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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

Prediction • Eredivisie·AZ Alkmaar·Willem II

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Sep 11, 2026
18:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Early projection · Odds pending
Willem II

Willem II

Away
Stadium
AFAS Stadion
Win Probabilities
77%
AZ Alkmaar
13%
Draw
10%
Willem II
Home1.3077%
Draw7.6913%
Away10.0010%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record, while Willem II arrive with two straight losses and a depleted squad. The main risk is AZ's injury list, which could blunt their attacking edge.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0AZ Alkmaar
/10
2.0Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
FormLatest first
WWDDD
Win Rate40%
Willem II
FormLatest first
LLW
Win Rate33%
Momentum AdvantageAZ Alkmaar+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

AZ Alkmaar
Home

AZ Alkmaar

Form
WW
Latest first
5
Pos
57
Pts
+5
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 2 matches)

Clean Sheets150%
Goal Diff+5
  • Explosive attack averaging 3.4 goals per game
  • Solid defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten home record this season
J. Hornkamp
Ankle Injury
Injured
D. Kasius
Groin Injury
Injured
J. Clasie
Injury
Injured
M. Sin
Injury
Injured
T. Parrott
Inactive
Injured
A. Natali
Inactive
Injured
R. Robbemond
Inactive
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
4Wins
3
Draws
Willem II
3Wins
Willem II
40%30%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb22025
Willem IIWillem II
0-2
Win
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Nov102024
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1-2
Loss
Willem IIWillem II
Mar202022
Willem IIWillem II
2-2
Draw
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Dec182021
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
4-1
Win
Willem IIWillem II
Apr32021
Willem IIWillem II
0-1
Win
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Dec202020
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
5-3
Win
Willem IIWillem II
Jan182020
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1-3
Loss
Willem IIWillem II
Oct62019
Willem IIWillem II
1-1
Draw
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Feb282019
Willem IIWillem II
2-2
Draw
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Feb242019
Willem IIWillem II
2-1
Loss
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar4-2-3-1vs4-4-1-1Willem IIPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

Willem IIWillem II4-4-1-1
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar4-2-3-1
Willem IIBenchWillem II7
AZ AlkmaarBenchAZ Alkmaar7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

AZ Alkmaar

7Out

7 key players

Willem II

7Out

6 key players

AZ Alkmaar

Team

AZ Alkmaar

Players Out

7(7 key)
J. Hornkamp

J. Hornkamp

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

D. Kasius

D. Kasius

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Clasie

J. Clasie

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Sin

M. Sin

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Parrott

T. Parrott

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

A. Natali

A. Natali

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

R. Robbemond

R. Robbemond

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

Willem II

Team

Willem II

Players Out

7(6 key)
A. Zarrouk

A. Zarrouk

SEVERE
Injury:Post-Surgery Recovery

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

6-12 weeks

T. Didillon Hodl

T. Didillon Hodl

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

A. Lachkar

A. Lachkar

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Stam

F. Stam

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

A. Culum

A. Culum

MODERATE
Injury:Foot Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

H. ter Avest

H. ter Avest

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Schuurman

J. Schuurman

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Eredivisie

League Statistics

Eredivisie • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ AlkmaarHome
220061+56
2
Groningen
Groningen
220062+46
3
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
211063+34
4
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
211053+24
5
Ajax
Ajax
211042+24
6
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
211043+14
7
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
211032+14
8
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
211032+14
9
Excelsior
Excelsior
210152+33
10
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
210153+23
11
Twente
Twente
210132+13
12
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
210132+13
13
Telstar
Telstar
210134-13
14
Utrecht
Utrecht
200226-40
15
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
200215-40
16
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
200216-50
17
Willem II
Willem IIAway
200228-60
18
Cambuur
Cambuur
200217-60
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

AZ Alkmaar

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

77%AZ Alkmaar
13%Draw
10%Willem II

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffFri, Sep 11 · 18:00
StadiumAFAS Stadion
League StatsEredivisie

Statistical Context

AZ Alkmaar

WWDDD
  • WAug 15, 26A · Utrecht1-4
  • WAug 8, 26H · ADO Den Haag2-0
  • DMay 17, 26H · NAC Breda3-3
  • DMay 10, 26A · Feyenoord1-1
  • DMay 3, 26H · Twente2-2

Willem II

LLW
  • LAug 15, 26H · NEC Nijmegen1-4
  • LAug 8, 26A · GO Ahead Eagles4-1
  • WMay 5, 26A · Waalwijk0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AZ Alkmaar2+56WW
2Groningen2+46WW
16ADO Den Haag2-50LL
17Willem II2-60LL
18Cambuur2-60LL

Head to Head

4
AZ Alkmaar
3
Draws
3
Willem II
  • Feb 2, 25Willem II – AZ Alkmaar0-2
  • Nov 10, 24AZ Alkmaar – Willem II1-2
  • Mar 20, 22Willem II – AZ Alkmaar2-2
  • Dec 18, 21AZ Alkmaar – Willem II4-1
  • Apr 3, 21Willem II – AZ Alkmaar0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AZ AlkmaarWillem II
Played21
Goals Scored61
Goals Conceded14
Avg Scored3.01.0
Avg Conceded0.54.0
Clean Sheets10

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AZ AlkmaarWillem II
Over 2.5 Goals6/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

AZ Alkmaar

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 28GJ. De Busser
  2. 22DE. Dijkstra
  3. 3DW. Goes
  4. 18DR. Ichihara
  5. 2DS. Maikuma
  6. 6MP. Koopmeiners
  7. 21MD. Kwakman
  8. 33MM. Šín
  9. 10MK. Smit
  10. 14MC. Stengs
  11. 45AB. Kovacs

Coach: M. Martens

Willem II

Formation 4-4-1-1
  1. 41GTygo Kotte
  2. 15DA. Et-Taïbi
  3. 4DJ. Hoogma
  4. 83DM. Lemmens
  5. 14DJens Mathijsen
  6. 2MA. Ciranni
  7. 8MK. Boogaard
  8. 40MD. Iglesias
  9. 49MI. Mouhoul
  10. 48MJ. van Esdonk
  11. 19AUriel van Aalst

Coach: J. Stegeman

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II — Expert Prediction & Analysis

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant head-to-head record, while Willem II arrive with two straight losses and a depleted squad. The main risk is AZ's injury list, which could blunt their attacking edge.

AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites to extend their perfect start to the season against a Willem II side that has lost both opening matches. The hosts sit top of the Eredivisie with maximum points and a +5 goal difference, while the visitors are second from bottom with no points and a -6 goal difference.…

Win Probabilities: AZ Alkmaar: 77% · Draw: 13% · Willem II: 10%

H2H: AZ Alkmaar wins: 4 · Draws: 3 · Willem II wins: 3

Form (latest first): AZ Alkmaar: WWDDD · Willem II: LLW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Aug 2214:30
AZ Alkmaar
16.6715%
X4.1724%
21.6461%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2216:45
Utrecht
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Aug 2218:00
Excelsior
11.5664%
X5.0020%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Aug 2219:00
PEC Zwolle
11.6959%
X4.1724%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Aug 2310:15
ADO Den Haag
11.7258%
X3.8526%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Aug 2312:30
Groningen
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Aug 2314:45
Feyenoord
112.508%
X5.0020%
21.3972%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Aug 2818:00
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Aug 2914:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Aug 2916:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Aug 2919:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Aug 3010:15
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Aug 3012:30
Heerenveen
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Aug 3012:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Aug 3014:45
Ajax
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access