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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Cambuur vs Excelsior

Cambuur vs Excelsior

Result • Eredivisie·Cambuur·Excelsior

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 7, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
Cambuur

Cambuur

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.56
X3.45
22.56
Stadium
Kooi Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
Excelsior

Excelsior

Away
Odds
12.56
X3.45
22.56
Stadium
Kooi Stadion
Win Probabilities
33%
Cambuur
30%
Draw
37%
Excelsior
Home2.5633%
Draw3.4530%
Away2.5637%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Excelsior are clear favourites given their five-match winning streak and superior head-to-head record, while Cambuur are struggling with injuries and a two-game losing run. The main risk is Cambuur's league-leading position, which suggests they have quality that could turn the tide.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Cambuur and Excelsior using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cambuur a 33% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Excelsior a 37% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Thijs Jansen vs Gyan de Regt: The Cambuur goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Excelsior's in-form striker, who has been prolific in recent matches.
2Ilyes Hamache vs Noah Naujoks: A battle of creative midfielders, with both players capable of unlocking defenses with their passing and movement.
3Nicky Souren vs Lennard Hartjes: The midfield engine room, where control of the game will be decided. Souren's defensive work will be crucial against Hartjes' forward runs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cambuur

  • League leaders with a strong overall record
  • Solid home advantage rating
  • Current two-match losing streak
  • Conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game

Excelsior

  • Five-match winning streak
  • High-scoring average of 3.6 goals per game
  • Conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game
  • Only one clean sheet in the last five matches

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
50%
44%
Excelsior174044

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (44%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

This Eredivisie clash at the Kooi Stadion pits league leaders Cambuur against a resurgent Excelsior side. The market suggests a tightly contested affair, with both teams given similar chances of victory. However, the API-Football model leans towards the away side, citing superior overall strength and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Excelsior arrive in scintillating form, having won their last five matches and averaging 3.6 goals per game. In contrast, Cambuur are winless in two, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This momentum disparity is significant and could be the deciding factor.

Key Factors: Excelsior's attacking prowess, evidenced by their high scoring average, poses a serious threat to a Cambuur defense that has been breached regularly. Additionally, Excelsior have won four of the last five head-to-head encounters, giving them a psychological edge. Cambuur's injury list, with three players sidelined, further weakens their cause.

Conclusion: While Cambuur's league position suggests quality, the combination of Excelsior's red-hot form, superior head-to-head record, and Cambuur's injury woes points towards a narrow away victory. The match is expected to be close, but Excelsior's momentum should prove decisive.

Statistical ContextExcelsior

Double chance : draw or Excelsior

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CambuurExcelsior
39%Strength61%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
38%Goals H2H62%
39%Wins the Game61%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CambuurInjuries · ExcelsiorLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cambuur

DWDLL
  • DSep 19, 26A · ADO Den Haag1-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · NEC Nijmegen3-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Telstar2-2
  • LAug 30, 26H · Twente1-4
  • LAug 23, 26H · Feyenoord2-5

Excelsior

DLDWW
  • DSep 19, 26A · Ajax2-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Utrecht1-2
  • DSep 8, 26A · NEC Nijmegen2-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Willem II0-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · Sparta Rotterdam2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Groningen7+211WDDLL
7Excelsior6+610LDWWL
8Fortuna Sittard6-210LWWLW
14Utrecht6-85WDLDL
15Cambuur6-94WDLLL
16PEC Zwolle7-144LLDLW

Head to Head

6
Cambuur
0
Draws
4
Excelsior
  • Jul 4, 26Excelsior – Cambuur3-2
  • Aug 2, 25Cambuur – Excelsior0-1
  • Jan 17, 25Cambuur – Excelsior1-0
  • Oct 26, 24Excelsior – Cambuur0-1
  • Mar 19, 23Excelsior – Cambuur4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

CambuurExcelsior
Played66
Goals Scored913
Goals Conceded187
Avg Scored1.52.2
Avg Conceded3.01.2
Clean Sheets12

