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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. NAC Breda vs FC Volendam

NAC Breda vs FC Volendam

Result • Eredivisie·NAC Breda·FC Volendam

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Feb 21, 2026
19:00
low Confidence
WINNER
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.00
Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion
low Confidence
FC Volendam

FC Volendam

Away
Odds
11.55
X3.90
26.00
Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Win Probabilities
60%
NAC Breda
24%
Draw
16%
FC Volendam
Home1.5560%
Draw3.9024%
Away6.0016%

Oracle's Vision

Low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees the home fortress standing strong, with goals flowing from familiar boots. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where defensive cracks may widen under pressure.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between NAC Breda and FC Volendam using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns NAC Breda a 60% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and FC Volendam a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: C. Brym
    37'
    Yellow Card: C. BrymNAC Breda
  2. Substitution: E. MahmutovicOut: D. Odoi
    54'
    Substitution: E. MahmutovicNAC Breda · Out: D. Odoi
  3. 56'
    Yellow Card: D. KwakmanFC Volendam
    Yellow Card: D. Kwakman
  4. 56'
    Substitution: J. BacunaFC Volendam · Out: O. Kokcu
    Substitution: J. BacunaOut: O. Kokcu
  5. Substitution: P. ReulenOut: L. Holtby
    64'
    Substitution: P. ReulenNAC Breda · Out: L. Holtby
  6. Substitution: M. NassohOut: A. Salama
    64'
    Substitution: M. NassohNAC Breda · Out: A. Salama
  7. 76'
    Substitution: J. IdehoFC Volendam · Out: R. van Cruijsen
    Substitution: J. IdehoOut: R. van Cruijsen
  8. 76'
    Substitution: A. OehlersFC Volendam · Out: B. Pauwels
    Substitution: A. OehlersOut: B. Pauwels
  9. 77'
    Substitution: N. BukalaFC Volendam · Out: B. Ould-Chikh
    Substitution: N. BukalaOut: B. Ould-Chikh
  10. 80'
    Yellow Card: N. BukalaFC Volendam
    Yellow Card: N. Bukala
  11. Substitution: R. PaulaOut: M. Balard
    81'
    Substitution: R. PaulaNAC Breda · Out: M. Balard
  12. Substitution: B. LucassenOut: C. Valerius
    81'
    Substitution: B. LucassenNAC Breda · Out: C. Valerius
  13. 82'
    Yellow Card: J. IdehoFC Volendam
    Yellow Card: J. Ideho
  14. 83'
    Substitution: R. MuhrenFC Volendam · Out: B. Kuwas
    Substitution: R. MuhrenOut: B. Kuwas
  15. Goal: P. ReulenAssist: R. Paula
    87'
    Goal: P. ReulenNAC Breda · Assist: R. Paula
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

3 / 3stats picks landed in this match
NAC Breda 1-0 FC Volendam
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 8.0 – 2.5Real 6 – 3NAC Breda more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 10.5Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.1Real 4Over 2.5✓ hit
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.8 – 4.6Real 3 – 1NAC Breda more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 18.2 – 12.1Real 17 – 8chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. van Hooijdonk vs FC Volendam defense: Key matchup as van Hooijdonk is NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals, testing Volendam's defensive organization.
2L. Holtby vs FC Volendam midfield: Holtby's playmaking with 3 assists could influence midfield control and create chances for NAC Breda.
3N/A vs N/A: Insufficient data on specific away team key players for detailed matchups.
Strengths · Weaknesses

NAC Breda

  • Higher average goals scored (1.6 in last 5 matches)
  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Higher average goals conceded (2.0 in last 5 matches)
  • 7 players out with doubtful status

FC Volendam

  • Current 2-win streak
  • Lower average goals conceded (1.2 in last 5 matches)
  • Lower average goals scored (1.0 in last 5 matches)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

More information

Eredivisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 139/9Head-to-headNAC Breda – FC VolendamInjuriesNAC BredaInjuriesFC VolendamLive scores

Statistical Context

NAC Breda

DWDWW
  • DNov 6, 26A · Dordrecht0-0
  • WNov 2, 26A · Jong PSV U210-2
  • DOct 23, 26H · Heracles1-1
  • WOct 16, 26A · Helmond Sport0-2
  • WOct 9, 26H · MVV1-0

FC Volendam

WLWDW
  • WNov 6, 26A · Helmond Sport2-3
  • LOct 30, 26H · De Graafschap1-2
  • WOct 23, 26H · Jong Utrecht6-2
  • DOct 18, 26A · Waalwijk1-1
  • WOct 9, 26H · Vitesse2-0

Head to Head

1
NAC Breda
0
Draws
1
FC Volendam
  • Feb 21, 26NAC Breda – FC Volendam1-0
  • Nov 8, 25FC Volendam – NAC Breda2-1

Season Statistics — 2025

NAC BredaFC Volendam
Played3333
Goals Scored3234
Goals Conceded5553
Avg Scored1.01.0
Avg Conceded1.71.6
Clean Sheets63

NAC Breda vs FC Volendam — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees the home fortress standing strong, with goals flowing from familiar boots. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where defensive cracks may widen under pressure.

Based on the structured data, NAC Breda is predicted to win this match, with a 60% probability, aligning closely with the bookmaker-implied probabilities and considering key factors like home advantage and form trends.

Form Analysis: NAC Breda has a current streak of 1 win, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in their last 5 matches. FC Volendam has a 2-win streak, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, but failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive inconsistency.

Key Factors: 1. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 favors NAC Breda. 2. NAC Breda's higher goal-scoring average (1.6 vs. 1.0) suggests better offensive capability. 3. Both teams have multiple doubtful players, but this does not strongly deviate from the odds-based prediction.

Conclusion: The data supports NAC Breda as the favorite, with market probabilities indicating a clear advantage, reinforced by home field and recent scoring form.

Win Probabilities: NAC Breda: 60% · Draw: 24% · FC Volendam: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: NAC Breda wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · FC Volendam wins: 1

Form (latest first): NAC Breda: DWDWW · FC Volendam: WLWDW

  • S. van Hooijdonk vs FC Volendam defense: Key matchup as van Hooijdonk is NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals, testing Volendam's defensive organization.
  • L. Holtby vs FC Volendam midfield: Holtby's playmaking with 3 assists could influence midfield control and create chances for NAC Breda.
  • N/A vs N/A: Insufficient data on specific away team key players for detailed matchups.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Nov 2115:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Nov 2117:45
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Nov 2117:45
Excelsior
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2120:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Nov 2120:00
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Nov 2211:15
Willem II
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Nov 2213:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2213:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Nov 2215:45
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 2815:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2817:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Nov 2820:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Nov 2911:15
Utrecht
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Nov 2913:30
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

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