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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Result • Eredivisie·Heerenveen·AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Sep 6, 2026
12:30
medium Confidence
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.70
X3.90
21.84
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
medium Confidence
WINNER
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Away
Odds
13.70
X3.90
21.84
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Win Probabilities
23%
Heerenveen
28%
Draw
49%
AZ Alkmaar
Home3.7023%
Draw3.9028%
Away1.8449%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, having won all four league matches and boasting a dominant head-to-head record. Heerenveen's injury-hit squad and poor form make an upset unlikely, though a determined home performance could keep the score respectable.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heerenveen a 23% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and AZ Alkmaar a 49% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Heerenveen

  • Resilient at home, having drawn their last match at Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Able to score, averaging 1.6 goals per game in recent matches
  • Inconsistent form with only one win in five
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game

AZ Alkmaar

  • Perfect start to the season with four consecutive wins
  • High-scoring attack, netting 13 goals in their last five matches
  • Ten players on the injury list, which could disrupt team cohesion
  • Potential complacency after a strong run of results

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
49%
API-Football
50%
50%
AZ Alkmaar123950

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (50%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

AZ Alkmaar enter this Eredivisie clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and a dominant head-to-head record. Heerenveen, meanwhile, are struggling near the bottom of the table and will need a monumental effort to overturn the odds.

Form Analysis: AZ Alkmaar have won all four of their league matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 3, a 100% win rate that highlights their attacking potency and defensive solidity. Heerenveen, in contrast, have managed just one win in their last five, with a draw streak and a negative goal difference. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and form: AZ sit top of the table with 12 points, while Heerenveen languish in 11th with only 5. Head-to-head history also heavily favours AZ, who have won 6 of the last 10 meetings. Additionally, Heerenveen are missing six players through injury, which further weakens an already fragile squad.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory. AZ's superior form, attacking quality, and psychological edge make them the clear favourites to extend their winning run.

Statistical ContextAZ Alkmaar

Winner : AZ Alkmaar

Team Comparison

AI Powered
HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
28%Strength71%
28%Attacking Potential72%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
31%Goals H2H69%
28%Wins the Game71%
Head-to-head →Injuries · HeerenveenInjuries · AZ AlkmaarLive scores →

Statistical Context

Heerenveen

WDDLD
  • WSep 19, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam0-4
  • DSep 13, 26H · Telstar0-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Willem II2-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · PEC Zwolle0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Ajax2-2

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW
  • WSep 20, 26H · Telstar1-0
  • LSep 16, 26A · Sunderland1-0
  • DSep 11, 26H · Willem II1-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · GO Ahead Eagles5-2
  • WAug 22, 26A · Fortuna Sittard0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar7+1219WDWWW
2Feyenoord7+1817WWWDW
9GO Ahead Eagles7+210DDDLW
10Heerenveen7+29WDLDL
11NEC Nijmegen7-18DLDLW

Head to Head

2
Heerenveen
2
Draws
6
AZ Alkmaar
  • Apr 12, 26AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen3-0
  • Nov 23, 25Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar3-1
  • May 22, 25AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen4-1
  • Mar 2, 25Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar3-1
  • Sep 14, 24AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen9-1

Season Statistics — 2026

HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
Played77
Goals Scored1118
Goals Conceded96
Avg Scored1.62.6
Avg Conceded1.30.9
Clean Sheets33

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar — Match Analysis

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, having won all four league matches and boasting a dominant head-to-head record. Heerenveen's injury-hit squad and poor form make an upset unlikely, though a determined home performance could keep the score respectable.

AZ Alkmaar enter this Eredivisie clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and a dominant head-to-head record. Heerenveen, meanwhile, are struggling near the bottom of the table and will need a monumental effort to overturn the odds.

Form Analysis: AZ Alkmaar have won all four of their league matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 3, a 100% win rate that highlights their attacking potency and defensive solidity. Heerenveen, in contrast, have managed just one win in their last five, with a draw streak and a negative goal difference. The momentum is overwhelmingly with the visitors.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is the gulf in class and form: AZ sit top of the table with 12 points, while Heerenveen languish in 11th with only 5. Head-to-head history also heavily favours AZ, who have won 6 of the last 10 meetings. Additionally, Heerenveen are missing six players through injury, which further weakens an already fragile squad.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable away victory. AZ's superior form, attacking quality, and psychological edge make them the clear favourites to extend their winning run.

Win Probabilities: Heerenveen: 23% · Draw: 28% · AZ Alkmaar: 49%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Heerenveen wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · AZ Alkmaar wins: 6

Form (latest first): Heerenveen: WDDLD · AZ Alkmaar: WLDWW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
11.3077%
X6.2516%
214.297%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
11.7557%
X4.7621%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
12.1347%
X3.3330%
24.3523%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1718:00
Feyenoord
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 1719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1810:15
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 1812:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
114.297%
X7.6913%
21.2580%

Betting Tips

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