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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Heerenveen vs Twente

Heerenveen vs Twente

Result • Eredivisie·Heerenveen·Twente

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 9, 2026
14:45
medium Confidence
WINNER
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.92
X3.80
22.15
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
medium Confidence
Twente

Twente

Away
Odds
12.92
X3.80
22.15
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Win Probabilities
32%
Heerenveen
25%
Draw
43%
Twente
Home2.9232%
Draw3.8025%
Away2.1543%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Twente are the clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a strong attacking record. Heerenveen's inconsistent scoring and defensive injury make an upset unlikely, but a determined home performance could still cause problems.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Heerenveen and Twente using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heerenveen a 32% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Twente a 43% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: L. OyenOut: L. Machine
    46'
    Substitution: L. OyenHeerenveen · Out: L. Machine
  2. Goal: L. OyenAssist: J. Trenskow
    52'
    Goal: L. OyenHeerenveen · Assist: J. Trenskow
  3. Substitution: N. CourtensOut: R. Meerveld
    55'
    Substitution: N. CourtensHeerenveen · Out: R. Meerveld
  4. 57'
    Substitution: Y. TahaTwente · Out: S. Orjasaeter
    Substitution: Y. TahaOut: S. Orjasaeter
  5. Substitution: H. PetrovOut: M. Egbring
    68'
    Substitution: H. PetrovHeerenveen · Out: M. Egbring
  6. 68'
    Substitution: L. Vennegoor of HesselinkTwente · Out: M. Pjaca
    Substitution: L. Vennegoor of HesselinkOut: M. Pjaca
  7. 68'
    Substitution: M. KjoloTwente · Out: T. van den Belt
    Substitution: M. KjoloOut: T. van den Belt
  8. Yellow Card: D. Proper
    75'
    Yellow Card: D. ProperHeerenveen
  9. 77'
    Substitution: K. HlynssonTwente · Out: R. Zerrouki
    Substitution: K. HlynssonOut: R. Zerrouki
  10. 77'
    Substitution: S. LammersTwente · Out: A. Adelgaard
    Substitution: S. LammersOut: A. Adelgaard
  11. Substitution: D. BladiOut: S. Kersten
    83'
    Substitution: D. BladiHeerenveen · Out: S. Kersten
  12. Substitution: N. HoplandOut: J. Trenskow
    83'
    Substitution: N. HoplandHeerenveen · Out: J. Trenskow
  13. Yellow Card: L. Oyen
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: L. OyenHeerenveen
  14. 90+5'
    Yellow Card: D. RotsTwente
    Yellow Card: D. Rots
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 2stats picks landed in this match
Heerenveen 1-0 Twente
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team—Predicted 4.6 – 5.4Real 4 – 8——
Total corners—Predicted 10.0Real 12chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 2.3Real 3Over 1.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-0chances only—
Shots on target✗ missPredicted 4.9 – 6.4Real 4 – 3Twente more shots on target✗ miss
Total shots—Predicted 14.1 – 16.3Real 7 – 19chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Heerenveen

  • Home advantage at Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Neutral weather conditions suit their style
  • Inconsistent form with two losses in last five
  • Struggling to score, no goals in recent matches

Twente

  • Excellent recent form with three wins in last five
  • Scored six goals in last five matches
  • Missing defender M. Hilgers due to knee injury
  • Away form not specified, but overall momentum is strong

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
43%
API-Football
50%
47%
Twente163847

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (47%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Twente enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is markedly superior, with three wins in their last five outings and a perfect record in their most recent match, while Heerenveen have been inconsistent, losing two of their last five.

Form Analysis: Twente have won their last match and have a 100% win rate in their most recent game, scoring six goals in their last five without conceding. Heerenveen, by contrast, have lost two of their last five and have failed to score in their most recent outings. This momentum gap is significant and points strongly towards an away victory.

Key Factors: Twente's superior attacking output (six goals in five games) and defensive solidity (no goals conceded) give them a clear edge. Heerenveen's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning. Both teams are missing a key defender, but Twente's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The neutral weather conditions and home advantage for Heerenveen are unlikely to offset Twente's overall superiority.