Predicted line-ups: Cambuur vs Excelsior

Confirmed XI

Cambuur

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Johan Plat

Excelsior

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Ruben den Uil

  1. 1Stijn van Gassel
  1. 15Simon Janssen
  2. 14Jan Plug
  3. 3Rick Meissen
  4. 17Nolan Martens
  1. 20Lennard Hartjes
  2. 10Noah Naujoks
  3. 6Daniel van Vianen
  1. 11Gyan de Regt
  2. 19David Garden
  3. 8Irakli Yegoian
  1. 11Ilyes Hamache
  2. 9Skye Vink
  3. 29Iwan Henstra
  1. 8Nicky Souren
  2. 10Rafik El Arguioui
  3. 14Ryan van de Pavert
  1. 23Lucas Jetten
  2. 6Jamal Amofa
  3. 4Ismaël Baouf
  4. 16Rik Mulders
  1. 1Thijs Jansen

Bench

  • 21Jasper Meijster
  • 24Matthijs Kalisvaart
  • 33Buddy Vogelzang
  • 28Morgan Costarelli
  • 3Jorn Berkhout
  • 40Wessel van der Goot
  • 18Wiebe van der Heide
  • 48Damian Westerhof
  • 17Ethan Apkakou
  • 15Fabian Kvam
  • 7Sami Bouhoudane
  • 13Nicolas Binder

Out

  • N. Binder · Injury
  • J. Berkhout · Injury
  • D. Bouah · Injury
  • D. Visser · Knee Injury
  • W. Kooistra · Injury
  • I. Hamache · Injury
  • R. van de Pavert · Personal Reasons
  • W. Asselman · Inactive

Bench

  • 16Celton Biai
  • 22Osman Turay
  • 4Casper Widell
  • 24Giuliano Cairo
  • 5Stan Henderikx
  • 21Ilano Silva Timas
  • 34Noa el Hamdaoui
  • 18Valentin Sulzbacher
  • 23Yaqub Finey
  • 7Aymen Sliti
  • 28Nesto Groen

Out

  • D. Garden · Injury
  • S. Janssen · Inactive
  • N. Naujoks · Inactive
  • K. Bos · Shoulder Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Cambuur vs Excelsior — Match Analysis

Excelsior are clear favourites given their five-match winning streak and superior head-to-head record, while Cambuur are struggling with injuries and a two-game losing run. The main risk is Cambuur's league-leading position, which suggests they have quality that could turn the tide.

This Eredivisie clash at the Kooi Stadion pits league leaders Cambuur against a resurgent Excelsior side. The market suggests a tightly contested affair, with both teams given similar chances of victory. However, the API-Football model leans towards the away side, citing superior overall strength and head-to-head dominance.

Form Analysis: Excelsior arrive in scintillating form, having won their last five matches and averaging 3.6 goals per game. In contrast, Cambuur are winless in two, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. This momentum disparity is significant and could be the deciding factor.

Key Factors: Excelsior's attacking prowess, evidenced by their high scoring average, poses a serious threat to a Cambuur defense that has been breached regularly. Additionally, Excelsior have won four of the last five head-to-head encounters, giving them a psychological edge. Cambuur's injury list, with three players sidelined, further weakens their cause.

Conclusion: While Cambuur's league position suggests quality, the combination of Excelsior's red-hot form, superior head-to-head record, and Cambuur's injury woes points towards a narrow away victory. The match is expected to be close, but Excelsior's momentum should prove decisive.

Win Probabilities: Cambuur: 33% · Draw: 30% · Excelsior: 37%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Cambuur wins: 6 · Draws: 0 · Excelsior wins: 4

Form (latest first): Cambuur: DWDLL · Excelsior: DLDWW

  • Thijs Jansen vs Gyan de Regt: The Cambuur goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep out Excelsior's in-form striker, who has been prolific in recent matches.
  • Ilyes Hamache vs Noah Naujoks: A battle of creative midfielders, with both players capable of unlocking defenses with their passing and movement.
  • Nicky Souren vs Lennard Hartjes: The midfield engine room, where control of the game will be decided. Souren's defensive work will be crucial against Hartjes' forward runs.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%

Betting Tips

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