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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Heerenveen vs Twente

Heerenveen vs Twente

Result • Eredivisie·Heerenveen·Twente

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 9, 2026
14:45
medium Confidence
WINNER
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.92
X3.80
22.15
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
medium Confidence
Twente

Twente

Away
Odds
12.92
X3.80
22.15
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Win Probabilities
32%
Heerenveen
25%
Draw
43%
Twente
Home2.9232%
Draw3.8025%
Away2.1543%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Twente are the clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a strong attacking record. Heerenveen's inconsistent scoring and defensive injury make an upset unlikely, but a determined home performance could still cause problems.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Heerenveen and Twente using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heerenveen a 32% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Twente a 43% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: L. OyenOut: L. Machine
    46'
    Substitution: L. OyenHeerenveen · Out: L. Machine
  2. Goal: L. OyenAssist: J. Trenskow
    52'
    Goal: L. OyenHeerenveen · Assist: J. Trenskow
  3. Substitution: N. CourtensOut: R. Meerveld
    55'
    Substitution: N. CourtensHeerenveen · Out: R. Meerveld
  4. 57'
    Substitution: Y. TahaTwente · Out: S. Orjasaeter
    Substitution: Y. TahaOut: S. Orjasaeter
  5. Substitution: H. PetrovOut: M. Egbring
    68'
    Substitution: H. PetrovHeerenveen · Out: M. Egbring
  6. 68'
    Substitution: L. Vennegoor of HesselinkTwente · Out: M. Pjaca
    Substitution: L. Vennegoor of HesselinkOut: M. Pjaca
  7. 68'
    Substitution: M. KjoloTwente · Out: T. van den Belt
    Substitution: M. KjoloOut: T. van den Belt
  8. Yellow Card: D. Proper
    75'
    Yellow Card: D. ProperHeerenveen
  9. 77'
    Substitution: K. HlynssonTwente · Out: R. Zerrouki
    Substitution: K. HlynssonOut: R. Zerrouki
  10. 77'
    Substitution: S. LammersTwente · Out: A. Adelgaard
    Substitution: S. LammersOut: A. Adelgaard
  11. Substitution: D. BladiOut: S. Kersten
    83'
    Substitution: D. BladiHeerenveen · Out: S. Kersten
  12. Substitution: N. HoplandOut: J. Trenskow
    83'
    Substitution: N. HoplandHeerenveen · Out: J. Trenskow
  13. Yellow Card: L. Oyen
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: L. OyenHeerenveen
  14. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: D. RotsTwente
    Yellow Card: D. Rots
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Heerenveen

  • Home advantage at Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Neutral weather conditions suit their style
  • Inconsistent form with two losses in last five
  • Struggling to score, no goals in recent matches

Twente

  • Excellent recent form with three wins in last five
  • Scored six goals in last five matches
  • Missing defender M. Hilgers due to knee injury
  • Away form not specified, but overall momentum is strong

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
43%
API-Football
50%
47%
Twente163847

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (47%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Twente enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is markedly superior, with three wins in their last five outings and a perfect record in their most recent match, while Heerenveen have been inconsistent, losing two of their last five.

Form Analysis: Twente have won their last match and have a 100% win rate in their most recent game, scoring six goals in their last five without conceding. Heerenveen, by contrast, have lost two of their last five and have failed to score in their most recent outings. This momentum gap is significant and points strongly towards an away victory.

Key Factors: Twente's superior attacking output (six goals in five games) and defensive solidity (no goals conceded) give them a clear edge. Heerenveen's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning. Both teams are missing a key defender, but Twente's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The neutral weather conditions and home advantage for Heerenveen are unlikely to offset Twente's overall superiority.

Conclusion: All data points to a Twente win. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive resilience make them the deserved favourites. Heerenveen will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextTwente

Double chance : draw or Twente

Team Comparison

AI Powered
HeerenveenTwente
23%Strength76%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
32%Goals H2H68%
23%Wins the Game76%
Head-to-head →Injuries · HeerenveenInjuries · TwenteLive scores →

Statistical Context

Heerenveen

WDLDL
  • WSep 19, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam0-4
  • DSep 13, 26H · Telstar0-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · AZ Alkmaar2-3
  • DAug 30, 26A · Willem II2-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · PEC Zwolle0-2

Twente

WWWDW
  • WSep 20, 26H · PSV Eindhoven3-2
  • WSep 12, 26H · ADO Den Haag2-0
  • WSep 9, 26H · Telstar1-0
  • DSep 6, 26A · Groningen2-2
  • WAug 30, 26A · Cambuur1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Ajax7+1214DWWLW
5Twente6+713WWDWW
6Fortuna Sittard7-113WLWWL
7Excelsior7+611DLDWW
8Groningen7+211WDDLL
9GO Ahead Eagles6+29DDLWD
10Heerenveen7+29WDLDL
11NEC Nijmegen6-17LDLWW

Head to Head

1
Heerenveen
3
Draws
6
Twente
  • Feb 7, 26Twente – Heerenveen5-0
  • Aug 24, 25Heerenveen – Twente1-2
  • Feb 9, 25Heerenveen – Twente3-3
  • Sep 17, 24Twente – Heerenveen2-0
  • Apr 3, 24Heerenveen – Twente3-3

Season Statistics — 2026

HeerenveenTwente
Played66
Goals Scored712
Goals Conceded95
Avg Scored1.22.0
Avg Conceded1.50.8
Clean Sheets22

Heerenveen vs Twente — Match Analysis

Twente are the clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a strong attacking record. Heerenveen's inconsistent scoring and defensive injury make an upset unlikely, but a determined home performance could still cause problems.

Twente enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is markedly superior, with three wins in their last five outings and a perfect record in their most recent match, while Heerenveen have been inconsistent, losing two of their last five.

Form Analysis: Twente have won their last match and have a 100% win rate in their most recent game, scoring six goals in their last five without conceding. Heerenveen, by contrast, have lost two of their last five and have failed to score in their most recent outings. This momentum gap is significant and points strongly towards an away victory.

Key Factors: Twente's superior attacking output (six goals in five games) and defensive solidity (no goals conceded) give them a clear edge. Heerenveen's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning. Both teams are missing a key defender, but Twente's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The neutral weather conditions and home advantage for Heerenveen are unlikely to offset Twente's overall superiority.

Conclusion: All data points to a Twente win. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive resilience make them the deserved favourites. Heerenveen will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Heerenveen: 32% · Draw: 25% · Twente: 43%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Heerenveen wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Twente wins: 6

Form (latest first): Heerenveen: WDLDL · Twente: WWWDW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1718:00
Feyenoord
Early projection
19.0911%
X7.1414%
21.3375%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 1719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1810:15
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 1812:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
114.297%
X7.6913%
21.2580%

Betting Tips

Correct Score Predictions TodayBetting TipsBTTS TipsOver/Under 2.5Free Predictions