Conclusion: All data points to a Twente win. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive resilience make them the deserved favourites. Heerenveen will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Statistical ContextTwente

Double chance : draw or Twente

Team Comparison

AI Powered
HeerenveenTwente
23%Strength76%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
15%H2H Strength85%
32%Goals H2H68%
23%Wins the Game76%

More information

Eredivisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 139/9Head-to-headHeerenveen – TwenteInjuriesHeerenveenInjuriesTwenteLive scores

Statistical Context

Heerenveen

WWWWL
  • WNov 8, 26H · Feyenoord5-3
  • WOct 31, 26H · NEC Nijmegen1-0
  • WOct 24, 26A · ADO Den Haag2-3
  • WOct 16, 26H · Excelsior4-0
  • LOct 9, 26A · PSV Eindhoven2-0

Twente

DWWWW
  • DNov 8, 26H · Ajax2-2
  • WNov 5, 26H · Pafos3-1
  • WNov 1, 26A · Excelsior0-9
  • WOct 25, 26A · AZ Alkmaar0-2
  • WOct 22, 26A · Lincoln Red Imps FC1-4

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Ajax12+1725DWWWD
4Twente12+1824DWWLD
5AZ Alkmaar12+823WLLDL
6Heerenveen12+821WWWWL
7Fortuna Sittard12020DDWDD

Head to Head

1
Heerenveen
3
Draws
6
Twente
  • Feb 7, 26Twente – Heerenveen5-0
  • Aug 24, 25Heerenveen – Twente1-2
  • Feb 9, 25Heerenveen – Twente3-3
  • Sep 17, 24Twente – Heerenveen2-0
  • Apr 3, 24Heerenveen – Twente3-3

Season Statistics — 2026

HeerenveenTwente
Played117
Goals Scored1921
Goals Conceded137
Avg Scored1.73.0
Avg Conceded1.21.0
Clean Sheets52

Heerenveen vs Twente — Match Analysis

Twente are the clear favourites, backed by superior recent form and a strong attacking record. Heerenveen's inconsistent scoring and defensive injury make an upset unlikely, but a determined home performance could still cause problems.

Twente enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by both the market and the statistical model. Their recent form is markedly superior, with three wins in their last five outings and a perfect record in their most recent match, while Heerenveen have been inconsistent, losing two of their last five.

Form Analysis: Twente have won their last match and have a 100% win rate in their most recent game, scoring six goals in their last five without conceding. Heerenveen, by contrast, have lost two of their last five and have failed to score in their most recent outings. This momentum gap is significant and points strongly towards an away victory.

Key Factors: Twente's superior attacking output (six goals in five games) and defensive solidity (no goals conceded) give them a clear edge. Heerenveen's lack of goals and defensive vulnerabilities are concerning. Both teams are missing a key defender, but Twente's squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The neutral weather conditions and home advantage for Heerenveen are unlikely to offset Twente's overall superiority.

Conclusion: All data points to a Twente win. Their form, attacking threat, and defensive resilience make them the deserved favourites. Heerenveen will need a significant improvement to avoid defeat.

Win Probabilities: Heerenveen: 32% · Draw: 25% · Twente: 43%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Heerenveen wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Twente wins: 6

Form (latest first): Heerenveen: WWWWL · Twente: DWWWW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Nov 2115:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
15.0020%
X5.2619%
21.6461%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Nov 2117:45
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Nov 2117:45
Excelsior
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2120:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Nov 2120:00
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Nov 2211:15
Willem II
Early projection
11.2083%
X8.3312%
220.005%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Nov 2213:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.2779%
X7.6913%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2213:30
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Nov 2215:45
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 2719:00
Willem II
Early projection
11.2878%
X7.6913%
211.119%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 2815:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2817:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Nov 2820:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Nov 2911:15
Utrecht
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Nov 2913:30
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%

Betting Tips

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