significantly.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away victory for Ajax. Their form, attacking quality, and overall squad strength should prove too much for a struggling PEC Zwolle side. While football always carries an element of unpredictability, the evidence strongly supports an Ajax win.

Statistical ContextAjax

Double chance : draw or Ajax

Team Comparison

AI Powered
PEC ZwolleAjax
27%Strength73%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
25%Goals H2H75%
27%Wins the Game73%
Head-to-head →Injuries · PEC ZwolleInjuries · AjaxLive scores →

Statistical Context

PEC Zwolle

LLDLW
  • LSep 18, 26A · Groningen3-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Feyenoord0-7
  • DSep 4, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam2-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · NEC Nijmegen1-3
  • WAug 22, 26A · Heerenveen0-2

Ajax

DWWLW
  • DSep 19, 26H · Excelsior2-2
  • WSep 15, 26H · Willem II5-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Fortuna Sittard1-5
  • LSep 5, 26H · PSV Eindhoven1-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Telstar0-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Twente7+816WWWDW
5Ajax7+1214DWWLW
6Fortuna Sittard7-113WLWWL
15Utrecht7-135LWDLD
16PEC Zwolle7-144LLDLW
17ADO Den Haag7-102DLLDL

Head to Head

1
PEC Zwolle
2
Draws
7
Ajax
  • Mar 1, 26PEC Zwolle – Ajax0-0
  • Sep 13, 25Ajax – PEC Zwolle3-1
  • Mar 9, 25PEC Zwolle – Ajax0-1
  • Nov 24, 24Ajax – PEC Zwolle2-0
  • Jul 5, 24Ajax – PEC Zwolle0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

PEC ZwolleAjax
Played66
Goals Scored622
Goals Conceded1710
Avg Scored1.03.7
Avg Conceded2.81.7
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PEC ZwolleAjax
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax — Match Analysis

Ajax are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and superior attacking output. The main risk is a potential upset if PEC Zwolle's defensive resilience holds and they capitalize on a counter-attack.

Ajax enter this Eredivisie clash as clear favourites, with both the market and the statistical model pointing decisively in their direction. The away side's recent form is formidable, having won their last five matches while scoring 11 goals and conceding just 3. In contrast, PEC Zwolle have struggled, managing only one win in their last five outings and failing to score in their most recent matches.

Form Analysis: Ajax's momentum is undeniable. They have won every one of their last five games, showcasing both attacking potency and defensive solidity. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and have drawn twice, indicating a lack of consistency and a struggle to find the back of the net. This stark contrast in form heavily favours the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Ajax's superior form and attacking output. Additionally, PEC Zwolle will be missing key midfielder Y. Namli due to injury, which could disrupt their creativity. Ajax also have several absentees, but their squad depth appears sufficient to cope. The home advantage for PEC Zwolle is minimal given their poor recent record, and the neutral weather conditions are unlikely to influence the outcome significantly.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable away victory for Ajax. Their form, attacking quality, and overall squad strength should prove too much for a struggling PEC Zwolle side. While football always carries an element of unpredictability, the evidence strongly supports an Ajax win.

Win Probabilities: PEC Zwolle: 16% · Draw: 22% · Ajax: 62%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: PEC Zwolle wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Ajax wins: 7

Form (latest first): PEC Zwolle: LLDLW · Ajax: DWWLW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1718:00
Feyenoord
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 1719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1810:15
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 1812:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
114.297%
X7.6913%
21.2580%

Betting Tips

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